Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There could be 2 constituent changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ishares-china-large-cap-etf" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:766:1" rel="noopener">iShares China Large-Cap (FXI) (FXI US)</a> ETF in March.</li>
<li>We estimate passive trackers will need to buy 0.6-0.8x ADV in the adds and need to sell between 0.4-1.2x ADV in the deletes.</li>
<li>Short interest is highest in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zte-corp-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6922:1" rel="noopener">ZTE Corp (763 HK)</a> (as a percentage of float) and in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-minsheng-banking-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8983:1" rel="noopener">China Minsheng Banking H (1988 HK)</a> (in terms of days of ADV to cover).</li>
</ul>


There could be 2 constituent changes for the iShares China Large-Cap (FXI) (FXI US) ETF in March.
We estimate passive trackers will need to buy 0.6-0.8x ADV in the adds and need to sell between 0.4-1.2x ADV in the deletes.
Short interest is highest in ZTE Corp (763 HK) (as a percentage of float) and in China Minsheng Banking H (1988 HK) (in terms of days of ADV to cover).


FXI Rebalance Preview: Two Changes Likely in March

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 170 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 68.0% as of Feb 6th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by 1.6ppt week-on-week, led by utilities, information technology, industrials and offset by consumer staples, energy, communication services.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for China Oilfield Services, Huaxin Building Materials, Cngr Advanced Material, China Suntien Green Energy, Cgn Power, BYD.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 170 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 68.0% as of Feb 6th.
The average A-H premium changed by 1.6ppt week-on-week, led by utilities, information technology, industrials and offset by consumer staples, energy, communication services.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for China Oilfield Services, Huaxin Building Materials, Cngr Advanced Material, China Suntien Green Energy, Cgn Power, BYD.


A-H Premium Weekly (Feb 6th): China Oilfield Services, Huaxin Building Materials

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 162 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 62.6% as of Jan 16th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by 0.0ppt week-on-week, led by financials, consumer discretionary and offset by energy, communication services, consumer staples.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for COSCO Shipping Energy, Ganfeng Lithium, China Oilfield Services, Hua Hong Semiconductor, China Everbright Bank, Weichai Power.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 162 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 62.6% as of Jan 16th.
The average A-H premium changed by 0.0ppt week-on-week, led by financials, consumer discretionary and offset by energy, communication services, consumer staples.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for COSCO Shipping Energy, Ganfeng Lithium, China Oilfield Services, Hua Hong Semiconductor, China Everbright Bank, Weichai Power.


A-H Premium Weekly (Jan 16th): COSCO Shipping Energy, Ganfeng Lithium, China Oilfield Services

<ul>
<li>We analyze the 4Q2025 Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine as the exchange changed the rule to only disclose north bound position once a quarter.</li>
<li>We estimate that the inflows in 4Q2025 were US$1,590 million and holdings were US$368 billion.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for CATL, CATL, Moutai, Moutai, Luxshare Precision, Luxshare Precision, WEICHAI POWER, WEICHAI POWER, WUXI APPTEC, WUXI APPTEC, BYD, CMB, Mindray, EAST MONEY INFORMATION.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the 4Q2025 Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine as the exchange changed the rule to only disclose north bound position once a quarter.
We estimate that the inflows in 4Q2025 were US$1,590 million and holdings were US$368 billion.
We highlight flows for CATL, CATL, Moutai, Moutai, Luxshare Precision, Luxshare Precision, WEICHAI POWER, WEICHAI POWER, WUXI APPTEC, WUXI APPTEC, BYD, CMB, Mindray, EAST MONEY INFORMATION.


Northbound Flows (4Q2025): CATL, CATL, Moutai, Moutai, Luxshare Precision, Luxshare Precision

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 162 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 69.1% as of Jan 2nd.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by 1.3ppt week-on-week, led by consumer staples, materials, health care and offset by consumer discretionary.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Goldwind, Jiangxi Copper, Fudan Microelectronics, Guangzhou Automobile, Zijin Mining, Cmoc.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 162 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 69.1% as of Jan 2nd.
The average A-H premium changed by 1.3ppt week-on-week, led by consumer staples, materials, health care and offset by consumer discretionary.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Goldwind, Jiangxi Copper, Fudan Microelectronics, Guangzhou Automobile, Zijin Mining, Cmoc.


A-H Premium Weekly (Jan 2nd): Goldwind, Jiangxi Copper, Fudan Microelectronics, Guangzhou Automobile

China

Designs, manufactures and distributes automotive grade float and locomotive glasses & provides after-sales services

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
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Fuyao Glass Industry Group (3606 HK)

FXI Rebalance Preview: Two Changes Likely in March

There could be 2 constituent changes for the FXI ETF in March. Passive trackers will need to buy 0.6-0.8x ADV in the adds and sell between 0.4-1.2x...

Brian Freitas

A-H Premium Weekly (Feb 6th): China Oilfield Services, Huaxin Building Materials

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for China Oilfield Services, Huaxin Building Materials, Cngr...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

A-H Premium Weekly (Jan 16th): COSCO Shipping Energy, Ganfeng Lithium, China Oilfield Services

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for COSCO Shipping Energy, Ganfeng Lithium, China Oilfield...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Northbound Flows (4Q2025): CATL, CATL, Moutai, Moutai, Luxshare Precision, Luxshare Precision

We analyzed Northbound connect data for 4Q2025 and highlight flows for CATL, CATL, Moutai, Moutai, Luxshare Precision, Luxshare Precision, WEICHAI...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

A-H Premium Weekly (Jan 2nd): Goldwind, Jiangxi Copper, Fudan Microelectronics, Guangzhou Automobile

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Goldwind, Jiangxi Copper, Fudan Microelectronics, Guangzhou...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)