Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

Circle Internet Group / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We remain bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and we will maintain our bullish outlook as long as market dynamics remain healthy and the S&amp;P 500 (SPX) is above 6028-6059.</li>
<li>For now, we continue to expect support to show up at the 4-month uptrend, which generally coincides with the 20-day MA.</li>
<li>Speculative growth themes (quantum,nuclear, hydrogen, space, robotics, drones, data centers, solar, biotech, WGMI,ARKK,ARKQ,ARKX,ARKW,ARKG, etc.) have been rolling, and we've been recommending them in this section every week for 1+ months.</li>
</ul>


We remain bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and we will maintain our bullish outlook as long as market dynamics remain healthy and the S&amp;P 500 (SPX) is above 6028-6059.
For now, we continue to expect support to show up at the 4-month uptrend, which generally coincides with the 20-day MA.
Speculative growth themes (quantum,nuclear, hydrogen, space, robotics, drones, data centers, solar, biotech, WGMI,ARKK,ARKQ,ARKX,ARKW,ARKG, etc.) have been rolling, and we've been recommending them in this section every week for 1+ months.


Downgrading Financials to Underweight; Growth Themes Galore; Health Care Breaking Out

Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Daiichi Sankyo’s indication expansion application for Enhertu has been accepted for review by FDA for certain types of breast cancers. Santen’s new drug application has been accepted in China.  </li>
<li>Hanmi Pharm entered into a global licensing agreement with Gilead Sciences granting Gilead the exclusive rights to develop and commercialize encequidar. Boryung is acquiring Sanofi’s cytotoxic anti-cancer drug Taxotere.</li>
<li>IHH Healthcare received SEBI approval for mandatory open offer for 26% stake in Fortis Healthcare. Lupin has launched Liraglutide prefilled pen, bioequivalent to Victoza, in the U.S.</li>
</ul>


Daiichi Sankyo’s indication expansion application for Enhertu has been accepted for review by FDA for certain types of breast cancers. Santen’s new drug application has been accepted in China.  
Hanmi Pharm entered into a global licensing agreement with Gilead Sciences granting Gilead the exclusive rights to develop and commercialize encequidar. Boryung is acquiring Sanofi’s cytotoxic anti-cancer drug Taxotere.
IHH Healthcare received SEBI approval for mandatory open offer for 26% stake in Fortis Healthcare. Lupin has launched Liraglutide prefilled pen, bioequivalent to Victoza, in the U.S.


APAC Healthcare Weekly (October 5) – Daiichi Sankyo, Santen, Hanmi Pharm, Boryung, IHH Health, Lupin

<ul>
<li>EMA’s human medicines committee (CHMP) recommended sixteen medicines for approval at its April 2025 meeting. CHMP also adopted positive opinion for nine biosimilar medicines.</li>
<li>Among the new medicines, Vertex’s triple combination cystic fibrosis drug Alyftrek, Amgen’s Thyroid eye disease drug Tepezza, and Jazz Pharmaceutical’s billiary tract cancer drug Ziihera have potential to become blockbusters.</li>
<li>The Agency has recommended the refusal of the marketing authorization for Eli Lilly’s Alzheimer’s Disease drug Kisunla. Eli Lilly may ask for a re-examination of the opinion within 15 days.</li>
</ul>


EMA’s human medicines committee (CHMP) recommended sixteen medicines for approval at its April 2025 meeting. CHMP also adopted positive opinion for nine biosimilar medicines.
Among the new medicines, Vertex’s triple combination cystic fibrosis drug Alyftrek, Amgen’s Thyroid eye disease drug Tepezza, and Jazz Pharmaceutical’s billiary tract cancer drug Ziihera have potential to become blockbusters.
The Agency has recommended the refusal of the marketing authorization for Eli Lilly’s Alzheimer’s Disease drug Kisunla. Eli Lilly may ask for a re-examination of the opinion within 15 days.


