IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/goldlion-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12359:1" rel="noopener">Goldlion Holdings (533 HK)</a>’s IFA considers Mr Tsang’s HK$1.5232 per share offer fair and reasonable. The vote is on 9 May.</li>
<li>The key condition is the scheme approved by at least 75% disinterested shareholders (&lt;10% disinterested shareholders rejection). FMR holds a blocking stake but should be supportive. </li>
<li>The offer is reasonable compared to peer multiples and historical trading ranges. At the last close and for the 10 July payment, the gross/annualised spread is 4.3%/19.0%.</li>
</ul>



Goldlion Holdings (533 HK)’s IFA considers Mr Tsang’s HK$1.5232 per share offer fair and reasonable. The vote is on 9 May.
The key condition is the scheme approved by at least 75% disinterested shareholders (&lt;10% disinterested shareholders rejection). FMR holds a blocking stake but should be supportive. 
The offer is reasonable compared to peer multiples and historical trading ranges. At the last close and for the 10 July payment, the gross/annualised spread is 4.3%/19.0%.


Goldlion Holdings (533 HK): An Attractive Spread Ahead of the Vote on 9 May

Equity, Bottom-up Analyst, Investics Research

Sameer Taneja

Equity, Bottom-up Analyst

Investics Research

It is important to note that the information provided by Investics Research is based on publicly available data and own knowledge, which has been gathered and analyzed from a variety of sources. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy and completeness of the information provided, it is not guaranteed to be free from errors or omissions. All forecasts and estimates are based on information that has been obtained from public sources that are considered to be reliable. The sources include but are not limited to, company announcements, exchange filings, presentations, etc. Investics does not guarantee the accuracy and completeness of the forecasts, estimates, and/or other information.

Equity Bottom-up Research

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Tariff introductions in Vietnam were 46%, PRC 34%, Bangladesh 37%, Indonesia 32%, etc, have rocked the textile complex, and share prices have reacted negatively. </li>
<li>The companies with the maximum revenue exposure to the US market are <a target="_blank" rel="noopener">Stella International (1836 HK)</a>, with 47%, <a target="_blank" rel="noopener">Crystal International (2232 HK)</a>, with 38%, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lever-style-corporation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35760:1" rel="noopener">Lever Style (1346 HK)</a>, with 58%.</li>
<li>We anticipate that the negative sentiment will continue to hinder the sector until a reasonable negotiation occurs. In the meantime, there are no beneficiaries in this trade war.</li>
</ul>


Tariff introductions in Vietnam were 46%, PRC 34%, Bangladesh 37%, Indonesia 32%, etc, have rocked the textile complex, and share prices have reacted negatively. 
The companies with the maximum revenue exposure to the US market are Stella International (1836 HK), with 47%, Crystal International (2232 HK), with 38%, and Lever Style (1346 HK), with 58%.
We anticipate that the negative sentiment will continue to hinder the sector until a reasonable negotiation occurs. In the meantime, there are no beneficiaries in this trade war.


HK-Listed Apparel & Footwear Screener: Tariff Drag On The Sector

<ul>
<li>On 17 December, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/goldlion-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12359:1" rel="noopener">Goldlion Holdings (533 HK)</a> announced a scheme offer from Mr Tsang (Chairman/CEO) at HK$1.5232 per share, a 71.1% premium to the undisturbed price of HK$0.89 (20 November). </li>
<li>The key condition is the scheme approved by at least 75% disinterested shareholders (&lt;10% disinterested shareholders rejection). The shareholder with a blocking stake is a seller. </li>
<li>The offer is reasonable compared to peer multiples and historical trading ranges. At the last close and for a late April payment, the gross/annualised spread is 7.3%/22.7%.</li>
</ul>


On 17 December, Goldlion Holdings (533 HK) announced a scheme offer from Mr Tsang (Chairman/CEO) at HK$1.5232 per share, a 71.1% premium to the undisturbed price of HK$0.89 (20 November). 
The key condition is the scheme approved by at least 75% disinterested shareholders (&lt;10% disinterested shareholders rejection). The shareholder with a blocking stake is a seller. 
The offer is reasonable compared to peer multiples and historical trading ranges. At the last close and for a late April payment, the gross/annualised spread is 7.3%/22.7%.


