Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of Bursa stocks as of Mar 27th. The aggregated short interest is USD526m.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Public Bank, Malaysian Resources, IJM, FARM FRESH, ITMAX System.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of Bursa stocks as of Mar 27th. The aggregated short interest is USD526m.
We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Public Bank, Malaysian Resources, IJM, FARM FRESH, ITMAX System.


Bursa Short Interest Weekly (Mar 27th): Public Bank, Malaysian Resources, IJM, FARM FRESH

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of Bursa stocks as of Dec 12th. The aggregated short interest is USD460m.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in CIMB, Public Bank, Gamuda, Datasonic, Guan Chong.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of Bursa stocks as of Dec 12th. The aggregated short interest is USD460m.
We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in CIMB, Public Bank, Gamuda, Datasonic, Guan Chong.


Bursa Short Interest Weekly (Dec 12th): CIMB, Public Bank, Gamuda, Datasonic, Guan Chong

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Public Investment Bank Bhd

Public Investment Bank Bhd

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Public Investment Bank Berhad provides investment banking services. The Company offers corporate finance, banking, securities financing, capital market, treasury, and advisory services.

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Malaysia’s palm oil inventory ended 2024 with a low inventory level at 1.7m mt as exports recorded robust growth while production growth moderated.</li><li>It is also the lowest level since 2021. The full-year CPO price averaged at RM4,250/mt compared to 2023’s RM3,832/mt and it was also slightly higher than our forecast of RM4,100/mt.</li><li>Meanwhile, the CPO price had a short-lived run-up in recent months as it reached a high of RM5,181/mt before retreating to the current level of RM4,632/mt. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Malaysia’s palm oil inventory ended 2024 with a low inventory level at 1.7m mt as exports recorded robust growth while production growth moderated.It is also the lowest level since 2021. The full-year CPO price averaged at RM4,250/mt compared to 2023’s RM3,832/mt and it was also slightly higher than our forecast of RM4,100/mt.Meanwhile, the CPO price had a short-lived run-up in recent months as it reached a high of RM5,181/mt before retreating to the current level of RM4,632/mt. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

PLANTATIONS - Ending the Year at Low Inventory Level

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kuala-lumpur-kepong-bhd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17039:1" rel="noopener">Kuala Lumpur Kepong (KLK MK)</a> made an offer to acquire <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ijm-corp-bhd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16784:1" rel="noopener">Ijm Corp Bhd (IJM MK)</a>/IJMC’s entire stake in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ijm-plantations-bhd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12967:1" rel="noopener">Ijm Plantations (IJMP MK)</a>/IJMP for RM3.10 per share in cash, subject to potential dividend adjustments. The offer price is a 26% premium to the unaffected price of RM2.46 per share (prior to the trading halt on 8 June).IJMC is IJMP’s largest shareholder and owns 494.9 million shares, representing 56.2% of outstanding shares. The proposed acquisition implies a cost of RM1.53 billion ($371.7 million). KLK’s offer is subject to IJMC’s acceptance and execution of the definitive agreement (SPA) on or before 5.00 p.m. on 11 June 2021 or such a mutually extended date, failing which the offer will lapse. IJMC has stated that is agreeable to finalise the terms with KLK to meet the offer deadline. IJMP is listed on the Main Markets of Bursa Malaysia. In Malaysia, the threshold for triggering a mandatory general offer (MGO) is the offeror and concert parties owning 33% or more of the voting shares. If the SPA becomes unconditional, KLK will be required to extend a mandatory general offer to acquire all the remaining IJMP shares for a cash offer price of RM3.10 per share, subject to potential dividend adjustments.  <div class="content-highlight">A key condition precedent for the SPA is approval by both IJMC and KLK shareholders at their respective EGMs. We think that the deal should gain EGM approval as it is attractive to both IJMC and KLK shareholders. Overall, at the last close price, the downside risk is low (trading close to break price) with a good probability of upside (SPA becoming unconditional).  </div>

