Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Our bullish outlook on global equities (MSCI ACWI) remains intact with ACWI-US and the S&amp;P 500 firmly trending higher. Our recommendation since mid-October to use any pre-election pullback in..</li>
<li>... the ACWI or the SPX as an opportunity to add exposure continues to pay off, and there is not much left to do except ride the trend higher.</li>
<li>Additionally, we still see a high probability of significant upside going into year-end and the early part of 2025 -- and likely beyond</li>
</ul>


Our bullish outlook on global equities (MSCI ACWI) remains intact with ACWI-US and the S&amp;P 500 firmly trending higher. Our recommendation since mid-October to use any pre-election pullback in..
... the ACWI or the SPX as an opportunity to add exposure continues to pay off, and there is not much left to do except ride the trend higher.
Additionally, we still see a high probability of significant upside going into year-end and the early part of 2025 -- and likely beyond


Ride the Trend Higher in MSCI ACWI and S&P 500; Buy/Stay Long Global Discretionary, Services, Tech

CEO, A. Stotz Investment Research

Dr. Andrew Stotz, CFA

Quantamental Investing to beat Benchmarks

A. Stotz Investment Research

We pick stocks. We construct portfolios. All our effort is focused on how to better pick stocks and construct portfolios. We serve fund management companies, family offices, and high net worth individuals.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>We highlight 10 stocks in China that look interesting to us based on our FVMR Methodology</li>
<li>Portfolio changes: Three stocks remain, seven new join the fray</li>
<li>Since inception, it has gained 172% versus the CSI 300 Index’s return of 62%</li>
</ul>


We highlight 10 stocks in China that look interesting to us based on our FVMR Methodology
Portfolio changes: Three stocks remain, seven new join the fray
Since inception, it has gained 172% versus the CSI 300 Index’s return of 62%


<ul>
<li>Global equities (MSCI ACWI -- ACWI-US) and the U.S. (S&amp;P 500) remain topside their respective bases at $117 and 5650-5670.</li>
<li>As discussed last week (October 17, 2024 Int'l Compass), we upgraded our outlook on global equities (MSCI ACWI) to bullish, saying to use any pre-election pullback as opportunity to buy.</li>
<li>The pullback appears to be underway, and we are buyers as long as ACWI-US and S&amp;P 500 remain above their aforementioned bases</li>
</ul>


Global equities (MSCI ACWI -- ACWI-US) and the U.S. (S&amp;P 500) remain topside their respective bases at $117 and 5650-5670.
As discussed last week (October 17, 2024 Int'l Compass), we upgraded our outlook on global equities (MSCI ACWI) to bullish, saying to use any pre-election pullback as opportunity to buy.
The pullback appears to be underway, and we are buyers as long as ACWI-US and S&amp;P 500 remain above their aforementioned bases


Buying Global Technology; SPX and MSCI ACWI Above Base Supports; Sea, TSMC, SAP, Luxshare, & More

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Goertek’s 3Q24 revenue/ net profit rose +2%/+138% YoY, exceeding previous market expectations.</li><li>3Q24 GPM lifted to 11.4% (-2.2 ppts QoQ/+1.2 ppts YoY), mainly due to improving efficiency and better scale effect.</li><li>Looking into 4Q24/FY25E, we expect Goertek’s earnings will continue to rebound given improving GPM YoY, prudent cost control and better AR/VR/gaming demand with multiple product launches from major VR/AR players. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Goertek’s 3Q24 revenue/ net profit rose +2%/+138% YoY, exceeding previous market expectations.3Q24 GPM lifted to 11.4% (-2.2 ppts QoQ/+1.2 ppts YoY), mainly due to improving efficiency and better scale effect.Looking into 4Q24/FY25E, we expect Goertek’s earnings will continue to rebound given improving GPM YoY, prudent cost control and better AR/VR/gaming demand with multiple product launches from major VR/AR players. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Goertek (002241 CH) - 3Q24 Recovery on Track

<ul><li>Meta officially unveiled the latest MR Quest 3S, prototype of its first Orion AR glasses, and updates on Meta AI and Ray-Ban smart glasses during the Meta Connect event.</li><li>The new Quest 3S came at US$ 299 as a more affordable version of Quest 3 (US$ 499) launched last year, equipped with reduced specs on display, resolution and optical solution, but featuring the same processor, MR functions, hand tracking and full gaming/social/entertainment experience with Horizon OS.</li><li>Meta also debuted Orion, its most advanced AR glass prototype, featuring wide FoV, holographic displays, see-through MR function, eye/hand tracking, new display architecture and wrist-based neural interface in a light design (100g). </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Meta officially unveiled the latest MR Quest 3S, prototype of its first Orion AR glasses, and updates on Meta AI and Ray-Ban smart glasses during the Meta Connect event.The new Quest 3S came at US$ 299 as a more affordable version of Quest 3 (US$ 499) launched last year, equipped with reduced specs on display, resolution and optical solution, but featuring the same processor, MR functions, hand tracking and full gaming/social/entertainment experience with Horizon OS.Meta also debuted Orion, its most advanced AR glass prototype, featuring wide FoV, holographic displays, see-through MR function, eye/hand tracking, new display architecture and wrist-based neural interface in a light design (100g). Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Technology - Meta Connect 2024: Quest 3S, Orion AR Glasses, AI and Ray-Ban Smart Glasses Updates

China

GoerTek, Inc. manufactures wireless communication products. The Company offers wireless communication devices armed with wireless technology, active noise cancellation headphones, VoIP devices, hands-free headsets, and other electro-acoustic devices. GoerTek serves the telecommunication and electro-acoustic industries worldwide.

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Goertek Inc A (002241 CH)

Ride the Trend Higher in MSCI ACWI and S&P 500; Buy/Stay Long Global Discretionary, Services, Tech

Ride the Trend Higher in MSCI $ACWI and $SPX; We are still bullish as Risk-On Signals Dominate. Ideas to buy/stay long in global Discretionary,...

Vermilion Research

The Stocks to Own in China – Vol. 34

We highlight 10 China A stocks that look interesting to us based on our FVMR Methodology. Portfolio changes: Three stocks remain, seven new join...

A. Stotz Investment Research

Buying Global Technology; SPX and MSCI ACWI Above Base Supports; Sea, TSMC, SAP, Luxshare, & More

Buying Global Technology; $SPX and MSCI $ACWI Remain Above Base Supports at 5650-5670 and $117; Buying Taiwan Semiconductor $TSM $SE $SAP $GRAB...

Vermilion Research

Goertek (002241 CH) - 3Q24 Recovery on Track

Goertek’s 3Q24 revenue/ net profit rose +2%/+138% YoY, exceeding previous market expectations. 3Q24 GPM lifted to 11.4% (-2.2 ppts QoQ/+1.2 ppts YoY)

CMB International

Technology - Meta Connect 2024: Quest 3S, Orion AR Glasses, AI and Ray-Ban Smart Glasses Updates

Meta officially unveiled the latest MR Quest 3S, prototype of its first Orion AR glasses, and updates on Meta AI and Ray-Ban smart glasses during...

CMB International

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