Forensic Analyst, Trudence Capital Advisors

Nitin Mangal

Forensic Analyst

Trudence Capital Advisors

Trudence Capital Advisors Private Limited is a SEBI-registered Research Analyst, holding SEBI registration number INH000015747. Our firm is dedicated to providing independent and unbiased research on Indian mid to large-cap companies. Trudence Capital is known for its counter-consensus views, with a focus on forensic research and on-ground primary investigations. Our research approach is thorough, involving detailed analysis of accounting practices and governance, alongside extensive channel checks.

Independent & Unbiased Research

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Bihar mandates state registration, disbursal approvals, lending caps and special courts, materially raising compliance intensity for MFIs.</li>
<li>Dual regulation (RBI + State) may slow growth, elevate costs and create near-term collection and disbursement friction.</li>
<li>Stocks with high Bihar concentration face volatility; geographic diversification becomes the key defensive lever.</li>
</ul>


Bihar mandates state registration, disbursal approvals, lending caps and special courts, materially raising compliance intensity for MFIs.
Dual regulation (RBI + State) may slow growth, elevate costs and create near-term collection and disbursement friction.
Stocks with high Bihar concentration face volatility; geographic diversification becomes the key defensive lever.


Bihar MFI Bill, 2026- Shockwaves Through India’s Largest MFI Market

India Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic, Beat the Street

Sudarshan Bhandari

India Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic

Beat the Street

Beat The Street was founded by Nimish Maheshwari and Sudarshan Bhandari, both of whom are Chartered Accountants by Profession, known for their expert analysis in the fields of Business, Sectoral analysis, and Corporate governance.

With a strong social media presence of 45,000+ Subscribers across various platforms, they are considered trusted voices in the industry. Their insights and analysis have been featured in some of India’s most prominent publications, including the Economic Times, Dalal Street Investment Journal, The Morning Context, and The Ken.

Their analysis on Bankrupt & Insolvent companies has been instrumental in saving investors from significant losses. They have a keen eye for identifying red flags and has identified exclusive redflags earlier in Vedanta, Nykaa, Dhani Services, Adani and many more.

Read Business Not Stock Prices

<ul>
<li>Demand outside gold remains soft; co‑funding costs show early easing; asset quality stress is shifting, with vehicle finance and micro‑LAP emerging as pain points.</li>
<li>The divergence across NBFC subsegments (gold, affordable housing, vehicle finance, micro-LAP) is widening, making sector-level staging less helpful - selective bets will matter more.</li>
<li>We remain biased toward affordable HFCs, gold financiers (to ride momentum), and select diversified NBFCs. Vigilance is needed to combat NIM pressure and rising unsecured stress.</li>
</ul>


Demand outside gold remains soft; co‑funding costs show early easing; asset quality stress is shifting, with vehicle finance and micro‑LAP emerging as pain points.
The divergence across NBFC subsegments (gold, affordable housing, vehicle finance, micro-LAP) is widening, making sector-level staging less helpful - selective bets will matter more.
We remain biased toward affordable HFCs, gold financiers (to ride momentum), and select diversified NBFCs. Vigilance is needed to combat NIM pressure and rising unsecured stress.


NBFC Q2FY26 Outlook - Rate Cuts, Credit Stress & Selective Wins in NBFCs

<ul>
<li>NBFCs are consistently delivering higher credit growth than the overall lending industry across most asset classes—driven by demand from underserved segments and enabled by tech-led agility.</li>
<li>From FY20–25, NBFCs saw higher CAGR in 5 of the 7 loan segments, and this trend is projected to continue through FY26—reinforcing their systemic importance in India’s credit landscape.</li>
<li>NBFCs are no longer niche lenders. With higher market share in fast-growing segments like personal loans, MSME, microfinance, and consumer durables, they are outgrowing the systemic pace—indicating stronger tailwinds</li>
</ul>


NBFCs are consistently delivering higher credit growth than the overall lending industry across most asset classes—driven by demand from underserved segments and enabled by tech-led agility.
From FY20–25, NBFCs saw higher CAGR in 5 of the 7 loan segments, and this trend is projected to continue through FY26—reinforcing their systemic importance in India’s credit landscape.
NBFCs are no longer niche lenders. With higher market share in fast-growing segments like personal loans, MSME, microfinance, and consumer durables, they are outgrowing the systemic pace—indicating stronger tailwinds


Charted Insights: NBFCs Continue to Outpace Industry Credit Growth — Stronger, Faster, Deeper

Equity Bottom-Up

Nuvama Wealth Management / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>The EU is negotiating with India to remove the 100% import duty on fully built cars under FTA.</li>
<li>Warburg Pincus plans to lead a INR600 - 800 crore rights issue to rescue troubled <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fusion-micro-finance-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36450:1" rel="noopener">Fusion Micro Finance (FUSION IN)</a>.</li>
<li>PAG has hired JP Morgan and Morgan Stanley to sell its INR 2.2k crore controlling stake in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nuvama-wealth-management-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40316:1" rel="noopener">Nuvama Wealth Management (NUVAMA IN)</a>. </li>
</ul>


The EU is negotiating with India to remove the 100% import duty on fully built cars under FTA.
Warburg Pincus plans to lead a INR600 - 800 crore rights issue to rescue troubled Fusion Micro Finance (FUSION IN).
PAG has hired JP Morgan and Morgan Stanley to sell its INR 2.2k crore controlling stake in Nuvama Wealth Management (NUVAMA IN). 