Kuala Lumpur Kepong (KLK MK) made an offer to acquire Ijm Corp Bhd (IJM MK)/IJMC’s entire stake in Ijm Plantations (IJMP MK)/IJMP for RM3.10 per share in cash, subject to potential dividend adjustments. The offer price is a 26% premium to the unaffected price of RM2.46 per share (prior to the trading halt on 8 June).IJMC is IJMP’s largest shareholder and owns 494.9 million shares, representing 56.2% of outstanding shares. The proposed acquisition implies a cost of RM1.53 billion ($371.7 million). KLK’s offer is subject to IJMC’s acceptance and execution of the definitive agreement (SPA) on or before 5.00 p.m. on 11 June 2021 or such a mutually extended date, failing which the offer will lapse. IJMC has stated that is agreeable to finalise the terms with KLK to meet the offer deadline. IJMP is listed on the Main Markets of Bursa Malaysia. In Malaysia, the threshold for triggering a mandatory general offer (MGO) is the offeror and concert parties owning 33% or more of the voting shares. If the SPA becomes unconditional, KLK will be required to extend a mandatory general offer to acquire all the remaining IJMP shares for a cash offer price of RM3.10 per share, subject to potential dividend adjustments.  A key condition precedent for the SPA is approval by both IJMC and KLK shareholders at their respective EGMs. We think that the deal should gain EGM approval as it is attractive to both IJMC and KLK shareholders. Overall, at the last close price, the downside risk is low (trading close to break price) with a good probability of upside (SPA becoming unconditional).  

IJM Plantations’ Potential MGO from Kuala Lumpur Kepong

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Index Rebalance

The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kuala-lumpur-composite-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22913:1" rel="noopener">Kuala Lumpur Composite Index (Klci) (FBMKLCI INDEX)</a> is the flagship index of the Bursa Malaysia. The index has 30 stocks and is a free float weighted market cap index. The next rebalance will be announced on 3 December and will be effective after the close of trading on 18 December.Based on last market prices, we see <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/supermax-corp-bhd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12883:1" rel="noopener">Supermax Corp (SUCB MK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kossan-rubber-industries" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20482:1" rel="noopener">Kossan Rubber Industries (KRI MK)</a> being included in the index, and expect <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/genting-malaysia-bhd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3141:1" rel="noopener">Genting Malaysia (GENM MK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/genting-bhd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14210:1" rel="noopener">Genting Bhd (GENT MK)</a> to be deleted.The one-way turnover of the rebalance is expected to be 4.84%. The impact of passive buying on the expected inclusions is less than 0.6 days of ADV, while the impact on the expected deletions is larger at over 2 days of ADV to sell.With the glove makers already having rallied a lot, we take a look at some trade ideas that we believe have a good reward/risk ratio.

The Kuala Lumpur Composite Index (Klci) (FBMKLCI INDEX) is the flagship index of the Bursa Malaysia. The index has 30 stocks and is a free float weighted market cap index. The next rebalance will be announced on 3 December and will be effective after the close of trading on 18 December.Based on last market prices, we see Supermax Corp (SUCB MK) and Kossan Rubber Industries (KRI MK) being included in the index, and expect Genting Malaysia (GENM MK) and Genting Bhd (GENT MK) to be deleted.The one-way turnover of the rebalance is expected to be 4.84%. The impact of passive buying on the expected inclusions is less than 0.6 days of ADV, while the impact on the expected deletions is larger at over 2 days of ADV to sell.With the glove makers already having rallied a lot, we take a look at some trade ideas that we believe have a good reward/risk ratio.

KLCI Index Rebalance Preview: Getting the Glove Makers to Fit

Malaysia

Genting Plantations Berhad is an investment holding company which operates plantations. The Company, through its subsidiaries, also develops and invests in properties, processes fresh fruit bunches, trades rubber wood, provides palm oil mill management services, and operates golf course.

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Genting Plantations (GENP MK)

Bursa Short Interest Weekly (Mar 27th): Public Bank, Malaysian Resources, IJM, FARM FRESH

We analyzed Bursa Malaysia short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in Public Bank, Malaysian Resources, IJM,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Bursa Short Interest Weekly (Dec 12th): CIMB, Public Bank, Gamuda, Datasonic, Guan Chong

We analyzed Bursa Malaysia short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in CIMB, Public Bank, Gamuda, Datasonic,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

PLANTATIONS - Ending the Year at Low Inventory Level

Malaysia’s palm oil inventory ended 2024 with a low inventory level at 1.7m mt as exports recorded robust growth while production growth moderated.

Public Investment Bank Bhd

IJM Plantations’ Potential MGO from Kuala Lumpur Kepong

KLK MK made an offer to acquire IJMC’s entire stake in IJMP for RM3.10 per share in cash, subject to potential dividend adjustments. If the SPA...

Arun George

KLCI Index Rebalance Preview: Getting the Glove Makers to Fit

The Kuala Lumpur Composite Index (Klci) (FBMKLCI INDEX) is the flagship index of the Bursa Malaysia. The index has 30 stocks and is a free float...

Brian Freitas

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