Co-founder & Managing Director, Marketnomix 

Rajan Govil

Co-founder & Managing Director

Marketnomix 

Macroeconomics

The Federal Reserve can be expected to stay on course to normalize interest rate policy through the year as the unemployment rate continues to decline, hourly earnings remain on an upward trend and other economic indicators such as retail sales, house prices and consumer sentiment continue to improve on a trend basis.We expect the pace of rate increases to be very gradual, and see the Federal Funds rate around 1.0% by the end of 2016. The pace of increase will depend on the strength of the US…

The Federal Reserve can be expected to stay on course to normalize interest rate policy through the year as the unemployment rate continues to decline, hourly earnings remain on an upward trend and other economic indicators such as retail sales, house prices and consumer sentiment continue to improve on a trend basis.We expect the pace of rate increases to be very gradual, and see the Federal Funds rate around 1.0% by the end of 2016. The pace of increase will depend on the strength of the US…

US: Federal Reserve to Stay on Course to Normalize Rates

Founder, Riedel Research

David Riedel

Founder

Independent equity research on GEM Markets

Riedel Research

Riedel provides equity research and analysis to leading financial organizations. By becoming members of a region (Asia, Latin America, Emerging Europe or Global), organizations have access to an integrated set of services including:

Regular company coverage reports
Up-to-date investment decision advice (buy, hold, sell)
Monthly regional and global conference calls
Customized company reports and unlimited on-line access to the program's services.

Riedel provides research coverage of companies across the full range of market capitalization. Experienced research professionals in each market develop company reports and analysis as well as earnings models and projections. Ratings are Buy, Hold and Sell with a focus on compelling investment ideas - both long and short. Downloadable, dynamic earnings models are built to facilitate sensitivity analysis.

Please feel free to contact us for complimentary access to our written research.  We want to show you that our unique research flow can add value and help develop a long-term, high value-add relationship.

Riedel's model focuses on providing clients with unique insights and consulting in addition to unlimited access to all produced research This model allows members to receive exponential benefits for their retainer fees.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

Recently global equity markets have come under stress due to the high degree of uncertainty stemming from US Fed’s recent FOMC meeting, political risk in the US around Trump’s candidacy and the upcoming vote for a Brexit set to take place on June 23rd.  Inaction among four major central banks this week has highlighted the fact that major policy makers are very uncertain about the impact that a potential Brexit may have on the global economy. While the risk of Brexit seems to have faded today the markets may not have fully appreciated the risk to the global economy of a Brexit.The UK economy and consumer sentiment is tightly tied to a number of other European countries which have high consumer sentiment that has been buoying overall consumer sentiment.  Any risk to this group of exuberant countries puts global consumer sentiment at real risk of a sharp drop.

 Recently global equity markets have come under stress due to the high degree of uncertainty stemming from US Fed’s recent FOMC meeting, political risk in the US around Trump’s candidacy and the upcoming vote for a Brexit set to take place on June 23rd.  Inaction among four major central banks this week has highlighted the fact that major policy makers are very uncertain about the impact that a potential Brexit may have on the global economy. While the risk of Brexit seems to have faded today the markets may not have fully appreciated the risk to the global economy of a Brexit.The UK economy and consumer sentiment is tightly tied to a number of other European countries which have high consumer sentiment that has been buoying overall consumer sentiment.  Any risk to this group of exuberant countries puts global consumer sentiment at real risk of a sharp drop.

Global Economy Dodges a Bullet - Brexit Could Cause Global Recession

Asymmetric Payoffs, Thracian Capital Management

Asymmetric Payoffs

Thracian Capital Management

Our sixty-page market commentary for the month of June, including macro analysis and trade ideas across asset classes-- macro, volatility, equities, foreign exchange, commodities and credit / interest rates.

Our sixty-page market commentary for the month of June, including macro analysis and trade ideas across asset classes-- macro, volatility, equities, foreign exchange, commodities and credit / interest rates. 

Leading Independent Investment Research, Morningstar, Inc.

Morningstar

Leading Independent Investment Research

Morningstar, Inc.

Morningstar, Inc. is a leading provider of independent investment research in North America, Europe, Australia, and Asia. We offer an extensive line of products and services for individual investors, financial advisors, asset managers, and retirement plan providers and sponsors. 

Morningstar provides data on more than 500,000 investment offerings, including stocks, mutual funds, and similar vehicles, along with real-time global market data on more than 16 million equities, indexes, futures, options, commodities, and precious metals, in addition to foreign exchange and Treasury markets. Morningstar also offers investment management services through its investment advisory subsidiaries, with more than $180 billion in assets under advisement or management as of June 30, 2015. We have operations in 27 countries.

