Forensic Analyst, Trudence Capital Advisors

Nitin Mangal

Forensic Analyst

Trudence Capital Advisors

Trudence Capital Advisors Private Limited is a SEBI-registered Research Analyst, holding SEBI registration number INH000015747. Our firm is dedicated to providing independent and unbiased research on Indian mid to large-cap companies. Trudence Capital is known for its counter-consensus views, with a focus on forensic research and on-ground primary investigations. Our research approach is thorough, involving detailed analysis of accounting practices and governance, alongside extensive channel checks.

Independent & Unbiased Research

Forensic Accounting

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/godrej-properties-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3971:1" rel="noopener">Godrej Properties (GPL IN)</a> is one of the large real estate developers in India. The company has diversified presence across four of the largest markets in India. </li>
<li>Even though Godrej has strong booking pipeline, the company however faces trouble in generating cash historically.</li>
<li>Its low ROCE, fragile earnings quality remains a concern. Other concerns include JV exposure, CWIP ageing along with few disclosure woes.</li>
</ul>



Godrej Properties (GPL IN) is one of the large real estate developers in India. The company has diversified presence across four of the largest markets in India. 
Even though Godrej has strong booking pipeline, the company however faces trouble in generating cash historically.
Its low ROCE, fragile earnings quality remains a concern. Other concerns include JV exposure, CWIP ageing along with few disclosure woes.


Equity L/S Analyst | Forensic Accounting | India, Yellowstone Equity

Ankit Agrawal, CFA

Equity L/S Analyst | Forensic Accounting | India

Equity Bottom-Up

Kolte Patil Developers / Equity Bottom-Up

<div>
<p>Residential real estate sector in India presents a decadal opportunity led by the shift to Organized from Unorganized. Our top pick in the space is <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kolte-patil-developers-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6819:1" rel="noopener">Kolte Patil Developers (KPDL IN)</a>, a branded developer based out of Pune.</p>
<div id="annotable-executive_summary-1"><em>For detailed thematic insights into the changing landscape of residential real estate development in India, please refer to our insight: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/a-fat-theme-organized-real-estate-developers-in-india-a-decadal-opportunity" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:56658" rel="noopener">A Fat Theme | Organized Real Estate Developers in India - A Decadal Opportunity</a>.</em></div>
</div>


Residential real estate sector in India presents a decadal opportunity led by the shift to Organized from Unorganized. Our top pick in the space is Kolte Patil Developers (KPDL IN), a branded developer based out of Pune.
For detailed thematic insights into the changing landscape of residential real estate development in India, please refer to our insight: A Fat Theme | Organized Real Estate Developers in India - A Decadal Opportunity.


Kolte Patil: A Fat Bet on Booming Residential Real Estate in India

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

HDFC Securities

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

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Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Titan: Titan’s top-line growth remains healthy. Revenue grew 26% YoY to INR 119bn</li><li>Ex-bullion sales grew 22% YoY to INR97.5bn (in-line) as both buyers’ growth (+14% YoY) and ticket sizes (+6% YoY) aided growth</li><li>The key take from the Q1 print was the preference for market share gain over margins</li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

Titan: Titan’s top-line growth remains healthy. Revenue grew 26% YoY to INR 119bnEx-bullion sales grew 22% YoY to INR97.5bn (in-line) as both buyers’ growth (+14% YoY) and ticket sizes (+6% YoY) aided growthThe key take from the Q1 print was the preference for market share gain over marginsContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: Titan, Ambuja Cement, Cholamandalam Investment and Finance Company

<ul><li>Housing demand continues to surprise positively: After a strong Q4FY24, we expect a sequentially flattish presale growth in Q1FY24 (on a high Q4FY23 base, driven by sustenance sales)</li><li>In the absence of major new launches, sustenance sales are likely to remain robust</li><li>We expect new project launches to come to market in H2FY24</li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

Housing demand continues to surprise positively: After a strong Q4FY24, we expect a sequentially flattish presale growth in Q1FY24 (on a high Q4FY23 base, driven by sustenance sales)In the absence of major new launches, sustenance sales are likely to remain robustWe expect new project launches to come to market in H2FY24Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Nexus Select Trust / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nexus-select-trust" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36566:1" rel="noopener">Nexus Select Trust (NST IN)</a> raised around US$391m in its India IPO. The market value of its assets stood at INR234bn (US$2.9bn), of which INR211bn (US$2.6bn) was from its retail assets.</li>
<li>NST is a REIT with a portfolio of 17 Grade A urban consumption centers. It is backed by Blackstone.</li>
<li>We have looked at various aspects of the deal in our previous note, in this note, we talk about the demand and trading dynamics.</li>
</ul>



Nexus Select Trust (NST IN) raised around US$391m in its India IPO. The market value of its assets stood at INR234bn (US$2.9bn), of which INR211bn (US$2.6bn) was from its retail assets.
NST is a REIT with a portfolio of 17 Grade A urban consumption centers. It is backed by Blackstone.
We have looked at various aspects of the deal in our previous note, in this note, we talk about the demand and trading dynamics.


Nexus Select Trust IPO Trading - Decent but Mostly Domestic Demand

India

Godrej Properties, Ltd. is a real estate development company.

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Godrej Properties (GPL IN)

Godrej Properties- Forensic Analysis

The company however faces trouble in generating cash historically. Its low ROCE, fragile earnings quality remains a concern. Other concerns include...

Nitin Mangal

Kolte Patil: A Fat Bet on Booming Residential Real Estate in India

Business development activity, pace of execution and new launches are at all time high, leading to all-time high sales velocity. The stock has...

Ankit Agrawal, CFA

HSIE Results Daily: Titan, Ambuja Cement, Cholamandalam Investment and Finance Company

Ex-bullion sales grew 22% YoY to INR97.5bn (in-line) as both buyers’ growth (+14% YoY) and ticket sizes (+6% YoY) aided growth

HDFC Securities

Real Estate: Presale momentum continues

After a strong Q4FY24, we expect a sequentially flattish presale growth in Q1FY24 (on a high Q4FY23 base, driven by sustenance sales)

HDFC Securities

Nexus Select Trust IPO Trading - Decent but Mostly Domestic Demand

Nexus Select Trust (NST IN) raised around US$391m in its India IPO. The market value of its assets stood at INR234bn (US$2.9bn), of which INR211bn...

Sumeet Singh

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