Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>There should be 4 changes to the Yuanta/​P-Shares Taiwan Top 50 ETF and 1 deletion for the Yuanta/​P-Shares Taiwan Dividend Plus ETF in September.</li>
<li>The potential adds are driven by the AI-frenzy that has swept the market for the last few months. Most potential deletions are shipping stocks that are way off their highs.</li>
<li>Short interest on the potential deletions is high in terms of days of ADV and free float. The rise in shorts on the potential adds is being rapidly covered.</li>
</ul>


There should be 4 changes to the Yuanta/​P-Shares Taiwan Top 50 ETF and 1 deletion for the Yuanta/​P-Shares Taiwan Dividend Plus ETF in September.
The potential adds are driven by the AI-frenzy that has swept the market for the last few months. Most potential deletions are shipping stocks that are way off their highs.
Short interest on the potential deletions is high in terms of days of ADV and free float. The rise in shorts on the potential adds is being rapidly covered.


Yuanta ETFs Rebalance Preview: Changes Galore as Stocks Soar; Shorts Increase, Then Cover

<ul>
<li>Using data from the close on 19 July, there could be 5 changes to the Yuanta/​P-Shares Taiwan Top 50 ETF and 2 deletions for the Yuanta/​P-Shares Taiwan Dividend Plus ETF.</li>
<li>Stocks that are expected to benefit from the AI revolution could gain ETF inclusion while shipping stocks are the ones expected to be deleted from the ETF.</li>
<li>There has been a huge increase in shorts on some of the potential inclusions and on most of the potential deletions. That will affect how stocks trade near term.</li>
</ul>


Using data from the close on 19 July, there could be 5 changes to the Yuanta/​P-Shares Taiwan Top 50 ETF and 2 deletions for the Yuanta/​P-Shares Taiwan Dividend Plus ETF.
Stocks that are expected to benefit from the AI revolution could gain ETF inclusion while shipping stocks are the ones expected to be deleted from the ETF.
There has been a huge increase in shorts on some of the potential inclusions and on most of the potential deletions. That will affect how stocks trade near term.


Yuanta ETFs Rebalance Preview: Soaring Stocks, Rising Shorts; AI Beats Shipping

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>JFSL spun off from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/reliance-industries-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:198:1" rel="noopener">Reliance Industries (RIL IN)</a> last week and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ventia-services-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34917:1" rel="noopener">Ventia (VNT AU)</a> replaced <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/blackmores-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:928:1" rel="noopener">Blackmores Ltd (BKL AU)</a> in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-asx-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22901:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX)</a>. </li>
<li>The IDX should announce the changes to the IDX30, LQ45 and IDX80 indices early in the coming week.</li>
<li>There were inflows to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tracker-fund-of-hong-kong-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29257:1" rel="noopener">Tracker Fund of Hong Kong Ltd (2800 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-china-enterprises-index-etf" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng H Share Index ETF (2828 HK)</a> while Taiwan focused ETFs had outflows.</li>
</ul>


JFSL spun off from Reliance Industries (RIL IN) last week and Ventia (VNT AU) replaced Blackmores Ltd (BKL AU) in the S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX). 
The IDX should announce the changes to the IDX30, LQ45 and IDX80 indices early in the coming week.
There were inflows to Tracker Fund of Hong Kong Ltd (2800 HK) and Hang Seng H Share Index ETF (2828 HK) while Taiwan focused ETFs had outflows.


Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: ASX, SK Telecom, Yuanta ETFs

Index Rebal/Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebal/Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the names leading the race to become ADDs/DELs for the T50 and T100 Indices for the September 2023 Rebalance.</li>
<li>Some semiconductor/electronic component stocks have seen their share prices skyrocket in recent months due to AI-related excitement causing drastic shifts in Leaderboard rankings.</li>
<li>In my last insight, I expected two T50 changes and one T100 change. Now I expect five T50 changes and three T100 changes.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we take a look at the names leading the race to become ADDs/DELs for the T50 and T100 Indices for the September 2023 Rebalance.
Some semiconductor/electronic component stocks have seen their share prices skyrocket in recent months due to AI-related excitement causing drastic shifts in Leaderboard rankings.
In my last insight, I expected two T50 changes and one T100 change. Now I expect five T50 changes and three T100 changes.