Download the Morningstar Fact Sheet : http://corporate.morningstar.com/US/documents/MarketingFactSheets/AboutMorningstarFactsheet.pdf

Equity Bottom-Up

Tesla's brand clearly has cachet; it appeals to both environmentalists and tech early adopters and could one day help earn the firm an economic moat. On the other hand, we still see massive uncertainty and risks around the company's future and the adoption of pure electric vehicles, which we refer to as EVs or battery electric vehicles (BEVs).GM does not get enough credit for its electrification work such as the Chevrolet Volt, Chevrolet Spark, and the all-new Chevrolet Bolt due out late this year. Tesla has overshadowed GM's efforts and perhaps caused some would-be auto investors to ignore what we believe is a very cheap stock that is unfairly ignored. GM's vehicles are the best they've been in years, in our view, the company is buying back plenty of its own stock while it is undervalued, and the turnaround story is still not done—the company has cost-cutting programs still in progress as well as more scale to extract from its roughly 10 million unit annual sales volume.We see GM's stock having attractive upside with far less risk than Tesla.Analyst: David Whiston

Tesla's brand clearly has cachet; it appeals to both environmentalists and tech early adopters and could one day help earn the firm an economic moat. On the other hand, we still see massive uncertainty and risks around the company's future and the adoption of pure electric vehicles, which we refer to as EVs or battery electric vehicles (BEVs).GM does not get enough credit for its electrification work such as the Chevrolet Volt, Chevrolet Spark, and the all-new Chevrolet Bolt due out late this year. Tesla has overshadowed GM's efforts and perhaps caused some would-be auto investors to ignore what we believe is a very cheap stock that is unfairly ignored. GM's vehicles are the best they've been in years, in our view, the company is buying back plenty of its own stock while it is undervalued, and the turnaround story is still not done—the company has cost-cutting programs still in progress as well as more scale to extract from its roughly 10 million unit annual sales volume.We see GM's stock having attractive upside with far less risk than Tesla.Analyst: David Whiston

Rise of the Electric Car or Still a Long Road Ahead? We Prefer GM Over Tesla as an Investment

Thematic Investing in Tech and Media, CM Research

Cyrus Mewawalla

Thematic Investing in Tech and Media

Thematic TMT investing

CM Research

CM Research is an independent research house based in London, England. We provide global thematic research in the Technology, Media and Telecoms (TMT) sectors. 

Our focus is on disruptive technologies: how will they unfold; which industries will be impacted; and who will be the ultimate winners and losers. 

Our aim is to help investors predict share prices and corporate executives stay one step ahead of the technology trends that are shaping their industry. 

We research technology investment themes in detail and then feed the results into a scorecard system to quantify the impact of several conflicting themes on individual stocks. 

Recent themes covered include internet TV, the Internet of Things, Big Data, Mobile payments, crowdfunding, artificial intelligence, the cloud, software defined networking and Generation Hashtag.

We cover the top 500 global TMT stocks by market capitalisation and several technology start-ups and pre-IPO companies too. 

In 2015, CM Research analysts outperformed the Bloomberg Benchmark Analyst Index - which measures how good analysts are at predicting stock prices - by 7.1%.

<ul><li>TV broadcasters still control 93% of subscriptions and advertising revenues that pass through the TV set. The remaining 7% of revenues relates to video streaming services like Netflix.</li><li>But Internet TV will move faster and be more disruptive than analysts predict.</li><li>The inflection point will be the arrival of a “pure” internet TV in which all TV viewing is accessed by a single operating system, probably remote controlled by a smartphone or tablet.</li><li>Film and TV studios will see content prices bid up as technology companies – like Apple, Netflix and Alibaba – compete to acquire content rights.</li><li>TV broadcasters will report profit warnings as they lose control of payTV subscription revenues and TV advertising revenues.</li></ul>

TV broadcasters still control 93% of subscriptions and advertising revenues that pass through the TV set. The remaining 7% of revenues relates to video streaming services like Netflix.But Internet TV will move faster and be more disruptive than analysts predict.The inflection point will be the arrival of a “pure” internet TV in which all TV viewing is accessed by a single operating system, probably remote controlled by a smartphone or tablet.Film and TV studios will see content prices bid up as technology companies – like Apple, Netflix and Alibaba – compete to acquire content rights.TV broadcasters will report profit warnings as they lose control of payTV subscription revenues and TV advertising revenues.

United States

General Motors Co. manufactures and markets new cars and trucks. The Company offers features for special needs drivers, OnStar vehicle protection, service, parts, accessories, maintenance, XM satellite radio, features for commercial owners, and more. General Motors offers its vehicles and services worldwide.

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General Motors (GM US)

US: Federal Reserve to Stay on Course to Normalize Rates

The Federal Reserve can be expected to stay on course to normalize interest rate policy through the year as the unemployment rate continues to...

Rajan Govil

Global Economy Dodges a Bullet - Brexit Could Cause Global Recession

Recently global equity markets have come under stress due to the high degree of uncertainty stemming from US Fed’s recent FOMC meeting, political...

David Riedel

Market Commentary (June 2016)

Our sixty-page market commentary for the month of June, including macro analysis and trade ideas across asset classes-- macro, volatility,...

Asymmetric Payoffs

Rise of the Electric Car or Still a Long Road Ahead? We Prefer GM Over Tesla as an Investment

Tesla's brand clearly has cachet; it appeals to both environmentalists and tech early adopters and could one day help earn the firm an economic...

Morningstar, Inc.

Internet TV as an Investment Theme

TV broadcasters still control 93% of subscriptions and advertising revenues that pass through the TV set. The remaining 7% of revenues relates to...

CM Research

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