Smartkarma Research Team, Smartkarma

Smartkarma Research

Smartkarma Research Team

Smartkarma

Smartkarma unites the fragmented investment industry, connecting institutional investors, independent research providers, and corporates within a single network.

Research Reinvented

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<p>Smartkarma hosted Cube's Co-Founder and Smartkarma Insight Provider, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/profiles/simon-torring" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="accounts:47333" rel="noopener">Simon Torring</a> in an exclusive Webinar on 15 October '25. Simon shared key updates about Southeast Asia's e-commerce industry, including newly released H1 market data for the region's leading e-commerce platforms, from the firm's proprietary Tradewinds data offering. </p>
<p>Catch the full discussion below: </p>
<div style="display: flex; justify-content: center; align-items: center;"><iframe src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/ZGFdQFlxZvE?si=OgOI8xgl-8tXU_lV" width="560" height="315" title="YouTube video player" frameborder="0" allow="accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share" referrerpolicy="strict-origin-when-cross-origin" allowfullscreen="allowfullscreen"></iframe></div>
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<p>For our next Webinar we are glad to welcome Cube's Co-Founder and Smartkarma Insight Provider, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/profiles/simon-torring" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="accounts:47333" rel="noopener">Simon Torring.</a></p>
<p>In the upcoming webinar, Simon will share key updates about Southeast Asia's e-commerce industry, including newly released H1 market data for the region's leading e-commerce platforms, from the firm's proprietary Tradewinds data offering. <br>The session will also touch on key industry developments such as platform competition, promotional intensity, and Shopee's expansion in Brazil, along with an e-commerce industry forecast.</p>
<p>The webinar will include a live Q&amp;A session.</p>
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<h3>The Webinar will be hosted on Wednesday, 15 October 2025, 20:00 SGT.</h3>
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<h2><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/home/webinar-registration-form-feb2025/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Register for the Webinar here</a></h2>
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<h3>About <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/companies/cube-asia/research" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Cube</a>
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<p>Cube (formerly Cube Asia) offers granular market data and insights for online retail in Southeast Asia, helping brands and retail companies drive profitable growth. <br><strong>Why The Cube?</strong><br>The Cube offers 3 dimensions of granularity to help you get deep into the 1) geographies, 2) categories, and 3) types of data and insights you need for your business. <br>They operate a big-data machine that is continuously listening to public data sources and primary research, triangulating across thousands of data points using probabilistic modeling to produce an accurate and granular picture of Southeast Asia’s online retail landscape</p>

Smartkarma hosted Cube's Co-Founder and Smartkarma Insight Provider, Simon Torring in an exclusive Webinar on 15 October '25. Simon shared key updates about Southeast Asia's e-commerce industry, including newly released H1 market data for the region's leading e-commerce platforms, from the firm's proprietary Tradewinds data offering. 
Catch the full discussion below: 


For our next Webinar we are glad to welcome Cube's Co-Founder and Smartkarma Insight Provider, Simon Torring.
In the upcoming webinar, Simon will share key updates about Southeast Asia's e-commerce industry, including newly released H1 market data for the region's leading e-commerce platforms, from the firm's proprietary Tradewinds data offering.  The session will also touch on key industry developments such as platform competition, promotional intensity, and Shopee's expansion in Brazil, along with an e-commerce industry forecast.
The webinar will include a live Q&amp;A session.






The Webinar will be hosted on Wednesday, 15 October 2025, 20:00 SGT.












Register for the Webinar here












About Cube

Cube (formerly Cube Asia) offers granular market data and insights for online retail in Southeast Asia, helping brands and retail companies drive profitable growth.  Why The Cube? The Cube offers 3 dimensions of granularity to help you get deep into the 1) geographies, 2) categories, and 3) types of data and insights you need for your business.  They operate a big-data machine that is continuously listening to public data sources and primary research, triangulating across thousands of data points using probabilistic modeling to produce an accurate and granular picture of Southeast Asia’s online retail landscape

Smartkarma Webinar | Southeast Asia E-Commerce:  H1 Data, Key Developments & Forecast with Cube

ASEAN Insight Provider, CrossASEAN Research

Angus Mackintosh

ASEAN Insight Provider

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Press reports suggest that a merger between <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/goto-gojek-tokopedia-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25976:1" rel="noopener">GoTo Gojek Tokopedia</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/grab-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26950:1" rel="noopener">Grab</a> is back on the table, which is ironic given the progress of both companies towards profitability. </li>
<li>Any merger may encounter anti-trust issues in Indonesia, with some fallout for drivers and potentially merchants, which may encounter resistance from the government and even potential demonstrations but not insurmountable.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/grab-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26950:1" rel="noopener">Grab</a> should book a net profit in 2025 plus higher growth, as its barbell strategy gains traction, but a <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/goto-gojek-tokopedia-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25976:1" rel="noopener">GoTo</a> merger could move the dial towards much higher profitability.</li>
</ul>


Press reports suggest that a merger between GoTo Gojek Tokopedia and Grab is back on the table, which is ironic given the progress of both companies towards profitability. 
Any merger may encounter anti-trust issues in Indonesia, with some fallout for drivers and potentially merchants, which may encounter resistance from the government and even potential demonstrations but not insurmountable.

