Taiwan Tech Focused Senior Analyst

Patrick Liao

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>MediaTek's 4Q21/1Q22 revenue/GM is NT$128.65bn/49.6% and NT$136.35bn(+/-5.15bn)/49.5%(+/-1.5%) resp. Our previous estimate of 4Q21 is in short of NT$1.05bn/2.1% resp., and 1Q22 revenue/GM is at the low limit of guidance resp.</li>
<li>MediaTek will keep leading in the smartphone area, including 4G/5G for ~700mn in 2022. The 5G penetration rate will be from 35-40% in 2021 to be 50% in 2022.</li>
<li>Dividend payout ratio will be 80~85%, and it will be NT$72~76 for 2021. It will be a NT$16 of the special dividend in the coming 4 years.</li>
</ul>


MediaTek's 4Q21/1Q22 revenue/GM is NT$128.65bn/49.6% and NT$136.35bn(+/-5.15bn)/49.5%(+/-1.5%) resp. Our previous estimate of 4Q21 is in short of NT$1.05bn/2.1% resp., and 1Q22 revenue/GM is at the low limit of guidance resp.
MediaTek will keep leading in the smartphone area, including 4G/5G for ~700mn in 2022. The 5G penetration rate will be from 35-40% in 2021 to be 50% in 2022.
Dividend payout ratio will be 80~85%, and it will be NT$72~76 for 2021. It will be a NT$16 of the special dividend in the coming 4 years.


MediaTek (2454.TT): 4Q21 Results/ 1Q22 Outlook- It's a Bit of Beyond Expectation as Actionable

Japan/Asia Long-Short, LightStream Research

Mio Kato

Japan/Asia Long-Short

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) / Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) (2330 TT)

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing)

TSMC offers an intriguing prospect due to its utter dominance of a high growth sector and high, stable margins. However, valuations are elevated and the sector itself appears ripe for a correction in our view with a significant possibility of an inventory glut.

TSMC offers an intriguing prospect due to its utter dominance of a high growth sector and high, stable margins. However, valuations are elevated and the sector itself appears ripe for a correction in our view with a significant possibility of an inventory glut.

TSMC – 2022 Could Be Great but What After?

Equity Capital Markets

GLOBALFOUNDRIES  / Equity Capital Markets

GlobalFoundries aims to list at a market cap close to $25bn, raising about $1.6bn in new capital in the process. The presence of strong cornerstone investor support is a positive here but does this offset the weak financials?

GlobalFoundries aims to list at a market cap close to $25bn, raising about $1.6bn in new capital in the process. The presence of strong cornerstone investor support is a positive here but does this offset the weak financials?

GlobalFoundries financials tell a sorry tale with numerous red flags abound. It is not entirely clear what they can do to steady the ship and whether new investments in Malta, NY will generate a positive RoI.

GlobalFoundries financials tell a sorry tale with numerous red flags abound. It is not entirely clear what they can do to steady the ship and whether new investments in Malta, NY will generate a positive RoI.

GlobalFoundries has filed to IPO as the foundry business enjoys tailwinds from semiconductor shortages. With the company struggling to make profits even in this environment and all adulation seemingly reserved for TSMC we examine whether there is something worthwhile here.

GlobalFoundries has filed to IPO as the foundry business enjoys tailwinds from semiconductor shortages. With the company struggling to make profits even in this environment and all adulation seemingly reserved for TSMC we examine whether there is something worthwhile here.

United States

GLOBALFOUNDRIES Inc. operates as a semiconductor contract manufacturing and design company. The Company offers chips designed for markets such as mobility, automotive, computing and wired connectivity, and consumer internet of things (IoT). GLOBALFOUNDRIES serves customers worldwide.

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GLOBALFOUNDRIES (GFS US)

MediaTek (2454.TT): 4Q21 Results/ 1Q22 Outlook- It's a Bit of Beyond Expectation as Actionable

MediaTek will lead in the smartphone area, including 4G/5G for ~700mn in 2022. The 5G penetration rate will be from 35-40% in 2021 to be 50% in...

Patrick Liao

TSMC – 2022 Could Be Great but What After?

TSMC offers an intriguing prospect due to its utter dominance of a high growth sector and high, stable margins despite elevated valuations and...

Mio Kato

GlobalFoundries IPO - Valuation

GlobalFoundries aims to list at a market cap close to $25bn and the presence of strong cornerstone investor support is a positive here but does...

Mio Kato

GlobalFoundries IPO - Financials

GlobalFoundries financials tell a sorry tale with numerous red flags and it is not entirely clear whether they can steady the ship or generate a...

Mio Kato

GlobalFoundries IPO – The Business

With GlobalFoundries struggling to make profits even in this environment and all adulation seemingly reserved for TSMC we examine whether there is...

Mio Kato

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