Semiconductor & Technology Specialist, Ingenuity

William Keating

Semiconductor & Technology Specialist

Ingenuity

Our focus is exclusively on in-depth research & consulting in the broader semiconductor industry. We focus on the key players, namely Intel, Micron, Qualcomm, Apple, Samsung, NVIDIA, AMD, TSMC & Global Foundries - as well as some of the lesser known, but nonetheless critical, companies such as ASML (for EUV), Mellanox, Cavium, Xilinx etc. We specialise in their products, roadmaps, process technologies, competitive advantages & threats etc. We also help our clients understand the implications of new and emerging technologies, e.g. 3D X-Point, 3D NAND, Carbon Nanotubes, Autonomous Driving, Graphene, Silicon Photonics, Wafer-Level Optics, Artificial Intelligence, FPGA, GPU, ASIC etc. 

Semiconductor Analysis & Research

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Global semiconductor sales for the month of January 2025 hit $56.5 billion, an increase of 17.9% YoY, but down 1.7% MoM</li>
<li>TSMC is also off to an excellent start in 2025. YTD revenues through February are up 39.2%.</li>
<li>2025 Semi forecast? Think 2024 without the memory boom and way more volatility</li>
</ul>


Global semiconductor sales for the month of January 2025 hit $56.5 billion, an increase of 17.9% YoY, but down 1.7% MoM
TSMC is also off to an excellent start in 2025. YTD revenues through February are up 39.2%.
2025 Semi forecast? Think 2024 without the memory boom and way more volatility


Semiconductors. Key Indicator Updates, 2024 In Review, 2025 Forecasts

Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Zero One

Founded in 2015, Zero One produces independent investment research and provides corporate finance advisory services with a focus on both listed and private technology companies. Founder Vincent Fernando has over 20 years of experience in US and Asia capital markets.

Independent Investment Research

Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR / Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR

<ul>
<li>TSMC Eyes Intel Foundry Joint Venture: Strategic Expansion or Risky Bet?</li>
<li>TSMC Addresses U.S. Expansion Concerns: Strengthens TSMC Position &amp; Positive for Semi Industry Capex </li>
<li>MWC Barcelona Showcased The 6G Showdown: MediaTek Vs. Qualcomm in the Race for Wireless Supremacy </li>
</ul>


TSMC Eyes Intel Foundry Joint Venture: Strategic Expansion or Risky Bet?
TSMC Addresses U.S. Expansion Concerns: Strengthens TSMC Position &amp; Positive for Semi Industry Capex 
MWC Barcelona Showcased The 6G Showdown: MediaTek Vs. Qualcomm in the Race for Wireless Supremacy 


Taiwan Tech Weekly: If TSMC Joins Intel for Foundry, It Will Entrench Dominance; Structural Long

<ul>
<li>TSMC just held a press conference this evening in Taiwan regarding its expanded U.S. investment plans. TSMC said it won't impact Taiwan investments; it is actually accelerating its Taiwan investments.</li>
<li>Additionally, we see TSMC's aggressive U.S. expansion significantly weakening Intel's ability to compete, as it removes one of Intel’s major differentiators--domestic U.S. production.</li>
<li>Maintain Structural Long rating on TSMC -- Expanded U.S. investment fortifies the company’s global leadership. ALSO -- Positive news for semiconductor manufacturing equipment companies internationally and in Taiwan. ASML, etc.</li>
</ul>


TSMC just held a press conference this evening in Taiwan regarding its expanded U.S. investment plans. TSMC said it won't impact Taiwan investments; it is actually accelerating its Taiwan investments.
Additionally, we see TSMC's aggressive U.S. expansion significantly weakening Intel's ability to compete, as it removes one of Intel’s major differentiators--domestic U.S. production.
Maintain Structural Long rating on TSMC -- Expanded U.S. investment fortifies the company’s global leadership. ALSO -- Positive news for semiconductor manufacturing equipment companies internationally and in Taiwan. ASML, etc.