Grab should book a net profit in 2025 plus higher growth, as its barbell strategy gains traction, but a GoTo merger could move the dial towards much higher profitability.


Grab Holdings (GRAB US) - GoTo Merger Rears Its Head?

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>The Indonesian stock market was down 2% over the last year despite a flurry of inflows in the summer but this year looks interesting with a new government in place. </li>
<li>GDP growth forecasts are more optimistic for 2025 and government stimulus should help to drive higher consumption, with FDI driven by more value-added investments in the EV-related projects. </li>
<li>Increasing digitalisation of the economy and greater use of AI will drive profitability and data centre growth. Interest rates are expected to fall -50-100bps which should also be supportive.</li>
</ul>


The Indonesian stock market was down 2% over the last year despite a flurry of inflows in the summer but this year looks interesting with a new government in place. 
GDP growth forecasts are more optimistic for 2025 and government stimulus should help to drive higher consumption, with FDI driven by more value-added investments in the EV-related projects. 
Increasing digitalisation of the economy and greater use of AI will drive profitability and data centre growth. Interest rates are expected to fall -50-100bps which should also be supportive.


CrossASEAN Indonesia Strategy - Parting Clouds

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<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bukalapak-com-pt-tbk" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33575:1" rel="noopener">Bukalapak (BUKA IJ)</a> has seen a sharp share price rebound recently with speculation over a tie up with Temu, which appears ill-founded, with the only newsflow being a Director resigning.</li>
<li>The company swung back into a slight negative adjusted EBITDA in 2Q2024, mainly due to the seasonal impact of Lebaran on its O2O business and increased competition in virtual products.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bukalapak-com-pt-tbk" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33575:1" rel="noopener">Bukalapak</a> remains a differentiated player in Indonesian e-commerce with a focus on serving MSMEs through its marketplace, with increasing take rates ahead. Dealing with excess cash is a potential catalyst. </li>
</ul>



Bukalapak (BUKA IJ) has seen a sharp share price rebound recently with speculation over a tie up with Temu, which appears ill-founded, with the only newsflow being a Director resigning.
The company swung back into a slight negative adjusted EBITDA in 2Q2024, mainly due to the seasonal impact of Lebaran on its O2O business and increased competition in virtual products.

Bukalapak remains a differentiated player in Indonesian e-commerce with a focus on serving MSMEs through its marketplace, with increasing take rates ahead. Dealing with excess cash is a potential catalyst. 


<ul>
<li>Indonesia has been the recipient of significant investment flows for foreign investors with more of a "risk on" environment with a large portion flowing into Indonesian banks. </li>
<li>Indonesia stacks up from an investment perspective with a stable political environment, solid GDP growth of around 5% YoY, rising flows of FDI, and a more stable IDR.</li>
<li>Despite the JCI knocking on all-time highs, valuations continue to look attractive with prospects of a better 2H2024 and lower interest rates. Top picks: Banks, property, consumer, and selective elsewhere. </li>
</ul>


Indonesia has been the recipient of significant investment flows for foreign investors with more of a "risk on" environment with a large portion flowing into Indonesian banks. 
Indonesia stacks up from an investment perspective with a stable political environment, solid GDP growth of around 5% YoY, rising flows of FDI, and a more stable IDR.
Despite the JCI knocking on all-time highs, valuations continue to look attractive with prospects of a better 2H2024 and lower interest rates. Top picks: Banks, property, consumer, and selective elsewhere. 


Indonesia Strategy - Caught in a Perfect Updraft?

Indonesia

PT GoTo Gojek Tokopedia Tbk operates as an e-commerce platform. The Company offers mobility, food delivery, logistics, e-commerce, and financial technology solutions. GoTo Gojek Tokopedia serves customers in Indonesia.

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GoTo Gojek Tokopedia Tbk PT (GOTO IJ)

Smartkarma Webinar | Southeast Asia E-Commerce: H1 Data, Key Developments & Forecast with Cube

For our next Webinar we are glad to welcome Cube's Co-Founder and Smartkarma Insight Provider, Simon Torring. In the upcoming webinar, Simon will...

Smartkarma Research

Grab Holdings (GRAB US) - GoTo Merger Rears Its Head?

Grab should book a net profit in 2025 plus higher growth, as its barbell strategy gains traction, but a GoTo merger could move the dial towards...

Angus Mackintosh

CrossASEAN Indonesia Strategy - Parting Clouds

The Indonesian stock market was down 2% over the last year despite a flurry of inflows in the summer but this year looks interesting with a new...

Angus Mackintosh

Bukalapak (BUKA IJ) - Changes Afoot?

Bukalapak remains a differentiated player in Indonesian e-commerce with a focus on serving MSMEs through its marketplace and increasing take rates...

Angus Mackintosh

Indonesia Strategy - Caught in a Perfect Updraft?

Despite the JCI knocking on all-time highs, valuations continue to look attractive with prospects of a better 2H2024 and lower interest rates. Top...

Angus Mackintosh

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