Independent research on the U.S. markets, Baptista Research

Baptista Research

Independent research on the U.S. markets

Baptista Research is an independent financial research house focused on the U.S. markets. We provide equity research as well as credit research reports on the top-listed U.S. companies with most of our focus on technology, consumer goods and services, automobiles, industrials, oil and gas, pharma, and healthcare. Our research has served more than 3000 institutional investors including mutual funds, hedge funds, banks, family offices, and various buy-side firms. We operate a research subscription service where institutions, as well as retail investors, can have priority access to all our research. We also have a wide distribution of our research reports across some of the top global financial platforms. Apart from equity research and credit research, we also provide advisory services with respect to mergers & acquisitions (M&A), private equity/ venture capital fundraising, valuation reports, and investment management services for corporates.
Baptista Research is owned and managed by Ishan Majumdar, an ex-Venture Capitalist/ Investment Banker, a Chartered Accountant, and a Masters’ degree holder in Management from HEC Paris. Ishan has nearly a decade of experience in Mergers and Acquisitions, Leveraged Buyouts (LBOs), Venture Capital Investing, Corporate Strategy, and Valuation in front-office roles at the likes of BNP Paribas CIB, Credit Agricole CIB, Groupe Danone, and TIW Private Equity. He has worked on and closed multiple acquisition deals, leveraged buyouts, and start-up investment transactions.

Credit

<ul><li>Generac Holdings is a major energy technology player with a reasonable amount of debt on its balance sheet and showing ongoing growth in its commercial and industrial product categories.</li><li>Its weaker residential product sales have been a point of concern for the management.</li><li>Sales of C&I products have climbed significantly, with strong core sales growth across all domestic channels and all overseas areas.</li></ul>

Generac Holdings is a major energy technology player with a reasonable amount of debt on its balance sheet and showing ongoing growth in its commercial and industrial product categories.Its weaker residential product sales have been a point of concern for the management.Sales of C&I products have climbed significantly, with strong core sales growth across all domestic channels and all overseas areas.

Generac Holdings Inc.: Detailed Credit Analysis & Financial Strength Evaluation Report

Equity Capital Markets

Generac Holdings / Equity Capital Markets

<ul><li>This is our first report on a renowned energy technology player, Generac Holdings.</li><li>Sales of C&I products climbed significantly, with strong core sales growth across all domestic channels and all overseas areas.</li><li>We initiate coverage on the stock of Generac Holdings Inc. with a 'Hold' rating.</li></ul>

This is our first report on a renowned energy technology player, Generac Holdings.Sales of C&I products climbed significantly, with strong core sales growth across all domestic channels and all overseas areas.We initiate coverage on the stock of Generac Holdings Inc. with a 'Hold' rating.

Generac Holdings Inc.: Initiation of Coverage – Acquisition-Led Growth & Innovation

Fundamental Short Selling Research

Eric Fernandez, CFA

TwoRiversAnalytics

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>This model finds companies facing recent sharp cuts in estimates. These shorts can have very disparate characteristics.</li>
<li>The key judgement involves whether the negative revisions are temporary or if they are indications of ongoing weakness in the business. </li>
<li>Breaking Estimates stocks often continue to decline after the cuts.  This week we flag: Novavax, Micron, Generac, FormFactor</li>
</ul>


This model finds companies facing recent sharp cuts in estimates. These shorts can have very disparate characteristics.
The key judgement involves whether the negative revisions are temporary or if they are indications of ongoing weakness in the business. 
Breaking Estimates stocks often continue to decline after the cuts.  This week we flag: Novavax, Micron, Generac, FormFactor


Breaking Estimate Short Candidates: Novavax, Micron, Generac, FormFactor

<ul>
<li>Our breaking growth model uncovers slowing growth, margin declines, sales and/or earnings disappointments, troubling working capital trends, poor estimate trends or lowered guidance.</li>
<li>These shorts tend to have moderate to higher betas, time horizons of three to twelve months, higher valuations due to historically strong growth and are often “market darlings”.  </li>
<li>The short response, when growth breaks, is based on a downward reassessment of future growth potential frequently aided by multiple compression that accelerates the decline.</li>
</ul>


Our breaking growth model uncovers slowing growth, margin declines, sales and/or earnings disappointments, troubling working capital trends, poor estimate trends or lowered guidance.
These shorts tend to have moderate to higher betas, time horizons of three to twelve months, higher valuations due to historically strong growth and are often “market darlings”.  
The short response, when growth breaks, is based on a downward reassessment of future growth potential frequently aided by multiple compression that accelerates the decline.


Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Index Rebalance

On Friday post market close, S&amp;P Dow Jones announced the results of the March review for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-500" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22886:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P 500 (SPX INDEX)</a> that will be effective after the close of trading on 19 March.There are 4 additions - <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nxp-semiconductors-nv" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9801:1" rel="noopener">Nxp Semiconductors Nv (NXPI US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/penn-national-gaming-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5588:1" rel="noopener">Penn National Gaming (PENN US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/generac-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16223:1" rel="noopener">Generac Holdings (GNRC US)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/caesars-entertainment-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15532:1" rel="noopener">Caesars Entertainment (CZR US)</a>. To balance that out, there are 4 deletions - <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/flowserve-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20555:1" rel="noopener">Flowserve Corp (FLS US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sl-green-realty-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1548:1" rel="noopener">Sl Green Realty (SLG US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/xerox-holdings-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17585:1" rel="noopener">Xerox Corp (XRX US)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vontier-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28857:1" rel="noopener">Vontier Corp (VNT US)</a>.We estimate one-way turnover will be around US$22.4bn and the funding trade will see selling on a lot of the current index constituents.The biggest impact of the changes will be on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nxp-semiconductors-nv" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9801:1" rel="noopener">Nxp Semiconductors Nv (NXPI US)</a> where we estimate passive funds will need to buy around 11 days of ADV on the stock. The impact on the other stocks is much lower due to the move between the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-500" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22886:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P 500 (SPX INDEX)</a> and the S&amp;P Mid Cap 400 indices.

On Friday post market close, S&amp;P Dow Jones announced the results of the March review for the S&amp;P 500 (SPX INDEX) that will be effective after the close of trading on 19 March.There are 4 additions - Nxp Semiconductors Nv (NXPI US), Penn National Gaming (PENN US), Generac Holdings (GNRC US) and Caesars Entertainment (CZR US). To balance that out, there are 4 deletions - Flowserve Corp (FLS US), Sl Green Realty (SLG US), Xerox Corp (XRX US) and Vontier Corp (VNT US).We estimate one-way turnover will be around US$22.4bn and the funding trade will see selling on a lot of the current index constituents.The biggest impact of the changes will be on Nxp Semiconductors Nv (NXPI US) where we estimate passive funds will need to buy around 11 days of ADV on the stock. The impact on the other stocks is much lower due to the move between the S&amp;P 500 (SPX INDEX) and the S&amp;P Mid Cap 400 indices.

S&P500 Index Rebalance: NXPI Is the One to Watch

United States

Generac Holdings, Inc. manufactures automatic, stationary standby and portable generators.  The Company's generators serve the residential, commercial, industrial and telecommunications markets.

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Generac Holdings (GNRC US)

Generac Holdings Inc.: Detailed Credit Analysis & Financial Strength Evaluation Report

Generac Holdings is a major energy technology player with a reasonable amount of debt on its balance sheet and showing ongoing growth in its...

Baptista Research

Generac Holdings Inc.: Initiation of Coverage – Acquisition-Led Growth & Innovation

This is our first report on a renowned energy technology player, Generac Holdings. Sales of C&I products climbed significantly, with strong...

Baptista Research

Breaking Estimate Short Candidates: Novavax, Micron, Generac, FormFactor

This model uncovers companies facing recent declines in estimates. This week we flag: Novavax, Micron, Generac, & FormFactor

Eric Fernandez, CFA

Breaking Growth Short Candidates

Get a glimpse into our short idea generation process through our Breaking Growth model update. This week: Insulet, Generac, Catalent and Wingstop...

Eric Fernandez, CFA

S&P500 Index Rebalance: NXPI Is the One to Watch

There are 4 changes to the S&P500 with NXP Semiconductors the largest beneficiary of the changes. Estimated one-way turnover is US$22.4bn and there...

Brian Freitas

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