Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The coming week has a lot of review periods ending - <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/korea-stock-exchange-kospi-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26021:1" rel="noopener">KOSPI 200</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kosdaq-150-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31077:1" rel="noopener">KOSDAQ 150</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-shenzhen-csi-300-inde" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22906:1" rel="noopener">CSI 300</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/csi-smallcap-500-index-shang" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35347:1" rel="noopener">CSI 500</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-stock-exchange-sse-50-a-share-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31073:1" rel="noopener">SSE50</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sse-science-and-technology-innovation-board-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29279:1" rel="noopener">STAR50</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/chinext-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25483:1" rel="noopener">ChiNext</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-bse-sensex-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31494:1" rel="noopener">SENSEX</a>, among others.</li>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tokyo-stock-exchange-tokyo-price-index-topix" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22910:1" rel="noopener">TOPIX</a> rebalance will be implemented on Monday while the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/global-x-lithium-battery-tech-etf" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32745:1" rel="noopener">Global X Lithium &amp; Battery Tech ETF (LIT US)</a> and IDX indices will rebalance at the close on Tuesday.</li>
<li>There were outflows from Emerging Market ETFs including <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ishares-msci-emerging-markets" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:438:1" rel="noopener">iShares Emerging Markets (EEM)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ishares-core-msci-emerging-mar" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32967:1" rel="noopener">iShares Core Emerging Mar (IEMG),</a> <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/schwab-emerging-markets-equi" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32879:1" rel="noopener">Schwab Emerging Markets Equi (SCHE)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ishares-edge-msci-min-vol-emerging-markets-etf" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:725:1" rel="noopener">IShares Edge Min Vol Emerging Markets ETF (EEMV)</a>.</li>
</ul>


The coming week has a lot of review periods ending - KOSPI 200, KOSDAQ 150, CSI 300, CSI 500, SSE50, STAR50, ChiNext and SENSEX, among others.
The TOPIX rebalance will be implemented on Monday while the Global X Lithium &amp; Battery Tech ETF (LIT US) and IDX indices will rebalance at the close on Tuesday.
There were outflows from Emerging Market ETFs including iShares Emerging Markets (EEM), iShares Core Emerging Mar (IEMG), Schwab Emerging Markets Equi (SCHE) and IShares Edge Min Vol Emerging Markets ETF (EEMV).


Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: KS200, KQ150, Yuanta Div+, LIT, HSCI, IDX, Japan Positioning

<ul>
<li>Solactive has announced the constituent changes for the Global Lithium Index. There are 8 adds and 9 deletes with implementation at the close on 31 October.</li>
<li>Estimated one-way turnover is in excess of 22% and will result in a one-way trade of US$490m. There are 11 stocks with estimated passive flows greater than 1x ADV.</li>
<li>The index is not very widely tracked and there could be big moves in stocks today and over the next few days - especially where there is multiple days ADV.</li>
</ul>


Solactive has announced the constituent changes for the Global Lithium Index. There are 8 adds and 9 deletes with implementation at the close on 31 October.
Estimated one-way turnover is in excess of 22% and will result in a one-way trade of US$490m. There are 11 stocks with estimated passive flows greater than 1x ADV.
The index is not very widely tracked and there could be big moves in stocks today and over the next few days - especially where there is multiple days ADV.


Solactive Global Lithium Index Rebalance: 45% Turnover & US$980m Trade

Korea / Special Situations, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Situations

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Event-Driven

Global X Lithium & Battery Tech ETF / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>LG Energy Solution and Samsung SDI will remain in the index as top stocks of pack makers, respectively. Ecopro BM will almost certainly replace L&amp;F in the category of Cathode.</li>
<li>SK IE Technology will newly join the index with Separator's top stock. On the other hand, Lotte Energy Materials and SKC are unlikely to be included.</li>
<li>This event can be a critical inflection point in predicting the counter-flow for short positions against Ecopro BM and L&amp;F in advance.</li>
</ul>


LG Energy Solution and Samsung SDI will remain in the index as top stocks of pack makers, respectively. Ecopro BM will almost certainly replace L&amp;F in the category of Cathode.
SK IE Technology will newly join the index with Separator's top stock. On the other hand, Lotte Energy Materials and SKC are unlikely to be included.
This event can be a critical inflection point in predicting the counter-flow for short positions against Ecopro BM and L&amp;F in advance.


