J Capital Research

Independent Insight Provider

J Capital Research, a U.S. company, publishes highly diligenced research reports on publicly traded companies, relying on deep, on-the-ground primary research. J Capital has particular expertise in the Chinese market, but we look at over-valued companies throughout the world. As an activist short- and long-research shop, when we form a clear view, we publish free, public reports to inform the investing public and never disguise our identity. We believe the internet has afforded an opportunity to small, unaffiliated investors to leapfrog the big banks, with their conflicts of interest, and obtain unbiased information on traded companies. We pride ourselves on our independence and the quality of our work. We hope the work speaks for itself.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>We believe that Geely Automobile, listed in Hong Kong as 0175, is a private equity fund first and an auto company second.</li><li>Expectations that Geely will become an international blockbuster akin to Toyota or Hyundai are misplaced.</li><li>Geely relied in 2024 for half its profit on mark-to-market value in subsidiaries.</li></ul>

We believe that Geely Automobile, listed in Hong Kong as 0175, is a private equity fund first and an auto company second.Expectations that Geely will become an international blockbuster akin to Toyota or Hyundai are misplaced.Geely relied in 2024 for half its profit on mark-to-market value in subsidiaries.

Geely Automobile Holdings Ltd (0175 HK): Why Geely Is Actually a Bank

Asian Hedge Fund Manager, Long Short Equity, Macro

David Mudd

Macroeconomics

<ul>
<li>China will roll out its 2026 - 2030 five-year plan this month, which outline the economic and social roadmap until the end of the decade.  </li>
<li>Historically the five-year plans have been a roadmap for investors to look for tailwinds for economic sector performance.  We believe the high-tech industries will remain the main focus for investment.</li>
<li>Exporters of high-end equipment and machinery will continue to benefit with the consumption sector being a focus for international investors.</li>
</ul>


China will roll out its 2026 - 2030 five-year plan this month, which outline the economic and social roadmap until the end of the decade.  
Historically the five-year plans have been a roadmap for investors to look for tailwinds for economic sector performance.  We believe the high-tech industries will remain the main focus for investment.
Exporters of high-end equipment and machinery will continue to benefit with the consumption sector being a focus for international investors.


EMERGING THEMES: China's Next 5 Year Plan

Asia L/S Equity PM/Macro/Thematic Idea Generation

Rikki Malik

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>Government stabilisation measures kick in as tariff war starts to bite</li>
<li>Can the HK and China markets continue their bull run as markets dislocate?</li>
<li>Is it time to selectively get back into the Chinese tech sector?</li>
</ul>


Government stabilisation measures kick in as tariff war starts to bite
Can the HK and China markets continue their bull run as markets dislocate?
Is it time to selectively get back into the Chinese tech sector?


Hong Kong Market Strategy - Trade and Portfolio Ideas Amidst the Volatility

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze statistics on top repurchases over one week, one month, one quarter and one year periods ended on Jul 10th based on HKEx daily reports.</li>
<li>In the past 7 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Tencent (700 HK), Kuaishou (1024 HK), Gcl Technology (3800 HK).</li>
<li>In the past 30 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Tencent (700 HK), Li Auto (2015 HK), Xiaomi (1810 HK).</li>
</ul>


We analyze statistics on top repurchases over one week, one month, one quarter and one year periods ended on Jul 10th based on HKEx daily reports.
In the past 7 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Tencent (700 HK), Kuaishou (1024 HK), Gcl Technology (3800 HK).
In the past 30 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Tencent (700 HK), Li Auto (2015 HK), Xiaomi (1810 HK).


Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly (Jul 10th): Tencent, Kuaishou, Gcl Technology, Link Reit

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dongfeng-motor-group-co-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:910:1" rel="noopener">Dongfeng Motor (489 HK)</a> disclosed a pre-conditional privatisation by merger by absorption by Dongfeng Motor Corporation, along with a proposed distribution and listing of VOYAH shares.</li>
<li>The offer comprises HK$6.68 + 0.3552608 VOYAH H Shares per H Share, which is valued at HK$10.85 per H Share, a 81.7% premium to the last close price. </li>
<li>The vote is low risk as the offer is attractive. It values the remaining business at a premium multiple, and the appraised value of HK$11.735 per VOYAH share is conservative. </li>
</ul>



Dongfeng Motor (489 HK) disclosed a pre-conditional privatisation by merger by absorption by Dongfeng Motor Corporation, along with a proposed distribution and listing of VOYAH shares.
The offer comprises HK$6.68 + 0.3552608 VOYAH H Shares per H Share, which is valued at HK$10.85 per H Share, a 81.7% premium to the last close price. 
The vote is low risk as the offer is attractive. It values the remaining business at a premium multiple, and the appraised value of HK$11.735 per VOYAH share is conservative. 


Dongfeng Motor (489 HK): DFM’s Attractive Privatisation Offer

Hong Kong

Geely Automobile Holdings Limited is a leading Chinese automotive company primarily engaged in the research, development, manufacturing, marketing, and sale of passenger vehicles and related components. It offers a diverse portfolio of products including sedans, SUVs, and electric vehicles under brands such as Geely Auto, Lynk & Co, and Zeekr. The company is headquartered in Hong Kong and was founded in 1973.

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Geely Auto (175 HK)

Geely Automobile Holdings Ltd (0175 HK): Why Geely Is Actually a Bank

We believe that Geely Automobile, listed in Hong Kong as 0175, is a private equity fund first and an auto company second.

J Capital Research

EMERGING THEMES: China's Next 5 Year Plan

China will roll out its 2026 - 2030 five-year plan this month, outlining the economic and social roadmap until the end of the decade.Historically...

David Mudd

Hong Kong Market Strategy - Trade and Portfolio Ideas Amidst the Volatility

$769 has lagged other rare earth plays but it is now up 100% in two days. We would look to sell half and keep the rest as a free ride. Hard...

Rikki Malik

Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly (Jul 10th): Tencent, Kuaishou, Gcl Technology, Link Reit

We analyzed the Hong Kong buyback data in the past week and highlight the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares were Tencent (700 HK),...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Dongfeng Motor (489 HK): DFM’s Attractive Privatisation Offer

The transaction helps unlock the HoldCo discount. The offer is attractive as it values the remaining business at a premium multiple, and the...

Arun George

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