HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>The "Buy the worst" basket has outperformed the HSI by a massive 16.7pp YTD, mainly boosted by <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/chow-tai-fook-jewellery-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:549:1" rel="noopener">Chow Tai Fook Jewellery (1929 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wuxi-apptec" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23679:1" rel="noopener">Wuxi Biologics (2269 HK)</a>. </li>
<li>The best-performing constituents in 2024, however, lagged behind the HSI, dragged down by <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/trip-com-group-ltd-23a341d0-4f63-4175-a8c5-ee990906cacd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36424:1" rel="noopener">Trip.com Group (9961 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/meituan" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26970:1" rel="noopener">Meituan (3690 HK)</a>. </li>
<li>Government's consumption boost should benefit <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/chow-tai-fook-jewellery-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:549:1" rel="noopener">Chow Tai Fook Jewellery (1929 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/budweiser-brewing-co-apac-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28077:1" rel="noopener">Budweiser Brewing APAC (1876 HK)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-lung-properties-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:49:1" rel="noopener">Hang Lung Properties (101 HK)</a> in 2H25.</li>
</ul>


The "Buy the worst" basket has outperformed the HSI by a massive 16.7pp YTD, mainly boosted by Chow Tai Fook Jewellery (1929 HK) and Wuxi Biologics (2269 HK). 
The best-performing constituents in 2024, however, lagged behind the HSI, dragged down by Trip.com Group (9961 HK) and Meituan (3690 HK). 
Government's consumption boost should benefit Chow Tai Fook Jewellery (1929 HK), Budweiser Brewing APAC (1876 HK), and Hang Lung Properties (101 HK) in 2H25.


"Buy the Worst" HSI Strategy: Solid Gains in 1H25

Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Shifara Samsudeen, FCMA, CGMA

Equity Analyst

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Backed by <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/geely-automobile-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:127:1" rel="noopener">Geely Auto (175 HK)</a> , <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/caocao-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:42803:1" rel="noopener">CaoCao (2643 HK)</a> is a ride-hailing platform operating in China and has filed for an IPO on the HKEx to raise around US$237m.</li>
<li>The company’s revenues have seen significant growth with expanding into new cities, while it has managed to generated gross margins and reduce operating losses.</li>
<li>However, CaoCao’s balance sheet is highly leveraged with borrowings accounting for 1.77x of total assets and in dire need of cash to grow its business and repay debt.</li>
</ul>


Backed by Geely Auto (175 HK) , CaoCao (2643 HK) is a ride-hailing platform operating in China and has filed for an IPO on the HKEx to raise around US$237m.
The company’s revenues have seen significant growth with expanding into new cities, while it has managed to generated gross margins and reduce operating losses.
However, CaoCao’s balance sheet is highly leveraged with borrowings accounting for 1.77x of total assets and in dire need of cash to grow its business and repay debt.


CaoCao IPO: Improving Financials but In Need of Cash

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Nicholas Tan

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/caocao-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:42803:1" rel="noopener">CaoCao (2643 HK)</a>  is looking to raise up to $236m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO.</li>
<li>It is a ride hailing platform in China originally incubated by Geely Group connecting passengers and drivers to deliver consistent and high-quality ride experiences.</li>
<li>In this note, we examine the IPO dynamics, and look at the firm’s valuation.</li>
</ul>



CaoCao (2643 HK)  is looking to raise up to $236m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO.
It is a ride hailing platform in China originally incubated by Geely Group connecting passengers and drivers to deliver consistent and high-quality ride experiences.
In this note, we examine the IPO dynamics, and look at the firm’s valuation.


Overseas Chinese Equities, Aequitas Research

Ming Lu

Overseas Chinese Equities

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>BYD announced that the company would provide price discounts for 22 models.</li>
<li>BYD has scale advantage over other NEV car makers and the NEV industry has bargaining power over suppliers and dealers.</li>
<li>The auto association and the Ministry of Industry are trying to protect small companies from bankruptcy.</li>
</ul>


BYD announced that the company would provide price discounts for 22 models.
BYD has scale advantage over other NEV car makers and the NEV industry has bargaining power over suppliers and dealers.
The auto association and the Ministry of Industry are trying to protect small companies from bankruptcy.


