Semiconductor & Technology Specialist, Ingenuity

William Keating

Semiconductor & Technology Specialist

Ingenuity

Our focus is exclusively on in-depth research & consulting in the broader semiconductor industry. We focus on the key players, namely Intel, Micron, Qualcomm, Apple, Samsung, NVIDIA, AMD, TSMC & Global Foundries - as well as some of the lesser known, but nonetheless critical, companies such as ASML (for EUV), Mellanox, Cavium, Xilinx etc. We specialise in their products, roadmaps, process technologies, competitive advantages & threats etc. We also help our clients understand the implications of new and emerging technologies, e.g. 3D X-Point, 3D NAND, Carbon Nanotubes, Autonomous Driving, Graphene, Silicon Photonics, Wafer-Level Optics, Artificial Intelligence, FPGA, GPU, ASIC etc. 

Semiconductor Analysis & Research

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Despite $30–40 billion in enterprise investment into GenAI, this report uncovers a surprising result in that 95% of organizations are getting zero return</li>
<li>While employees are likely using LLMs in a personal capacity, this mostly isn't feeding into the KPI's that are being used to monitor the success of GenAI projects</li>
<li>The harsh reality is that integrating GenAI tools into existing workflows is time consuming, needs careful planning and likely best done with help from the professionals. </li>
</ul>


Despite $30–40 billion in enterprise investment into GenAI, this report uncovers a surprising result in that 95% of organizations are getting zero return
While employees are likely using LLMs in a personal capacity, this mostly isn't feeding into the KPI's that are being used to monitor the success of GenAI projects
The harsh reality is that integrating GenAI tools into existing workflows is time consuming, needs careful planning and likely best done with help from the professionals. 


MIT Report Claims 95% of GenAI Projects Fail. How Is This Possible?

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

Nasdaq-100 Stock Index / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>$SPX remains below 5783, the upper-end of important target/resistance area we've discussed for a month+ (5670-5783). 5670 was prior all-time high set in July, while 5783 is 2% above 5670.</li>
<li>It's hard to call it a "decisive" breakout if SPX isn't even 2% above its prior high.  In 2007, SPX made a top after climbing 1-2% above its prior high.</li>
<li>The 2007 topping analog has tracked the current market almost perfectly, with similar backdrops to today including new Fed cutting cycle, recession indicators going off, yield curve un-inverting, defensives outperforming</li>
</ul>


$SPX remains below 5783, the upper-end of important target/resistance area we've discussed for a month+ (5670-5783). 5670 was prior all-time high set in July, while 5783 is 2% above 5670.
It's hard to call it a "decisive" breakout if SPX isn't even 2% above its prior high.  In 2007, SPX made a top after climbing 1-2% above its prior high.
The 2007 topping analog has tracked the current market almost perfectly, with similar backdrops to today including new Fed cutting cycle, recession indicators going off, yield curve un-inverting, defensives outperforming


Still No Decisive Breakout as SPX Tests 5783 Resistance; Ideal Time to Shift to Defensives

High Quality Stock Setups, Weekly Stock Bull Finder

Weekly Stock Bull Finder

High Quality Stock Setups

Finding high potential stock setups on quality companies

<ul><li>After witnessing a parabolic advance at the beginning of the Federal Reserve’s tightening cycle in early 2022, the US dollar has decisely break down below prior weekly support levels in a large bearish engulfing candle last week.</li><li>This breakdown can serve as a tailwind for multi-nationals (especially technology names), commodities, emerging markets, treasuries, and cryptos.</li><li>The dollar is now sitting at a 15 month low. This decline may not be over as the MACD indicator is now crossing down.</li></ul>

After witnessing a parabolic advance at the beginning of the Federal Reserve’s tightening cycle in early 2022, the US dollar has decisely break down below prior weekly support levels in a large bearish engulfing candle last week.This breakdown can serve as a tailwind for multi-nationals (especially technology names), commodities, emerging markets, treasuries, and cryptos.The dollar is now sitting at a 15 month low. This decline may not be over as the MACD indicator is now crossing down.