CHMP Meeting Update April 2025: Sixteen New Medicines Recommended For Approval

Asian Hedge Fund Manager, Long Short Equity, Macro

David Mudd

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/insilico-medicine-cayman-topco" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:39890:1" rel="noopener">Insilico Medicine (3696 HK)</a> has risen since its 1H26 earnings announcement.  The company's rentosertib drug reversed biological aging markers in its Phase IIa trial.
</li>
<li>Rentosertib holds a singular distinction: it is the first end-to-end AI-discovered and AI-targeted drug to reach Phase III clinical development globally.</li>
<li>The China CDE permitted a direct jump from Phase IIa to Phase III based on efficacy data, an unusual regulatory concession.</li>
</ul>



Insilico Medicine (3696 HK) has risen since its 1H26 earnings announcement.  The company's rentosertib drug reversed biological aging markers in its Phase IIa trial.

Rentosertib holds a singular distinction: it is the first end-to-end AI-discovered and AI-targeted drug to reach Phase III clinical development globally.
The China CDE permitted a direct jump from Phase IIa to Phase III based on efficacy data, an unusual regulatory concession.


INSILICO: Discovering the Fountain of Youth - You're Not Getting Any Older !!

<ul>
<li>China's NMPA aims to redouble efforts to facilitate research and market registration of homegrown innovative drugs, while speeding up the introduction of novel foreign drugs to the domestic market.</li>
<li>Since the BoJ interest rate hike in July, the Yen appreciated ~5% to ¥142.74. Considerable amount of appreciation may be dilutive on the overall performance of export-oriented healthcare industry.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sigma-healthcare-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15966:1" rel="noopener">Sigma Healthcare (SIG AU)</a> has offered remedial measure to alleviate preliminary anti-competition concerns raised by ACCC in relation to its proposed merger with CWG.</li>
</ul>


China's NMPA aims to redouble efforts to facilitate research and market registration of homegrown innovative drugs, while speeding up the introduction of novel foreign drugs to the domestic market.
Since the BoJ interest rate hike in July, the Yen appreciated ~5% to ¥142.74. Considerable amount of appreciation may be dilutive on the overall performance of export-oriented healthcare industry.

Sigma Healthcare (SIG AU) has offered remedial measure to alleviate preliminary anti-competition concerns raised by ACCC in relation to its proposed merger with CWG.


APAC Healthcare Weekly (Oct 6)-Strong Yen Impact, Sigma's Remedial Measures, Mesoblast's Fund Raise

United States

Gilead Sciences, Inc. is a research-based biopharmaceutical company that discovers, develops, and commercializes therapeutics to advance the care of patients suffering from life-threatening diseases. The Company primary areas of focus include HIV, AIDS, liver disease, and serious cardiovascular and respiratory conditions.

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Gilead Sciences (GILD UW)

Downgrading Financials to Underweight; Growth Themes Galore; Health Care Breaking Out

Downgrading Financials $XLF to Underweight; Growth Themes Galore: quantum, nuclear, hydrogen, space, robotics, drones, data centers, solar,...

Vermilion Research

APAC Healthcare Weekly (October 5) – Daiichi Sankyo, Santen, Hanmi Pharm, Boryung, IHH Health, Lupin

Daiichi Sankyo’s label expansion application for Enhertu has been accepted by FDA. Hanmi Pharm entered into global licensing agreement with Gilead...

Tina Banerjee

CHMP Meeting Update April 2025: Sixteen New Medicines Recommended For Approval

Among the new medicines, Vertex’s triple combination CF drug Alyftrek, Amgen’s Thyroid eye disease drug Tepezza, and Jazz Pharmaceutical’s cancer...

Tina Banerjee

INSILICO: Discovering the Fountain of Youth - You're Not Getting Any Older !!

Insilico Medicine (3696 HK) has risen since its 1H26 earnings announcement. The company's rentosertib drug reversed biological aging markers in...

David Mudd

APAC Healthcare Weekly (Oct 6)-Strong Yen Impact, Sigma's Remedial Measures, Mesoblast's Fund Raise

BoJ interest rate hike leads to Yen appreciation, potentially impacting export-oriented healthcare industry. Sigma Healthcare addresses anti...

Tina Banerjee

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