Expert on Japan Retail and Consumer Markets, JapanConsuming

Michael Causton

Expert on Japan Retail and Consumer Markets

Real Insight on Japanese Consumer Markets

JapanConsuming

JapanConsuming is a specialist research firm producing intelligence on Japanese retail and consumer markets. Founded in 2000, JapanConsuming has become the leading provider of insights on Japanese retailers and consumer trends to retailers, brands, government agencies and investors. As well as a highly regarded monthly report on the market, JapanConsuming produces in-depth reports on retail sectors, seminars on key trends and telephone consulting to investors on trends and retailers.

JapanConsuming was founded by Michael Causton and Roy Larke. 

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The possible merger between Welcia and Tsuruha under Aeon has been talked about for years despite concerns from both drugstores, but may now happen.</li>
<li>But calling these retailers drugstores is increasingly a misnomer: FMCG-drugstores is better because they and many others in the sector, increasingly compete with FMCG retailers like supermarkets and even CVS.</li>
<li>This evolution is rapid so the merits of a deal make more sense when we view it from a sector five years in the future than how it is today.</li>
</ul>


The possible merger between Welcia and Tsuruha under Aeon has been talked about for years despite concerns from both drugstores, but may now happen.
But calling these retailers drugstores is increasingly a misnomer: FMCG-drugstores is better because they and many others in the sector, increasingly compete with FMCG retailers like supermarkets and even CVS.
This evolution is rapid so the merits of a deal make more sense when we view it from a sector five years in the future than how it is today.


Aeon, Welcia and Tsuruha: Creating an FMCG Behemoth

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>A lot has been said and written about Trial's IPO but much of this relates to pass performance and comparing it to supermarkets.</li>
<li>As the company's latest Trial Go store in Fukuoka shows,  Trial is a tech-based retailer and a true discounter, and discounting is where the growth is in Japanese FMCG.</li>
<li>Trial thinks its technology can reduce costs significantly, improving margins while allowing it to roll out more small format stores to compete with convenience stores. It may be right.</li>
</ul>


A lot has been said and written about Trial's IPO but much of this relates to pass performance and comparing it to supermarkets.
As the company's latest Trial Go store in Fukuoka shows,  Trial is a tech-based retailer and a true discounter, and discounting is where the growth is in Japanese FMCG.
Trial thinks its technology can reduce costs significantly, improving margins while allowing it to roll out more small format stores to compete with convenience stores. It may be right.


Trial IPO to Drive Tech Innovation Targeting Convenience Stores

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>As outlined in previous reports, Aeon has been working hard to streamline its vast retail empire but also rethinking the fundamentals of retailing for each major format it operates.</li>
<li>The results are now coming through with a big increase in operating profits in 1H2023, up 23% on last year.</li>
<li>There is real momentum now, and the new online supermarket business is central to its ambitions to create the first true national FMCG business.</li>
</ul>


As outlined in previous reports, Aeon has been working hard to streamline its vast retail empire but also rethinking the fundamentals of retailing for each major format it operates.
The results are now coming through with a big increase in operating profits in 1H2023, up 23% on last year.
There is real momentum now, and the new online supermarket business is central to its ambitions to create the first true national FMCG business.


Aeon Keeps Working After High Profit Growth

<ul>
<li>The Matsumotokiyoshi and Cocokara Fine merger is now complete following almost two years of dealing, planning and company bonding.</li>
<li>The combined business creates the single biggest drugstore group in Japan, although the Tokyo-based partners have lost ground in the past year while others have grown strongly.</li>
<li>As a result, the lead is smaller than they previously expected – and will likely get smaller still. The good news is that profits should soar.</li>
</ul>


The Matsumotokiyoshi and Cocokara Fine merger is now complete following almost two years of dealing, planning and company bonding.
The combined business creates the single biggest drugstore group in Japan, although the Tokyo-based partners have lost ground in the past year while others have grown strongly.
As a result, the lead is smaller than they previously expected – and will likely get smaller still. The good news is that profits should soar.


Executive Director, Metrical Inc

Aki Matsumoto

Executive Director

Independent Leading Corporate Governance Research

Metrical Inc

METRICAL INC. is an independent leading Corporate Governance research firm in Japan where Corporate Governance is increasingly recognized as an important element on corporate management in these days. Thus, CG research and solutions would become an essential component of global capital markets and play important to contribute to transparency of the markets and maximize shareholders’ value in Japan. 

METRICAL INC. provides Corporate Governance research and analysis including rating services, and  also offers investment research and IR services with solutions and customized profound research on CG and IR issues.