Selected Quarterly & Annual Newsletters from Funds, Fund Newsletters

Fund Newsletters

Selected Quarterly & Annual Newsletters from Funds

<ul>
<li>Baron is an asset management firm focused on delivering growth equity investment solutions known for long-term, fundamental, active approach to growth investing.</li>
<li>We expect additional, substantial appreciation for Tesla and SpaceX.</li>
<li>84.3% of our assets are NOT invested in Tesla and SpaceX, but rather are invested in other exceptionally attractive growth companies.</li>
<li>We have always believed that any recessions or declines in the value of our growth business holdings would not be long-lasting.</li>
<li>Think long term about everything, guard your reputation zealously, make sure your balance sheet is as close to impregnable as possible.</li>
</ul>


Baron is an asset management firm focused on delivering growth equity investment solutions known for long-term, fundamental, active approach to growth investing.
We expect additional, substantial appreciation for Tesla and SpaceX.
84.3% of our assets are NOT invested in Tesla and SpaceX, but rather are invested in other exceptionally attractive growth companies.
We have always believed that any recessions or declines in the value of our growth business holdings would not be long-lasting.
Think long term about everything, guard your reputation zealously, make sure your balance sheet is as close to impregnable as possible.


Baron Funds Q3 2022 Report - Letter From Ron

SPDR S&P Oil & Gas Exploration / Technical Analysis

Weak market dynamics continue to be counterbalanced by the fact that there is an absence of breakdowns at the index and Sector level; even the weakest Sectors such as Energy (XLE, XOP, RYE) and Transportation (IYT, XTN, JETS) are holding above key supports. Until we start to see breakdowns at the Sector and index level, we remain constructive overall.Charts highlighted: XOP, JETS, S&amp;P 500, IWM, IWC, WTI Crude Oil, Copper, US dollar, CMCSA, CHTR, LBRDA, AMT, SBAC, ACN, INFY, EQIX, WIT, CTSH, IT, WM, RSG, WCN, and ROL

Weak market dynamics continue to be counterbalanced by the fact that there is an absence of breakdowns at the index and Sector level; even the weakest Sectors such as Energy (XLE, XOP, RYE) and Transportation (IYT, XTN, JETS) are holding above key supports. Until we start to see breakdowns at the Sector and index level, we remain constructive overall.Charts highlighted: XOP, JETS, S&amp;P 500, IWM, IWC, WTI Crude Oil, Copper, US dollar, CMCSA, CHTR, LBRDA, AMT, SBAC, ACN, INFY, EQIX, WIT, CTSH, IT, WM, RSG, WCN, and ROL

U.S. Equity Index and Sector Breakdowns Remain Absent; Buying Communications & Services Stocks

United States

Gartner, Inc. provides research and analysis on the computer hardware, software, communications, and related information technology industries.  The Company's business segments include research, consulting, measurement, events and executive programs.

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Gartner Inc (IT US)

MIT Report Claims 95% of GenAI Projects Fail. How Is This Possible?

The harsh reality is that integrating GenAI tools into existing workflows is time consuming, needs careful planning and likely best done with help...

William Keating

Still No Decisive Breakout as SPX Tests 5783 Resistance; Ideal Time to Shift to Defensives

Still No Decisive Breakout as $SPX Tests 5783 Resistance; On watch for SPX bull trap/failed breakout, confirmed only on a break below 5670. 2007...

Vermilion Research

Weekly Stock Bullfinder - Week of 7/17

After witnessing a parabolic advance at the beginning of the Federal Reserve’s tightening cycle in early 2022, the US dollar has decisely break...

Weekly Stock Bull Finder

Baron Funds Q3 2022 Report - Letter From Ron

Baron is an asset management firm focused on delivering growth equity investment solutions known for long-term, fundamental, active approach to...

Fund Newsletters

U.S. Equity Index and Sector Breakdowns Remain Absent; Buying Communications & Services Stocks

Until we start to see breakdowns at the Sector and index level, we remain constructive overall. Charts highlighted: XOP, JETS, S&P 500, IWM, IWC,...

Vermilion Research

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