Global Materials | Industrials | Commodities

Rahul Jain

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Coal India reported flat EBITDA YoY in FY25, with lower e-auction realizations offset by cost control; record-high volumes but profitability impacted by NSR pressures.</li>
<li>FY26 guidance implies 7–8% offtake growth but appears largely aspirational given historical shortfalls; management remains cautious on realizations with weaker e-auction pricing and only modest FSA escalations.</li>
<li>Valuations appear cheap at ~6.7x FY25 EPS but are justified by margin risks from the FY27 wage hike and limited operating leverage on an already high volume base.</li>
</ul>


Coal India reported flat EBITDA YoY in FY25, with lower e-auction realizations offset by cost control; record-high volumes but profitability impacted by NSR pressures.
FY26 guidance implies 7–8% offtake growth but appears largely aspirational given historical shortfalls; management remains cautious on realizations with weaker e-auction pricing and only modest FSA escalations.
Valuations appear cheap at ~6.7x FY25 EPS but are justified by margin risks from the FY27 wage hike and limited operating leverage on an already high volume base.


Coal India: Volume Strength Intact, Profitability Headwinds Emerging

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/rio-tinto-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13:1" rel="noopener">Rio Tinto Ltd (RIO AU)</a> shareholders will vote on Palliser’s AGM resolution to conduct an independent review on whether the potential unification is in the best interests of shareholders. </li>
<li>Palliser and the Board’s arguments for and against unification focus on five factors: tax costs, post-unification share price, lack of scrip M&amp;A, wastage of franking credits, and shareholder support.</li>
<li>A Grant Thornton report supports unification. The board's case is strong primarily on tax costs, while Palliser's case is strong on post-unification share price, M&amp;A, and franking credits.</li>
</ul>



Rio Tinto Ltd (RIO AU) shareholders will vote on Palliser’s AGM resolution to conduct an independent review on whether the potential unification is in the best interests of shareholders. 
Palliser and the Board’s arguments for and against unification focus on five factors: tax costs, post-unification share price, lack of scrip M&amp;A, wastage of franking credits, and shareholder support.
A Grant Thornton report supports unification. The board's case is strong primarily on tax costs, while Palliser's case is strong on post-unification share price, M&amp;A, and franking credits.


Rio Tinto (RIO LN/RIO AU): Thinking About Unification

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Douglas Research Advisory

Equity Capital Markets

JX Advanced Metals / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>JX Advanced Metals (5016 JP) is seeking to raise about ¥460 billion in the upcoming IPO on the Tokyo Stock Exchange. The indicative IPO price is ¥862 per share.</li>
<li>The final IPO pricing will be on 10 March. JX Advanced Metals will be listed on 19 March. Eneos is selling as many as 534.9 million shares in the IPO.</li>
<li>The company has a strong customer base. It is a key supplier to TSMC, Samsung, Intel, SK Hynix, and Micron for sputtering targets and high-purity metals.</li>
</ul>


JX Advanced Metals (5016 JP) is seeking to raise about ¥460 billion in the upcoming IPO on the Tokyo Stock Exchange. The indicative IPO price is ¥862 per share.
The final IPO pricing will be on 10 March. JX Advanced Metals will be listed on 19 March. Eneos is selling as many as 534.9 million shares in the IPO.
The company has a strong customer base. It is a key supplier to TSMC, Samsung, Intel, SK Hynix, and Micron for sputtering targets and high-purity metals.


Market & Forensics Analyst, Beat the Street

Nimish Maheshwari

Market & Forensics Analyst

Beat the Street

Beat The Street was founded by Nimish Maheshwari and Sudarshan Bhandari, both of whom are Chartered Accountants by Profession, known for their expert analysis in the fields of Business, Sectoral analysis, and Corporate governance.

With a strong social media presence of 45,000+ Subscribers across various platforms, they are considered trusted voices in the industry. Their insights and analysis have been featured in some of India’s most prominent publications, including the Economic Times, Dalal Street Investment Journal, The Morning Context, and The Ken.

Their analysis on Bankrupt & Insolvent companies has been instrumental in saving investors from significant losses. They have a keen eye for identifying red flags and has identified exclusive redflags earlier in Vedanta, Nykaa, Dhani Services, Adani and many more.

