Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

MSCI Emerging Markets Index / Technical Analysis

We are no longer recommending an overweight to China (MSCI China) due to recent RS deterioration. Our favorite countries remain Taiwan (TAIEX) and India (SENSEX), while Brazil (Bovespa) and South Korea (KOSPI) display improving price and RS trends -- add exposure. MSCI EM Technology and Materials are our top two Sector overweights. Additionally, the EM Health Care Sector shows bullish price and RS inflections, making it a timely Sector to add exposure to at current levels.

We are no longer recommending an overweight to China (MSCI China) due to recent RS deterioration. Our favorite countries remain Taiwan (TAIEX) and India (SENSEX), while Brazil (Bovespa) and South Korea (KOSPI) display improving price and RS trends -- add exposure. MSCI EM Technology and Materials are our top two Sector overweights. Additionally, the EM Health Care Sector shows bullish price and RS inflections, making it a timely Sector to add exposure to at current levels.

Overweight EM Vs. EAFE; Dollar Weakness Continues

In today’s report we highlight the following actionable solar energy names: First Solar (FSLR), SolarEdge Technologies (SEDG), GCL-Poly Energy (3800-HK), Meyer Burger Technology AG (MBTN-CH), Enphase Energy (ENPH), JinkoSolar Sponsored ADR (JKS), TerraForm Power (TERP), Beijing Enterprises Clean Energy Group (1250-HK), GCL New Energy (451-HK), and Viatron Technologies (141000-KR).

In today’s report we highlight the following actionable solar energy names: First Solar (FSLR), SolarEdge Technologies (SEDG), GCL-Poly Energy (3800-HK), Meyer Burger Technology AG (MBTN-CH), Enphase Energy (ENPH), JinkoSolar Sponsored ADR (JKS), TerraForm Power (TERP), Beijing Enterprises Clean Energy Group (1250-HK), GCL New Energy (451-HK), and Viatron Technologies (141000-KR).

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

Shandong Hi-Speed New Energy Group / Event-Driven

Shandong Hi-Speed New Energy Group (1250 HK)

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shandong-hi-speed-holdings-gro" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10356:1" rel="noopener">Shandong Hi-Speed Holdings Gro (412 HK)</a> completed the acquisition of CITIC Securities 13.52% stake in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shandong-hi-speed-new-energy-g" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6927:1" rel="noopener">Shandong Hi-Speed New Energy G (1250 HK)</a> at HK$1.78 per share. </li>
<li>SPA completion triggers a mandatory unconditional offer at HK$1.78 per share. The composite document will be sent, and the offer will open by 28 January. </li>
<li>At the last close and for an early February payment, the gross and annualised spread of the offer is 2.9% and 30.2%, respectively.</li>
</ul>



Shandong Hi-Speed Holdings Gro (412 HK) completed the acquisition of CITIC Securities 13.52% stake in Shandong Hi-Speed New Energy G (1250 HK) at HK$1.78 per share. 
SPA completion triggers a mandatory unconditional offer at HK$1.78 per share. The composite document will be sent, and the offer will open by 28 January. 
At the last close and for an early February payment, the gross and annualised spread of the offer is 2.9% and 30.2%, respectively.


Shandong Hi-Speed New Energy (1250 HK): SPA Completed, Next Unconditional MGO

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shandong-hi-speed-new-energy-g" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6927:1" rel="noopener">Shandong Hi-Speed New Energy G (1250 HK)</a> disclosed a possible mandatory unconditional offer from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shandong-hi-speed-holdings-gro" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10356:1" rel="noopener">Shandong Hi-Speed Holdings Gro (412 HK)</a> at HK$1.78, a 7.2% premium to the undisturbed price.</li>
<li>The offer is conditional on SDHS completing a sale and purchase agreement (SPA) to acquire CITIC Securities' entire 13.52% stake at HK$1.78 per share.</li>
<li>The key precondition of the SPA is SDHS shareholder approval of an ordinary resolution relating to the SPA and the possible offer. The vote is a formality. </li>
</ul>



Shandong Hi-Speed New Energy G (1250 HK) disclosed a possible mandatory unconditional offer from Shandong Hi-Speed Holdings Gro (412 HK) at HK$1.78, a 7.2% premium to the undisturbed price.
The offer is conditional on SDHS completing a sale and purchase agreement (SPA) to acquire CITIC Securities' entire 13.52% stake at HK$1.78 per share.
The key precondition of the SPA is SDHS shareholder approval of an ordinary resolution relating to the SPA and the possible offer. The vote is a formality. 


Shandong Hi-Speed New Energy (1250 HK): Shandong Hi-Speed Holdings (412 HK) Possible MGO

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shandong-hi-speed-new-energy-g" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6927:1" rel="noopener">Shandong Hi-Speed New Energy G (1250 HK)</a> entered a trading halt based on the Takeovers and Mergers Code. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shandong-hi-speed-holdings-gro" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10356:1" rel="noopener">Shandong Hi-Speed Holdings Gro (412 HK)</a> also entered a trading halt. </li>
<li>It is likely that SDHS Group, representing 43.45% of outstanding shares, is seeking to privatise SDHS New Energy through a Cayman scheme. </li>
<li>Beijing Enterprises Group and CITIC Securities hold potentially blocking stakes and are likely seeking to exit. Our best guess is an offer with a 20%- 30% takeover premium.  </li>
</ul>



Shandong Hi-Speed New Energy G (1250 HK) entered a trading halt based on the Takeovers and Mergers Code. Shandong Hi-Speed Holdings Gro (412 HK) also entered a trading halt. 
It is likely that SDHS Group, representing 43.45% of outstanding shares, is seeking to privatise SDHS New Energy through a Cayman scheme. 
Beijing Enterprises Group and CITIC Securities hold potentially blocking stakes and are likely seeking to exit. Our best guess is an offer with a 20%- 30% takeover premium.  


Shandong Hi-Speed New Energy (1250 HK): Privatisation by Shandong Hi-Speed Holdings (412 HK)?

Hong Kong

GCL New Energy develops, constructs, operates, and manages solar power plants in China and the United States. The company also engages in the sale of electricity and liquefied natural gas. It was founded in 1982 and is headquartered in Kowloon, Hong Kong.

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GCL New Energy (451 HK)

Overweight EM Vs. EAFE; Dollar Weakness Continues

Our favorite countries remain Taiwan (TAIEX) and India (SENSEX), while Brazil (Bovespa) and South Korea (KOSPI) display improving price and RS...

Vermilion Research

Global Solar Energy Stocks Are Bottoming

In today’s report we highlight the following actionable solar energy names: First Solar (FSLR), SolarEdge Technologies (SEDG), GCL-Poly Energy...

Vermilion Research

Shandong Hi-Speed New Energy (1250 HK): SPA Completed, Next Unconditional MGO

This is an unconditional offer. At the last close and for an early February payment, the offer's gross and annualised spread were 2.9% and 30.2%,...

Arun George

Shandong Hi-Speed New Energy (1250 HK): Shandong Hi-Speed Holdings (412 HK) Possible MGO

The key precondition of the SPA is SDHS shareholder approval of an ordinary resolution relating to the SPA and the possible offer. The vote is a...

Arun George

Shandong Hi-Speed New Energy (1250 HK): Privatisation by Shandong Hi-Speed Holdings (412 HK)?

It is likely that SDHS Group, representing 43.45% of outstanding shares, is seeking to privatise SDHS New Energy through a Cayman scheme.

Arun George

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