External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Maintain BUY. We are of the view that Geely’s FY23 earnings quality was better than FY21-22.</li><li>We believe most of its businesses are poised to enjoy higher profits in FY24E.</li><li>Some investors may overlook Geely’s recent assets disposal to ease its lingering D&amp;A burden by leveraging its parent’s resources.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Maintain BUY. We are of the view that Geely’s FY23 earnings quality was better than FY21-22.We believe most of its businesses are poised to enjoy higher profits in FY24E.Some investors may overlook Geely’s recent assets disposal to ease its lingering D&amp;A burden by leveraging its parent’s resources.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Geely Automobile (175 HK) - Most Businesses Are Trending Up

<ul><li>We project Geely’s 2H23E net profit to double HoH to RMB3.2bn amid all-timehigh half-year sales volume and declining raw-material prices, probably higher than some investors’ expectation.</li><li>We also project Geely’s FY24E sales volume to rise 7% YoY to 1.8mn units, slightly lower than its target of 1.9mn units.</li><li>We estimate Geely’s net profit to rise 32% YoY to RMB6.2bn in FY24E, taking different factors into consideration as elaborated in details below.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

We project Geely’s 2H23E net profit to double HoH to RMB3.2bn amid all-timehigh half-year sales volume and declining raw-material prices, probably higher than some investors’ expectation.We also project Geely’s FY24E sales volume to rise 7% YoY to 1.8mn units, slightly lower than its target of 1.9mn units.We estimate Geely’s net profit to rise 32% YoY to RMB6.2bn in FY24E, taking different factors into consideration as elaborated in details below.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Geely Automobile (175 HK) – Expect 2H23E Net Profit to Double HoH

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>China’s passenger-vehicle (PV) retail sales volume fell 1% YoY in first four months of 2023, 2% higher than our forecast made in Dec 2022.</li><li>Wholesale volume also rose 7% YoY YTD, 3% higher than our prior forecast, largely due to doubled PV exports in the first four months of 2023.</li><li>Automakers in China started to cut inventories in Apr 2023, as we had expected.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China’s passenger-vehicle (PV) retail sales volume fell 1% YoY in first four months of 2023, 2% higher than our forecast made in Dec 2022.Wholesale volume also rose 7% YoY YTD, 3% higher than our prior forecast, largely due to doubled PV exports in the first four months of 2023.Automakers in China started to cut inventories in Apr 2023, as we had expected.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Auto Sector – Mixed picture ahead as inventory risk lingers

<ul><li>We summarize the Mar 2024 price discounts at dealers for major automakers in this report.</li><li>Note that such discounts for each automaker are calculated based on the weighted average of Feb 2024 retail sales volume for each model, as Mar 2024 retail sales volume data have not been released yet.</li><li>On the surface, the industrywide average discounts remained flat MoM in Mar 2024. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

We summarize the Mar 2024 price discounts at dealers for major automakers in this report.Note that such discounts for each automaker are calculated based on the weighted average of Feb 2024 retail sales volume for each model, as Mar 2024 retail sales volume data have not been released yet.On the surface, the industrywide average discounts remained flat MoM in Mar 2024. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Auto - New models with lower MSRPs made discounts artificially stable

<ul><li>We summarize the Feb 2024 price discounts at dealers for major automakers in this report.</li><li>Note that such discounts for each automaker are calculated based on the weighted average of Jan 2023 retail sales volume for each model, as Feb 2024 retail sales volume data have not been released yet.</li><li>The industrywide average discounts remained largely flat MoM in Feb 2024, partially due to the Chinese New Year (CNY). </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

We summarize the Feb 2024 price discounts at dealers for major automakers in this report.Note that such discounts for each automaker are calculated based on the weighted average of Jan 2023 retail sales volume for each model, as Feb 2024 retail sales volume data have not been released yet.The industrywide average discounts remained largely flat MoM in Feb 2024, partially due to the Chinese New Year (CNY). Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Auto - Competition is stiffer than what discounts show

Hong Kong

Geely Automobile Holdings Limited operates as a passenger vehicles manufacturing company. The Company provides passenger vehicles development, manufacturing, sales, and other services. Geely Automobile Holdings also exports passenger vehicles.

Geely Auto (175 HK)

Geely Automobile (175 HK) – Expect 2H23E Net Profit to Double HoH

We project Geely’s 2H23E net profit to double HoH to RMB3.2bn amid all-timehigh half-year sales volume and declining raw-material prices, probably...

CMB International

China Auto Sector – Mixed picture ahead as inventory risk lingers

China’s passenger-vehicle (PV) retail sales volume fell 1% YoY in first four months of 2023, 2% higher than our forecast made in Dec 2022.

CMB International

Auto - New models with lower MSRPs made discounts artificially stable

Note that such discounts for each automaker are calculated based on the weighted average of Feb 2024 retail sales volume for each model

CMB International

Auto - Competition is stiffer than what discounts show

We summarize the Feb 2024 price discounts at dealers for major automakers in this report. Note that such discounts for each automaker are...

CMB International