Read Business Not Stock Prices

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>India Inc. leaders have been outperformers as compared to global peers on the back of strong ROE and EPS growth over the years.</li>
<li>India Inc has a higher % of companies with better RoE than the rest of the world.</li>
<li>Key takeaways for investors: Avoid macro noise, focus on fundamentals with peer comparison</li>
</ul>


India Inc. leaders have been outperformers as compared to global peers on the back of strong ROE and EPS growth over the years.
India Inc has a higher % of companies with better RoE than the rest of the world.
Key takeaways for investors: Avoid macro noise, focus on fundamentals with peer comparison


Chartered Insights: Why Indian Businesses Outperform: A Data-Driven Perspective

Research from Atrium Research, Atrium Research Corporation

Atrium Research

Research from Atrium Research

Atrium Research Corporation

Atrium Research provides institutional quality issuer paid research on public equities in North America. Our investment philosophy takes a 3-5 year view on equities currently being overlooked by the market. Our research process emphasizes understanding the key performance metrics for each specific company, trustworthy management teams, unit economics, and an in-depth valuation analysis. 

Our research product includes in-depth initiation reports, research notes, thematic research pieces, and company fact sheets.

<ul>
<li>August was a mixed month for all metals, including the mining equities.</li>
<li>Gold continues to outperform other metals, up 2.3% on the month and up a staggering 29% over the last year.</li>
<li>Mining equities performed in line with broader markets, following significant outperformance in July.</li>
</ul>


August was a mixed month for all metals, including the mining equities.
Gold continues to outperform other metals, up 2.3% on the month and up a staggering 29% over the last year.
Mining equities performed in line with broader markets, following significant outperformance in July.


Trigon Metals Inc - Mining Monthly: August Edition

Switzerland

Glencore Plc is a diversified natural resources company. The Company operates in three groups: Metals and Minerals, Energy Products, and Agricultural Products. Glencore Plc offers its products and services around the world.

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Glencore Plc (GLEN LN)

Coal India: Volume Strength Intact, Profitability Headwinds Emerging

Coal India's flat EBITDA in FY25 due to lower e-auction prices and NSR pressures, with FY26 guidance seen as aspirational and valuations justified...

Rahul Jain

Rio Tinto (RIO LN/RIO AU): Thinking About Unification

A Grant Thornton report supports unification. The board's case is strong primarily on tax costs, while Palliser's case is strong on post...

Arun George

JX Advanced Metals IPO Preview

JX Advanced Metals (5016 JP) is seeking to raise about ¥460 billion in the upcoming IPO on the Tokyo Stock Exchange. The indicative IPO price is...

Douglas Kim

Chartered Insights: Why Indian Businesses Outperform: A Data-Driven Perspective

Indian companies have outperformed global peers with strong ROE and EPS growth, emphasizing the importance of focusing on fundamentals and peer...

Nimish Maheshwari

Trigon Metals Inc - Mining Monthly: August Edition

The precious metals prices and the mining equities were mostly in line with broader markets with the TSX up 1.0% and the S&P500 up 2.3%.

Atrium Research

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Coal India: Volume Strength Intact, Profitability Headwinds Emerging

​Coal India's flat EBITDA in FY25 due to lower e-auction prices and NSR pressures, with FY26 guidance seen as aspirational and valuations justified...

Rahul Jain

Rio Tinto (RIO LN/RIO AU): Thinking About Unification

A Grant Thornton report supports unification. The board's case is strong primarily on tax costs, while Palliser's case is strong on post...

Arun George

JX Advanced Metals IPO Preview

JX Advanced Metals (5016 JP) is seeking to raise about ¥460 billion in the upcoming IPO on the Tokyo Stock Exchange. The indicative IPO price is...

Douglas Kim

Chartered Insights: Why Indian Businesses Outperform: A Data-Driven Perspective

​Indian companies have outperformed global peers with strong ROE and EPS growth, emphasizing the importance of focusing on fundamentals and peer...

Nimish Maheshwari

Trigon Metals Inc - Mining Monthly: August Edition

The precious metals prices and the mining equities were mostly in line with broader markets with the TSX up 1.0% and the S&P500 up 2.3%.

Atrium Research

Coal India's flat EBITDA in FY25 due to lower e-auction prices and NSR pressures, with FY26 guidance seen as aspirational and valuations justified...

Indian companies have outperformed global peers with strong ROE and EPS growth, emphasizing the importance of focusing on fundamentals and peer...