Founder Evidente. Top rated quantitative analyst, Evidente

Sam Ferraro

Founder Evidente. Top rated quantitative analyst

Evidente

Evidente is an independent financial education firm that delivers innovative financial advice to wholesale investors, including active long only funds, hedge funds, pension funds, and sovereign wealth funds, in Australia and globally.  Drawing on academic research in asset pricing, behavioural finance and portfolio construction, Evidente provides wholesale investors with commercial solutions to stock selection and asset allocation decisions across equities and other asset classes.

Macroeconomics

In a blog post last year, I wrote of the lost decade for discretionary retailers; expected profitability was little changed from ten years earlier.&nbsp;A number of structural and cyclical headwinds continued to adversely impact the sector, including the persistently strong Australian dollar, consumer caution associated with the financial crisis and increased competition from e-tailers.&nbsp;In this post, I argue that signs of a less cautious consumer are emerging.&nbsp;There is downside risk to the household saving ratio as households become more optimistic about the future, durable goods spending continues to recover and consumer sentiment should benefit from the positive reaction to the Federal Budget.&nbsp;Against this backdrop, I recommend investors neutralise their under-weight bets in discretionary retailers, with a view to moving overweight as more signs of a less cautious consumer emerge.&nbsp;Getting the sector call right is more important than stock selection, but we highlight stocks that offer the strongest upside, including Echo, GUD, Harvey Norman, Premier Investment and Super Retail.

In a blog post last year, I wrote of the lost decade for discretionary retailers; expected profitability was little changed from ten years earlier.&nbsp;A number of structural and cyclical headwinds continued to adversely impact the sector, including the persistently strong Australian dollar, consumer caution associated with the financial crisis and increased competition from e-tailers.&nbsp;In this post, I argue that signs of a less cautious consumer are emerging.&nbsp;There is downside risk to the household saving ratio as households become more optimistic about the future, durable goods spending continues to recover and consumer sentiment should benefit from the positive reaction to the Federal Budget.&nbsp;Against this backdrop, I recommend investors neutralise their under-weight bets in discretionary retailers, with a view to moving overweight as more signs of a less cautious consumer emerge.&nbsp;Getting the sector call right is more important than stock selection, but we highlight stocks that offer the strongest upside, including Echo, GUD, Harvey Norman, Premier Investment and Super Retail.

A less cautious consumer: Good news for discretionary retailers (finally!)

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

Commonwealth Bank of Australia / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Australia's ASIC releases the aggregated short position data four business days after the reporting day. Data in this insight is up to 9nd March, published ~9AM on the 13th March.</li>
<li>The largest industry net increase in the past week was into "Diversified Banks"; the largest industry net decrease was out of "Diversified Metals/Mining". Net shorts decreased A$1.5bn WoW.</li>
<li>Companies mentioned in this regular weekly report include: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/commonwealth-bank-of-australia" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14:1" rel="noopener">Commonwealth Bank of Australia (CBA AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mcmillan-shakespeare-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3023:1" rel="noopener">Mcmillan Shakespeare (MMS AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/silex-systems-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20181:1" rel="noopener">Silex Systems (SLX AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ramsay-health-care-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:673:1" rel="noopener">Ramsay Health (RHC AU)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/news-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26926:1" rel="noopener">News (NWS AU)</a>.</li>
</ul>


Australia's ASIC releases the aggregated short position data four business days after the reporting day. Data in this insight is up to 9nd March, published ~9AM on the 13th March.
The largest industry net increase in the past week was into "Diversified Banks"; the largest industry net decrease was out of "Diversified Metals/Mining". Net shorts decreased A$1.5bn WoW.
Companies mentioned in this regular weekly report include: Commonwealth Bank of Australia (CBA AU), Mcmillan Shakespeare (MMS AU), Silex Systems (SLX AU), Ramsay Health (RHC AU), and News (NWS AU).


Aussie Shorts (9th Mar 2026): CBA, Mcmillan Shakespeare, Silex Systems, Ramsay Health, News

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Mar 6th (reported today). The aggregated short interest was USD37.1bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Qantas Airways, Santos, Ramsay Health Care, Coles, Aristocrat Leisure.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Mar 6th (reported today). The aggregated short interest was USD37.1bn.
We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Qantas Airways, Santos, Ramsay Health Care, Coles, Aristocrat Leisure.


ASX Short Interest Weekly (Mar 6th): Qantas Airways, Santos, Ramsay Health Care, Coles

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Jan 30th (reported today). The aggregated short interest was USD33.1bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Northern Star Resources, Lotus Resources, National Australia Bank, BHP, Perseus Mining.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Jan 30th (reported today). The aggregated short interest was USD33.1bn.
We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Northern Star Resources, Lotus Resources, National Australia Bank, BHP, Perseus Mining.


ASX Short Interest Weekly (Jan 30th): Northern Star Resources, Lotus Resources

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Jan 16th (reported today). The aggregated short interest was USD31.5bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Goodman, Treasury Wine Estates, NEWMONT, Scentre, South32.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Jan 16th (reported today). The aggregated short interest was USD31.5bn.
We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Goodman, Treasury Wine Estates, NEWMONT, Scentre, South32.


ASX Short Interest Weekly (Jan 16th): Goodman, Treasury Wine Estates, NEWMONT

Australia

G8 Education Limited provides community-focused child care for families to foster their child's development.  The Company also conducts a range of child care services that includes child care centers acquisition, child care centers management, and industry-related project management, services and consultancy.

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G8 Education (GEM AU)

A less cautious consumer: Good news for discretionary retailers (finally!)

In a blog post last year, I wrote of the lost decade for discretionary retailers; expected profitability was little changed from ten years...

Sam Ferraro

Aussie Shorts (9th Mar 2026): CBA, Mcmillan Shakespeare, Silex Systems, Ramsay Health, News

Companies mentioned in this regular weekly report include: Commonwealth Bank of Australia (CBA AU), Mcmillan Shakespeare (MMS AU), Silex Systems...

David Blennerhassett

ASX Short Interest Weekly (Mar 6th): Qantas Airways, Santos, Ramsay Health Care, Coles

We analyzed ASX short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in Qantas Airways, Santos, Ramsay Health Care, Coles,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

ASX Short Interest Weekly (Jan 30th): Northern Star Resources, Lotus Resources

We analyzed ASX short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in Northern Star Resources, Lotus Resources, National...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

ASX Short Interest Weekly (Jan 16th): Goodman, Treasury Wine Estates, NEWMONT

We analyzed ASX short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in Goodman, Treasury Wine Estates, NEWMONT CORPORATION...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

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