TSMC Addresses U.S. Expansion Concerns: Strengthens TSMC Position & Positive for Semi Industry Capex

Tracking developments across tech supply chains, Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tracking developments across tech supply chains

<ul><li>China smartphone market in 4Q 2024 expected to see growth, intensifying competition among top brands.</li><li>GlobalWafers remains stable despite uncertainty around US CHIPS Act funding.</li><li>Yageo surprises with Shibaura Electronics takeover bid, Foxconn proposes partnership with Nissan, Forces Mos wins patent case against Asus.</li></ul>

China smartphone market in 4Q 2024 expected to see growth, intensifying competition among top brands.GlobalWafers remains stable despite uncertainty around US CHIPS Act funding.Yageo surprises with Shibaura Electronics takeover bid, Foxconn proposes partnership with Nissan, Forces Mos wins patent case against Asus.

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (15-Feb-2025): China smartphone market, 4Q '24

<ul>
<li>Gross Margins Aggregate Data - Shows Taiwan Semiconductor Companies Under Pressure</li>
<li>How TSMC and GlobalWafers show two very different margin environments; However everyone needs to manage rising energy costs into 2025E</li>
<li>Aggregate Inventory Levels -- Inventory Days Declining Trend is a Positive Sign</li>
</ul>


Gross Margins Aggregate Data - Shows Taiwan Semiconductor Companies Under Pressure
How TSMC and GlobalWafers show two very different margin environments; However everyone needs to manage rising energy costs into 2025E
Aggregate Inventory Levels -- Inventory Days Declining Trend is a Positive Sign


Taiwan Semiconductor Industry Aggregate Analysis: Margins Challenged; Inventory Data Positive

Taiwan

Globalwafers Co., Ltd. specializes in silicon wafer manufacturing and also provides solar wafers and crystal rods. The Company possesses a complete production line from ingot growth, slicing, etching, diffusion, polishing to epitaxy. Their products include Epi wafers, polished wafers, etched wafers, ultra thin wafers and deep diffusion wafers.

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Globalwafers (6488 TT)

Semiconductors. Key Indicator Updates, 2024 In Review, 2025 Forecasts

2025 Semi forecast? Think 2024 without the memory boom and way more volatility. Chaos will ultimately beget opportunity, just not yet...

William Keating

Taiwan Tech Weekly: If TSMC Joins Intel for Foundry, It Will Entrench Dominance; Structural Long

TSMC considers joint venture with Intel, addresses US expansion concerns. Mediatek competes with Qualcomm in the 6G race at MWC Barcelona.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

TSMC Addresses U.S. Expansion Concerns: Strengthens TSMC Position & Positive for Semi Industry Capex

TSMC explained how it is accelerating Taiwan investments while also increasing its expansion in the U.S.. Highly positive news for semiconductor...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (15-Feb-2025): China smartphone market, 4Q '24

China's smartphone market is growing, GlobalWafers remains stable, quantum computing advances, Yageo bids for Shibaura Electronics, Foxconn...

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Taiwan Semiconductor Industry Aggregate Analysis: Margins Challenged; Inventory Data Positive

Taiwan semiconductor companies facing pressure on gross margins. Rising energy costs a concern through 2025, but declining inventory days a...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Semiconductors. Key Indicator Updates, 2024 In Review, 2025 Forecasts

2025 Semi forecast? Think 2024 without the memory boom and way more volatility. Chaos will ultimately beget opportunity, just not yet...

William Keating

Taiwan Tech Weekly: If TSMC Joins Intel for Foundry, It Will Entrench Dominance; Structural Long

​TSMC considers joint venture with Intel, addresses US expansion concerns. Mediatek competes with Qualcomm in the 6G race at MWC Barcelona.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

TSMC Addresses U.S. Expansion Concerns: Strengthens TSMC Position & Positive for Semi Industry Capex

​TSMC explained how it is accelerating Taiwan investments while also increasing its expansion in the U.S.. Highly positive news for semiconductor...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (15-Feb-2025): China smartphone market, 4Q '24

China's smartphone market is growing, GlobalWafers remains stable, quantum computing advances, Yageo bids for Shibaura Electronics, Foxconn...

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Taiwan Semiconductor Industry Aggregate Analysis: Margins Challenged; Inventory Data Positive

​Taiwan semiconductor companies facing pressure on gross margins. Rising energy costs a concern through 2025, but declining inventory days a...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

TSMC considers joint venture with Intel, addresses US expansion concerns. Mediatek competes with Qualcomm in the 6G race at MWC Barcelona.

TSMC explained how it is accelerating Taiwan investments while also increasing its expansion in the U.S.. Highly positive news for semiconductor...

Taiwan semiconductor companies facing pressure on gross margins. Rising energy costs a concern through 2025, but declining inventory days a...