<p>In the previous article, "Japan's Governance: Founder Family Ownership / Case of Drugstore Industry," I examined the negative correlation between the diversification of the founder family's ownership and the decline in the percentage of ownership in value creation indicators such as ROE, ROA, and Tobin's Q. The drugstore industry was chosen as a case study. The reason for choosing the drugstore industry as a case study is that more than 20 years have passed since the companys' inception in the 1990s, and many major drugstore chains are now at a point where the founders are stepping down from the management line and handing over management to their successors. This is because the competition in the industry is becoming more intensified as the founders' shareholdings become more diversified, and management decisions are becoming more critical for the survival of the industry as it approaches the stage of deciding who will win. In this article, I would like to focus on one company in the industry whose founder is at the front line of management, Genky DrugStores (9267). I will focus on Genky DrugStores (9267) because of its unique management strategy.</p>

In the previous article, "Japan's Governance: Founder Family Ownership / Case of Drugstore Industry," I examined the negative correlation between the diversification of the founder family's ownership and the decline in the percentage of ownership in value creation indicators such as ROE, ROA, and Tobin's Q. The drugstore industry was chosen as a case study. The reason for choosing the drugstore industry as a case study is that more than 20 years have passed since the companys' inception in the 1990s, and many major drugstore chains are now at a point where the founders are stepping down from the management line and handing over management to their successors. This is because the competition in the industry is becoming more intensified as the founders' shareholdings become more diversified, and management decisions are becoming more critical for the survival of the industry as it approaches the stage of deciding who will win. In this article, I would like to focus on one company in the industry whose founder is at the front line of management, Genky DrugStores (9267). I will focus on Genky DrugStores (9267) because of its unique management strategy.

Japan's Governance: Founder Family Ownership / Case of Drugstore Industry (2)

Japan

Genky DrugStores Co., Ltd. operates drug stores. The Company sells prescription drugs and medications. Genky DrugStores provides its services in Japan.

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Genky DrugStores Co Ltd (9267 JP)

Aeon, Welcia and Tsuruha: Creating an FMCG Behemoth

Merger between Welcia and Tsuruha under Aeon may happen as FMCG-drugstores increasingly compete with supermarkets and CVS, so we need to view the...

Michael Causton

Trial IPO to Drive Tech Innovation Targeting Convenience Stores

Trial failed to complete an IPO and is now going again and the same fundamentals outlined in this insight apply today as it is a long-term viewpoint.

Michael Causton

Aeon Keeps Working After High Profit Growth

Aeon's efforts to revamp its retail empire and rethink strategies are paying off, with a 23% rise in OP in 1H2023. A new online store is key to...

Michael Causton

Matsukiyo Cocokara: Together at Last

MatsukiyoCocokara may top the drugstore ranking post-merger but Welcia and Tsuruha have grown much faster and may take the lead again soon given...

Michael Causton

Japan's Governance: Founder Family Ownership / Case of Drugstore Industry (2)

I would like to focus on one company in the industry whose founder is at the front line of management, Genky DrugStores (9267) because of its...

Metrical Inc

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Aeon, Welcia and Tsuruha: Creating an FMCG Behemoth

​Merger between Welcia and Tsuruha under Aeon may happen as FMCG-drugstores increasingly compete with supermarkets and CVS, so we need to view the...

Michael Causton

Trial IPO to Drive Tech Innovation Targeting Convenience Stores

Trial failed to complete an IPO and is now going again and the same fundamentals outlined in this insight apply today as it is a long-term viewpoint.

Michael Causton

Aeon Keeps Working After High Profit Growth

​Aeon's efforts to revamp its retail empire and rethink strategies are paying off, with a 23% rise in OP in 1H2023. A new online store is key to...

Michael Causton

Matsukiyo Cocokara: Together at Last

MatsukiyoCocokara may top the drugstore ranking post-merger but Welcia and Tsuruha have grown much faster and may take the lead again soon given...

Michael Causton

Japan's Governance: Founder Family Ownership / Case of Drugstore Industry (2)

I would like to focus on one company in the industry whose founder is at the front line of management, Genky DrugStores (9267) because of its...

Metrical Inc

Merger between Welcia and Tsuruha under Aeon may happen as FMCG-drugstores increasingly compete with supermarkets and CVS, so we need to view the...

Aeon's efforts to revamp its retail empire and rethink strategies are paying off, with a 23% rise in OP in 1H2023. A new online store is key to...