Pre-Positioning Targeting Solactive Global Lithium Index's October Rebalancing

<ul>
<li>LG Energy's virtually locked-up shares rise to nearly 95%. This should at least partially explain why its price has substantially outperformed the KOSPI in recent months, showing strong downward rigidity.</li>
<li>Additional long-term money equivalent to 2-3% of SO can come in for 5% float shares. There is no precedent for a float crunch of this magnitude among top-cap local stocks.</li>
<li>It seems necessary to reconsider taking a shorting position for LG Energy even after the 9th of next month when the short-term passives inflow situation is completed.</li>
</ul>


LG Energy's virtually locked-up shares rise to nearly 95%. This should at least partially explain why its price has substantially outperformed the KOSPI in recent months, showing strong downward rigidity.
Additional long-term money equivalent to 2-3% of SO can come in for 5% float shares. There is no precedent for a float crunch of this magnitude among top-cap local stocks.
It seems necessary to reconsider taking a shorting position for LG Energy even after the 9th of next month when the short-term passives inflow situation is completed.


Assessing LG Energy Solution's Flow Imbalance Situation

<ul>
<li>Despite the WATCH list's confusion, LG Energy Solution replaced LG Chem. In addition, Solactive excluded Iljin Materials, evidently due to its float-adjusted market cap size.</li>
<li>There are some somewhat elusive additions. The most prominent example is Japan Steel Works, which replaced LG Chem in the updated WATCH list at the last minute.</li>
<li>There was confusion about LG Chem's deletion until the last minute, so, likely, the market has not sufficiently reflected this rebalancing factor in LG Energy/LG Chem's LONG/SHORT.</li>
</ul>


Despite the WATCH list's confusion, LG Energy Solution replaced LG Chem. In addition, Solactive excluded Iljin Materials, evidently due to its float-adjusted market cap size.
There are some somewhat elusive additions. The most prominent example is Japan Steel Works, which replaced LG Chem in the updated WATCH list at the last minute.
There was confusion about LG Chem's deletion until the last minute, so, likely, the market has not sufficiently reflected this rebalancing factor in LG Energy/LG Chem's LONG/SHORT.


Solactive Lithium Review Results Out: Key Takeaways

United States

Global X Lithium & Battery Tech ETF is an exchange-traded fund incorporated in the USA. The Fund seeks investment results that correspond to the price and yield performance of the Solactive Global Lithium Index.

Global X Lithium & Battery Tech ETF (LIT US)

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Global X Lithium & Battery Tech ETF (LIT US)

Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: KS200, KQ150, Yuanta Div+, LIT, HSCI, IDX, Japan Positioning

This recap highlights Insights covering Asian index rebalances (announcements/ forecasts/ IPO Fast Entry/ M&A driven changes). We also highlight...

Brian Freitas

Solactive Global Lithium Index Rebalance: 45% Turnover & US$980m Trade

There are 8 adds/9 deletes for the Solactive Global Lithium Index resulting in an estimated one-way turnover of 22% and in a one-way trade of...

Brian Freitas

Pre-Positioning Targeting Solactive Global Lithium Index's October Rebalancing

This post investigates several pre-positioning angles for passive flow trading and counter-attack flow against short positions with Solactive...

Sanghyun Park

Assessing LG Energy Solution's Flow Imbalance Situation

This post assesses LG Energy Solution's flow imbalance situation, which seems to lead to pricing independent of fundamentals.

Sanghyun Park

Solactive Lithium Review Results Out: Key Takeaways

This post details the review results of the Solactive Global Lithium Index and discusses key takeaways for trading setups.

Sanghyun Park

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