BYD (1211 HK): Authorities Halting Severe Competition Throughout Industry and Industry Chain

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

Kioxia Holdings  / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Aequitas Research's weekly update on the IPOs, placements, lockup expiry and other ECM linked events that were covered by the team over the past week.</li>
<li>On the IPO front, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/foshan-haitian-flavouring-food-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15577:1" rel="noopener">Foshan Haitian Flavouring &amp; Food (603288 CH)</a> launched its IPO, while <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zhejiang-sanhua-intellignt-controls-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12940:1" rel="noopener">Zhejiang Sanhua Intellignt Controls Co., Ltd. (002050 CH)</a> has been pre-marketing.</li>
<li>On the placements front, there were a number of large deals acros the region, along with some large lockup expiries.</li>
</ul>


Aequitas Research's weekly update on the IPOs, placements, lockup expiry and other ECM linked events that were covered by the team over the past week.
On the IPO front, Foshan Haitian Flavouring &amp; Food (603288 CH) launched its IPO, while Zhejiang Sanhua Intellignt Controls Co., Ltd. (002050 CH) has been pre-marketing.
On the placements front, there were a number of large deals acros the region, along with some large lockup expiries.


ECM Weekly (16 June 2025) - Haitian, Sanhua, Kitazato, Primo, Kioxia, Xtalpi, Horizon, Keymed, Wuxi

Hong Kong

Geely Automobile Holdings Limited operates as a passenger vehicles manufacturing company. The Company provides passenger vehicles development, manufacturing, sales, and other services. Geely Automobile Holdings also exports passenger vehicles.

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Geely Auto (175 HK)

"Buy the Worst" HSI Strategy: Solid Gains in 1H25

The "Buy the worst" basket outperformed the HSI by 16.7pp YTD, boosted by Chow Tai Fook and Wuxi Biologics, while top performers in 2024 lagged,...

Osbert Tang, CFA

CaoCao IPO: Improving Financials but In Need of Cash

CaoCao plans to raise US$237m through HKEx IPO. The company's earnings have seen strong improvement during the last 2-years, however, debt-to-total...

Shifara Samsudeen, FCMA, CGMA

Cao Cao Pre-IPO: Grossly Overvalued

Cao Cao is looking to raise up to $236m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO. It is a ride hailing platform in China. In this note, we examine the IPO...

Nicholas Tan

BYD (1211 HK): Authorities Halting Severe Competition Throughout Industry and Industry Chain

BYD provideS price discounts for 22 models. BYD has cashflow advantage over competitors, suppliers, and dealers. Authorities are trying to prevent...

Ming Lu

ECM Weekly (16 June 2025) - Haitian, Sanhua, Kitazato, Primo, Kioxia, Xtalpi, Horizon, Keymed, Wuxi

Aequitas Research's weekly update on the IPOs, placements, lockup expiry and other ECM linked events that were covered by the team over the past week.

Sumeet Singh

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

"Buy the Worst" HSI Strategy: Solid Gains in 1H25

​The "Buy the worst" basket outperformed the HSI by 16.7pp YTD, boosted by Chow Tai Fook and Wuxi Biologics, while top performers in 2024 lagged,...

Osbert Tang, CFA

CaoCao IPO: Improving Financials but In Need of Cash

CaoCao plans to raise US$237m through HKEx IPO. The company's earnings have seen strong improvement during the last 2-years, however, debt-to-total...

Shifara Samsudeen, FCMA, CGMA

Cao Cao Pre-IPO: Grossly Overvalued

Cao Cao is looking to raise up to $236m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO. It is a ride hailing platform in China. In this note, we examine the IPO...

Nicholas Tan

BYD (1211 HK): Authorities Halting Severe Competition Throughout Industry and Industry Chain

BYD provideS price discounts for 22 models. BYD has cashflow advantage over competitors, suppliers, and dealers. Authorities are trying to prevent...

Ming Lu

ECM Weekly (16 June 2025) - Haitian, Sanhua, Kitazato, Primo, Kioxia, Xtalpi, Horizon, Keymed, Wuxi

Aequitas Research's weekly update on the IPOs, placements, lockup expiry and other ECM linked events that were covered by the team over the past week.

Sumeet Singh

The "Buy the worst" basket outperformed the HSI by 16.7pp YTD, boosted by Chow Tai Fook and Wuxi Biologics, while top performers in 2024 lagged,...