Chairman, sgtradex

Tan Chin-Hwee

Chairman

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/019/992/original/Pisatest.jpg?1485928080" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="19992"></figure><div class="content-caption">By Theo Müller - Own work, <a href="https://commons.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?curid=837159" target="_blank">CC BY-SA 2.5</a>
</div><p>I was excited to read about Singapore's top ranking in the Pisa (<a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Programme_for_International_Student_Assessment" target="_blank">Programme for International Student Assessment</a>) tests and the perfect score of our IB (International Baccalaureate) achievers.</p><p><span lang="EN">We should be proud of what we have achieved in such a short time as a country. Our position among the best today in educational terms is the result of the hard work and leadership of the Singapore Government and teachers. There are not many things from Singapore that</span>…</p>

By Theo Müller - Own work, CC BY-SA 2.5
I was excited to read about Singapore's top ranking in the Pisa (Programme for International Student Assessment) tests and the perfect score of our IB (International Baccalaureate) achievers.We should be proud of what we have achieved in such a short time as a country. Our position among the best today in educational terms is the result of the hard work and leadership of the Singapore Government and teachers. There are not many things from Singapore that…

Singapore's Education System Must Embrace the Frontier Beyond Academic Achievement

Freelance Research Analyst

Tay Hock Meng

<p>Developers managed to sell 384 new units, excluding executive condominiums (ECs) in December 2015, compared to 759 units in November 2015, and 230 units in December 2014. Including ECs, developers sold a total of 508 new units in December 2015, compared to 945 new units in November 2015, and 406 new units in December 2014. The December 2015 results brings the total number of new private residential units sold by developers to around 7,460 to 7,490 in 2015, about 2% higher than 2014 (Comprehensive property sales results for 4Q and whole of 2015  is scheduled to be released by the government on January 22, 2016).</p><p> </p>

Developers managed to sell 384 new units, excluding executive condominiums (ECs) in December 2015, compared to 759 units in November 2015, and 230 units in December 2014. Including ECs, developers sold a total of 508 new units in December 2015, compared to 945 new units in November 2015, and 406 new units in December 2014. The December 2015 results brings the total number of new private residential units sold by developers to around 7,460 to 7,490 in 2015, about 2% higher than 2014 (Comprehensive property sales results for 4Q and whole of 2015  is scheduled to be released by the government on January 22, 2016). 

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Conglomerate <strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/guoco-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5290:1" rel="noopener">Guoco Group (53 HK)</a></strong> has fielded three privatisation Offers from Guoline (the Quek family) over the past twenty years. </li>
<li>Elliott Advisors, then holding 9.72% of shares out, backed the most recent Offer of HK$135/share in November 2018; but it was voted down at a Scheme Meeting. </li>
<li>Elliott has now, surprisingly, exited. This <em>may</em> open the door for a fourth Offer. Shares popped 14% on the news.  </li>
</ul>


Conglomerate Guoco Group (53 HK) has fielded three privatisation Offers from Guoline (the Quek family) over the past twenty years. 
Elliott Advisors, then holding 9.72% of shares out, backed the most recent Offer of HK$135/share in November 2018; but it was voted down at a Scheme Meeting. 
Elliott has now, surprisingly, exited. This may open the door for a fourth Offer. Shares popped 14% on the news.  


<div>
<p>Singaporean property play <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/singhaiyi-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19307:1" rel="noopener">SingHaiyi (SHG SP)</a> has announced a <a href="https://links.sgx.com/FileOpen/Offer_Announcement.ashx?App=Announcement&amp;FileID=689919" target="_blank" rel="noopener">voluntary conditional cash Offer</a> from Gordan and Celine Tang, who control 75.56% of shares out. </p>
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<p>The Offer Price of S$0.117/share is an 8.3% premium to last close and 0.78x P/NAV. The acceptance condition is 90%, including the Tang's stake, although the Tang's reserve the right to reduce this to 50%. Family members with 2.81% have given an irrecoverable to tender into the Offer taking the accumulated holding to 78.37%. Save for the acceptance condition, the Offer is unconditional in all other respects.</p>
</div>
<div>
<p>This appears a relatively listless Offer premium, however, it pitches SingHaiyi around a multi-year high. The Offer has not been declared final.</p>
<p>The entire construct is reminiscent of the Offer from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/guoco-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5290:1" rel="noopener">Guoco Group Ltd (53 HK)</a> for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/gl-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2540:1" rel="noopener">GL Ltd (GLL SP)</a> - <em><a href="https://skr.ma/SdJKh" target="_blank" rel="noopener">GL Limited (GLL SP): Privatisation Offer Renews Interest In Guoco</a></em> - which was successfully completed after terms were bumped. </p>
</div>
<div>
<p>As always, more below the fold.</p>
</div>


Singaporean property play SingHaiyi (SHG SP) has announced a voluntary conditional cash Offer from Gordan and Celine Tang, who control 75.56% of shares out. 