Goldlion Holdings (533 HK): Chairman’s Scheme Privatisation Is a Done Deal

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/hk-listed-apparel-footwear-screener-right-stocks-listed-in-the-wrong-market-attractive-yield-rapid-expansion-outside-china-sep-2024" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:158210" rel="noopener">HK-Listed Apparel &amp; Footwear Screener: Right Stocks Listed in the Wrong Market - Attractive Yield &amp; Rapid Expansion Outside China - Sep 2024</a>  helped us screen out great names.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jnby-design-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23642:1" rel="noopener">JNBY Design Ltd (3306 HK)</a>, an apparel retailer trading at 9.2x FY24 with a ~10% yield and a long-term track record of &gt;34% 10 Yr-average ROCEs, is one such name. </li>
<li>Even with modest single-digit growth guidance, we see a growing yield and a great cash buffer (20% of the market cap), and dividends are sustainable. </li>
</ul>



HK-Listed Apparel &amp; Footwear Screener: Right Stocks Listed in the Wrong Market - Attractive Yield &amp; Rapid Expansion Outside China - Sep 2024  helped us screen out great names.

JNBY Design Ltd (3306 HK), an apparel retailer trading at 9.2x FY24 with a ~10% yield and a long-term track record of &gt;34% 10 Yr-average ROCEs, is one such name. 
Even with modest single-digit growth guidance, we see a growing yield and a great cash buffer (20% of the market cap), and dividends are sustainable. 


JNBY (3306 HK): >34% ROCE Track Record/10% Dividend Yield/Net Cash Business

<ul>
<li>The HK market is moving, and the share prices of high-yield companies are increasing. Despite the average YTD returns of 36%, stocks are trading at 5-18% dividend yields. </li>
<li>We await the November results of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pacific-textiles-holdings" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Pacific Textiles (1382 HK)</a>, which we will soon initiate coverage on.</li>
<li>We note <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yue-yuen-industrial-holdings-limited" target="_blank" rel="noopener">that Yue Yuen Industrial Holdings (551 HK)</a> continues with its buybacks, having repurchased 3.2 million shares (0.2% of outstanding shares) since August 28th, 2024. </li>
</ul>


The HK market is moving, and the share prices of high-yield companies are increasing. Despite the average YTD returns of 36%, stocks are trading at 5-18% dividend yields. 
We await the November results of Pacific Textiles (1382 HK), which we will soon initiate coverage on.
We note that Yue Yuen Industrial Holdings (551 HK) continues with its buybacks, having repurchased 3.2 million shares (0.2% of outstanding shares) since August 28th, 2024. 


HK-Listed Apparel & Footwear Screener:  Attractive Yield & Rapid Expansion Outside China - Oct 2024

Hong Kong

Giordano is an international retailer specializing in men's, women's, and children's apparel and accessories. The company offers a wide range of fashion-oriented clothing and accessories under brands such as Giordano, Giordano Junior, Giordano Ladies, and BSX, through its retail, distribution, and wholesale operations. Giordano was founded in Hong Kong in 1981.

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Giordano (709 HK)

Goldlion Holdings (533 HK): An Attractive Spread Ahead of the Vote on 9 May

This is done. The offer is reasonable compared to peer multiples and historical trading ranges. At the last close and for the 10 July payment, the...

Arun George

HK-Listed Apparel & Footwear Screener: Tariff Drag On The Sector

We identify twelve high-yield, net cash or low-net debt stocks in Hong Kong's apparel and footwear sector, analyzing their exposure to the US amid...

Sameer Taneja

Goldlion Holdings (533 HK): Chairman’s Scheme Privatisation Is a Done Deal

The offer is reasonable compared to peer multiples and historical trading ranges. At the last close and for a late April payment, the gross...

Arun George

JNBY (3306 HK): >34% ROCE Track Record/10% Dividend Yield/Net Cash Business

Insight highlights HK-listed apparel and footwear stocks with attractive yields and expansion outside China. JNBY Design Ltd (3306 HK) stands out...

Sameer Taneja

HK-Listed Apparel & Footwear Screener: Attractive Yield & Rapid Expansion Outside China - Oct 2024

We compile a list of ten high-yielding/net cash or low-net debt stocks in HK's apparel/footwear value chain. Despite the recent rally in HK,...

Sameer Taneja

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