Leading Independent Investment Research, Morningstar, Inc.

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Leading Independent Investment Research

Morningstar, Inc.

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Equity Bottom-Up

Wilmar has been coping with protracted softness in edible oil&nbsp;prices since early 2011.Coming into 2015, slowing oil palm acreage&nbsp;growth in Indonesia and Malaysia, coupled with more favourable&nbsp;biodiesel mandates in Indonesia, stirred an upbeat mood in the&nbsp;capital market on the firm's profit recovery, but prices have&nbsp;continued to decline.We believe that an abundant soybean supply--a substitute edible&nbsp;oil source--will limit palm oil price growth over the long term.In the downstream segment, Wilmar&rsquo;s oilseed crushing and refining&nbsp;business is plagued by severe industry overcapacity.Wilmar chose to diversify toward the sugar business amid the&nbsp;turmoil in the edible oil market. By the end of 2014, its sugar&nbsp;business contributed 9.4% of total sales, up from 6.8% in 2011.&nbsp;Diversification will reduce the firm's overall exposure to edible oil&nbsp;prices. Nonetheless, sugar prices are sluggish as well.Analyst: Dan Baker

Wilmar has been coping with protracted softness in edible oil&nbsp;prices since early 2011.Coming into 2015, slowing oil palm acreage&nbsp;growth in Indonesia and Malaysia, coupled with more favourable&nbsp;biodiesel mandates in Indonesia, stirred an upbeat mood in the&nbsp;capital market on the firm's profit recovery, but prices have&nbsp;continued to decline.We believe that an abundant soybean supply--a substitute edible&nbsp;oil source--will limit palm oil price growth over the long term.In the downstream segment, Wilmar&rsquo;s oilseed crushing and refining&nbsp;business is plagued by severe industry overcapacity.Wilmar chose to diversify toward the sugar business amid the&nbsp;turmoil in the edible oil market. By the end of 2014, its sugar&nbsp;business contributed 9.4% of total sales, up from 6.8% in 2011.&nbsp;Diversification will reduce the firm's overall exposure to edible oil&nbsp;prices. Nonetheless, sugar prices are sluggish as well.Analyst: Dan Baker

Lacklustre Long-Term Edible Oil Profitability Prospects Cap our Enthusiasm for Wilmar's Renaissance.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li class="p1">Seismic changes are affecting the consumer packaged goods industry as consumers are becoming less brand loyal and supermarkets are under attack from hard discounters and online competition.</li><li class="p1">The prolonged period of slow economic growth has conditioned consumers to be more price sensitive, and the emergence of the e-commerce channel is rapidly changing consumers' shopping behaviours.</li><li class="p2">In our opinion, the strongest antidote to these pressures is a strong brand.</li><li class="p2">In this report, we quantify the power of each company's brand by its ability to take pricing, using a number of metrics, and conclude that while brand strength varies widely across the consumer packaged goods space, beverages and tobacco generally enjoy stronger positions.</li><li class="p2">We also dive deep into cost advantages and show that while some of the large diversified CPG firms may generate economies of scope, economies of scale are more prevalent in industries with a homogeneous manufacturing process.</li></ul>Lead Analysts: Adam Fleck, CFA; Philip Gorham, CFA, FRM; R.J. Hottovy, CFA; Erin Lash, CFA; Ken Perkins, CFAFull report below the fold...&nbsp;

Seismic changes are affecting the consumer packaged goods industry as consumers are becoming less brand loyal and supermarkets are under attack from hard discounters and online competition.The prolonged period of slow economic growth has conditioned consumers to be more price sensitive, and the emergence of the e-commerce channel is rapidly changing consumers' shopping behaviours.In our opinion, the strongest antidote to these pressures is a strong brand.In this report, we quantify the power of each company's brand by its ability to take pricing, using a number of metrics, and conclude that while brand strength varies widely across the consumer packaged goods space, beverages and tobacco generally enjoy stronger positions.We also dive deep into cost advantages and show that while some of the large diversified CPG firms may generate economies of scope, economies of scale are more prevalent in industries with a homogeneous manufacturing process.Lead Analysts: Adam Fleck, CFA; Philip Gorham, CFA, FRM; R.J. Hottovy, CFA; Erin Lash, CFA; Ken Perkins, CFAFull report below the fold...&nbsp;

Morningstar Consumer Observer: Shopping for the CPG Brands Best Positioned for a New Era in Commerce

Singapore

Golden Agri-Resources Limited cultivates, harvests, processes, distributes, and sells crude palm oil and palm kernel.  The Company also refines crude palm oil into cooking oil, margarine, and shortening for sale and distribution.

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Golden Agri Resources (GGR SP)

Lacklustre Long-Term Edible Oil Profitability Prospects Cap our Enthusiasm for Wilmar's Renaissance.

Wilmar has been coping with protracted softness in edible oil prices since early 2011.Coming into 2015, slowing oil palm acreage growth in...

Morningstar, Inc.

Morningstar Consumer Observer: Shopping for the CPG Brands Best Positioned for a New Era in Commerce

Seismic changes are affecting the consumer packaged goods industry as consumers are becoming less brand loyal and supermarkets are under attack...

Morningstar, Inc.

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