The Offer Price of S$0.117/share is an 8.3% premium to last close and 0.78x P/NAV. The acceptance condition is 90%, including the Tang's stake, although the Tang's reserve the right to reduce this to 50%. Family members with 2.81% have given an irrecoverable to tender into the Offer taking the accumulated holding to 78.37%. Save for the acceptance condition, the Offer is unconditional in all other respects.


This appears a relatively listless Offer premium, however, it pitches SingHaiyi around a multi-year high. The Offer has not been declared final.
The entire construct is reminiscent of the Offer from Guoco Group Ltd (53 HK) for GL Ltd (GLL SP) - GL Limited (GLL SP): Privatisation Offer Renews Interest In Guoco - which was successfully completed after terms were bumped. 


As always, more below the fold.


SingHaiyi Group (SHG SP): Tang's Conditional Offer

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<p>This week in StubWorld ...</p>
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<p>Following Yue Xiu's privatization Offer for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/chong-hing-bank-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:344:1" rel="noopener">Chong Hing Bank (1111 HK)</a>, Hong Kong's remaining  "family"-owned banks, such as <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bank-of-east-asia-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:341:1" rel="noopener">Bank of East Asia (23 HK)</a> (BEA), are back in focus. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/guoco-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5290:1" rel="noopener">Guoco Group Ltd (53 HK)</a> is trading cheap to its historical NAV discount range, and the 14.94% holding in BEA accounts for 15% of its NAV.</p>
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<p>Preceding my comments on Guoco are the weekly setup/unwind tables for Asia-Pacific Holdcos.</p>
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<p>These relationships trade with a minimum liquidity threshold of US$1mn on a 90-day moving average, and a % market capitalisation threshold - the $ value of the holding/opco held, over the parent’s market capitalisation, expressed in percent - of at least 20%.</p>
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This week in StubWorld ...



Following Yue Xiu's privatization Offer for Chong Hing Bank (1111 HK), Hong Kong's remaining  "family"-owned banks, such as Bank of East Asia (23 HK) (BEA), are back in focus. Guoco Group Ltd (53 HK) is trading cheap to its historical NAV discount range, and the 14.94% holding in BEA accounts for 15% of its NAV.



Preceding my comments on Guoco are the weekly setup/unwind tables for Asia-Pacific Holdcos.


These relationships trade with a minimum liquidity threshold of US$1mn on a 90-day moving average, and a % market capitalisation threshold - the $ value of the holding/opco held, over the parent’s market capitalisation, expressed in percent - of at least 20%.


StubWorld: Guoco/BEA Into Focus Post Chong Hing Bank Bid

Singapore

GL Limited is an investment holding company primarily focused on the hospitality and leisure industry, with significant operations in hotel ownership and management in the United Kingdom. The company also holds interests in oil and gas royalty rights in Australia and property development in Hawaii and London. GL Limited is headquartered in Singapore and was founded in 1961.

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GL (GLL SP)

Singapore's Education System Must Embrace the Frontier Beyond Academic Achievement

I was excited to read about Singapore's top ranking in the Pisa (Programme for International Student Assessment) tests and the perfect score of our...

Tan Chin-Hwee

Modest Rise in New Home Sales in 2015

Developers managed to sell 384 new units, excluding executive condominiums (ECs) in December 2015, compared to 759 units in November 2015, and 230...

Tay Hock Meng

Guoco (53 HK): Fourth Time's A Charm?

I like Guoco Group (53 HK) here either as a potential privatisation play from the Quek family or simply as a deep value play.

David Blennerhassett

SingHaiyi Group (SHG SP): Tang's Conditional Offer

The Offer has not been declared final. I think there's probably enough here to get the deal over the line. I would not chase this much through...

David Blennerhassett

StubWorld: Guoco/BEA Into Focus Post Chong Hing Bank Bid

Following the privatization Offer for Chong Hing, Bank of East Asia is back in focus. Guoco is trading cheap to its historical NAV discount range,...

David Blennerhassett

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