Quiddity Leaderboard T50/​​100 Sep 23: AI Frenzy Causes Many Changes to Expectations

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Since the announcement of the US$1.9 billion secondary placement, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/socionext-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36351:1" rel="noopener">Socionext (6526 JP)</a>’s shares are down -25.0% from the undisturbed price of JPY21,950 per share (5 July).</li>
<li>So far, Socionext’s shares have mostly followed the pattern of previous large placements. Investors participating in previous large Japanese placements tend to secure positive returns.</li>
<li>The offering will likely be priced on 11 July. Due to the steep share price decline, Socionext is trading at an undemanding multiple compared to global SoC peers.  </li>
</ul>


Since the announcement of the US$1.9 billion secondary placement, Socionext (6526 JP)’s shares are down -25.0% from the undisturbed price of JPY21,950 per share (5 July).
So far, Socionext’s shares have mostly followed the pattern of previous large placements. Investors participating in previous large Japanese placements tend to secure positive returns.
The offering will likely be priced on 11 July. Due to the steep share price decline, Socionext is trading at an undemanding multiple compared to global SoC peers.  


Socionext (6526 JP): The Current Playbook

Taiwan

Global Unichip Corporation designs and produces a wide variety of silicon chips.

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Global Unichip (3443 TT)

Yuanta ETFs Rebalance Preview: Changes Galore as Stocks Soar; Shorts Increase, Then Cover

There should be 4 changes to the Yuanta Taiwan Top 50 ETF + 1 deletion for the Yuanta Taiwan Dividend Plus ETF in September. There has been a big...

Brian Freitas

Yuanta ETFs Rebalance Preview: Soaring Stocks, Rising Shorts; AI Beats Shipping

After a huge rally over the last couple of months, a lot of the potential inclusions are trading lower (or limit down) today. Shorts have continued...

Brian Freitas

Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: ASX, SK Telecom, Yuanta ETFs

This recap highlights Insights covering Asian index rebalances (announcements/ forecasts/ IPO Fast Entry/ M&A driven changes). We also highlight...

Brian Freitas

Quiddity Leaderboard T50/100 Sep 23: AI Frenzy Causes Many Changes to Expectations

T100 expected DEL Wisdom Marine Lines (2637 TT) is also a TDIV member and could be deleted from the TDIV index which would influence the TDIV...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Socionext (6526 JP): The Current Playbook

So far, Socionext’s shares have mostly followed the pattern of previous large placements. Investors participating in previous large Japanese...

Arun George

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Yuanta ETFs Rebalance Preview: Changes Galore as Stocks Soar; Shorts Increase, Then Cover

There should be 4 changes to the Yuanta Taiwan Top 50 ETF + 1 deletion for the Yuanta Taiwan Dividend Plus ETF in September. There has been a big...

Brian Freitas

Yuanta ETFs Rebalance Preview: Soaring Stocks, Rising Shorts; AI Beats Shipping

After a huge rally over the last couple of months, a lot of the potential inclusions are trading lower (or limit down) today. Shorts have continued...

Brian Freitas

Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: ASX, SK Telecom, Yuanta ETFs

This recap highlights Insights covering Asian index rebalances (announcements/ forecasts/ IPO Fast Entry/ M&A driven changes). We also highlight...

Brian Freitas

Quiddity Leaderboard T50/​​100 Sep 23: AI Frenzy Causes Many Changes to Expectations

T100 expected DEL Wisdom Marine Lines (2637 TT) is also a TDIV member and could be deleted from the TDIV index which would influence the TDIV...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Socionext (6526 JP): The Current Playbook

So far, Socionext’s shares have mostly followed the pattern of previous large placements. Investors participating in previous large Japanese...

Arun George

Quiddity Leaderboard T50/100 Sep 23: AI Frenzy Causes Many Changes to Expectations