#134 India Insight: EU 0% Auto Tariff; Warburg ₹800cr Bailout; PAG Plans ₹2.2kcr Nuvama Stake Sale

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Motilal Oswal Financial Services Limited

Motilal Oswal

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Motilal Oswal Financial Services Limited

Motilal Oswal Financial Services Limited is an Indian diversified financial services firm offering a range of financial products and services. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

<ul><li>Fusion reported a net loss of ~INR7.2b in 3QFY25 (vs. MOFSLe loss of INR2b), as NIM contracted due to interest income reversals and the reversal of all net Deferred Tax Assets (DTA) to date.</li><li>At the normalized tax rate, Fusion would have reported a lower loss of ~INR3.8b.</li><li>NII declined ~34% YoY to ~INR2.2b (~39% miss), while PPoP declined ~75% YoY to ~INR648b.</li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

Fusion reported a net loss of ~INR7.2b in 3QFY25 (vs. MOFSLe loss of INR2b), as NIM contracted due to interest income reversals and the reversal of all net Deferred Tax Assets (DTA) to date.At the normalized tax rate, Fusion would have reported a lower loss of ~INR3.8b.NII declined ~34% YoY to ~INR2.2b (~39% miss), while PPoP declined ~75% YoY to ~INR648b.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Fusion Microfinance - Weak Performance; Front-Loading Stress for a Cleaner FY26

India

Fusion Finance is an India-based non-banking financial company primarily engaged in providing microfinance and MSME lending services. The company offers group-based microfinance loans to women through Joint Liability Groups (JLGs) and provides various loan products including income generation, top-up, emergency, cross-sell, unsecured, secured, and solar business loans. It focuses on serving underserved and unserved women in rural and semi-urban areas of India. Fusion Finance was founded in 2010 and is headquartered in Gurugram, India.

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Fusion Finance (FUSION IN)

Bihar MFI Bill, 2026- Shockwaves Through India’s Largest MFI Market

Bihar's new regulations for MFIs increase compliance burden, potentially impacting growth and profitability. Geographic diversification crucial...

Nitin Mangal

NBFC Q2FY26 Outlook - Rate Cuts, Credit Stress & Selective Wins in NBFCs

Soft demand outside gold, easing co-funding costs, shifting asset quality stress in vehicle finance and micro-LAP. Divergence in NBFC subsegments...

Sudarshan Bhandari

Charted Insights: NBFCs Continue to Outpace Industry Credit Growth — Stronger, Faster, Deeper

NBFCs in India are driving higher credit growth across various loan segments, outpacing the overall lending industry with tech-enabled agility and...

Sudarshan Bhandari

#134 India Insight: EU 0% Auto Tariff; Warburg ₹800cr Bailout; PAG Plans ₹2.2kcr Nuvama Stake Sale

EU negotiating with India to remove import duty on cars, Warburg Pincus plans rights issue for Fusion Micro Finance, PAG selling stake in Nuvama...

Sudarshan Bhandari

Fusion Microfinance - Weak Performance; Front-Loading Stress for a Cleaner FY26

Fusion reported a net loss of ~INR7.2b in 3QFY25 (vs. MOFSLe loss of INR2b), as NIM contracted due to interest income reversals and the reversal of...

Motilal Oswal

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Bihar MFI Bill, 2026- Shockwaves Through India’s Largest MFI Market

​Bihar's new regulations for MFIs increase compliance burden, potentially impacting growth and profitability. Geographic diversification crucial...

Nitin Mangal

NBFC Q2FY26 Outlook - Rate Cuts, Credit Stress & Selective Wins in NBFCs

​Soft demand outside gold, easing co-funding costs, shifting asset quality stress in vehicle finance and micro-LAP. Divergence in NBFC subsegments...

Sudarshan Bhandari

Charted Insights: NBFCs Continue to Outpace Industry Credit Growth — Stronger, Faster, Deeper

​NBFCs in India are driving higher credit growth across various loan segments, outpacing the overall lending industry with tech-enabled agility and...

Sudarshan Bhandari

#134 India Insight: EU 0% Auto Tariff; Warburg ₹800cr Bailout; PAG Plans ₹2.2kcr Nuvama Stake Sale

​EU negotiating with India to remove import duty on cars, Warburg Pincus plans rights issue for Fusion Micro Finance, PAG selling stake in Nuvama...

Sudarshan Bhandari

Fusion Microfinance - Weak Performance; Front-Loading Stress for a Cleaner FY26

Fusion reported a net loss of ~INR7.2b in 3QFY25 (vs. MOFSLe loss of INR2b), as NIM contracted due to interest income reversals and the reversal of...

Motilal Oswal

Bihar's new regulations for MFIs increase compliance burden, potentially impacting growth and profitability. Geographic diversification crucial...

Soft demand outside gold, easing co-funding costs, shifting asset quality stress in vehicle finance and micro-LAP. Divergence in NBFC subsegments...

NBFCs in India are driving higher credit growth across various loan segments, outpacing the overall lending industry with tech-enabled agility and...

EU negotiating with India to remove import duty on cars, Warburg Pincus plans rights issue for Fusion Micro Finance, PAG selling stake in Nuvama...