IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>We summarise the latest spreads and newsflow of merger arb situations we cover across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand and Chinese ADRs.</li>
<li>Highest spreads: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/arcadium-lithium-plc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40438:1" rel="noopener">Arcadium Lithium (LTM AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/seven-i-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1041:1" rel="noopener">Seven &amp; I Holdings (3382 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/get-nice-financial-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29667:1" rel="noopener">Get Nice Financial Group Ltd (1469 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/esr-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27983:1" rel="noopener">ESR Group (1821 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/goldlion-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12359:1" rel="noopener">Goldlion Holdings (533 HK)</a>. </li>
<li>Lowest spreads: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lifestyle-china-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26090:1" rel="noopener">Lifestyle China (2136 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/renewable-japan-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35211:1" rel="noopener">Renewable Japan (9522 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/macromill-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24026:1" rel="noopener">Macromill, Inc (3978 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fuji-soft-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17504:1" rel="noopener">Fuji Soft Inc (9749 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nec-networks-system-integr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16396:1" rel="noopener">Nec Networks &amp; System Integr (1973 JP)</a>.     </li>
</ul>


We summarise the latest spreads and newsflow of merger arb situations we cover across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand and Chinese ADRs.
Highest spreads: Arcadium Lithium (LTM AU), Seven &amp; I Holdings (3382 JP), Get Nice Financial Group Ltd (1469 HK), ESR Group (1821 HK), Goldlion Holdings (533 HK). 
Lowest spreads: Lifestyle China (2136 HK), Renewable Japan (9522 JP), Macromill, Inc (3978 JP), Fuji Soft Inc (9749 JP), Nec Networks &amp; System Integr (1973 JP).     


Merger Arb Mondays (23 Dec) - Seven & I, Fuji Soft, NEC Networks, Pentamaster, Goldlion, Henlius

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Malaysia Airports Holdings / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Back on the 15th May, a consortium (Khazanah Nasional, EPF, the Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, and Global Infrastructure Partners) collectively holding 41.22%, launched an Offer for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/malaysia-airports-holdings-bhd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:117:1" rel="noopener">Malaysia Airports (MAHB MK).</a>
</li>
<li>After some political gymnastics, MAHB squared away the necessary regulatory approvals, and a firm Offer was made on the 15th November. The Offer Doc dispatched on the 6th December. </li>
<li>In the Circular on Friday, the IFA said NOT fair - with reference to a SOTP; but reasonable referencing historical market pricing and that no competing Offer will emerge. </li>
</ul>


Back on the 15th May, a consortium (Khazanah Nasional, EPF, the Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, and Global Infrastructure Partners) collectively holding 41.22%, launched an Offer for Malaysia Airports (MAHB MK).

After some political gymnastics, MAHB squared away the necessary regulatory approvals, and a firm Offer was made on the 15th November. The Offer Doc dispatched on the 6th December. 
In the Circular on Friday, the IFA said NOT fair - with reference to a SOTP; but reasonable referencing historical market pricing and that no competing Offer will emerge. 


Malaysia Airports (MAHB MK): IFA Says NOT Fair, But Reasonable; And To Accept Terms

<ul>
<li>The new article on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/seven-i-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1041:1" rel="noopener">Seven &amp; I Holdings (3382 JP)</a> from TV Tokyo is causing a dip on top of last week's weakness. This is a dip to buy.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cpmc-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10427:1" rel="noopener">CPMC Holdings (906 HK)</a>'s Offer is now open for tendering. Ignore the rumours. Zhang Wei will tender. Expect payment before Chinese New Year. </li>
<li>Accounting solely for the pre-IPO investors, 164.6m shares (US$1.9bn) in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ubtech-robotics-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36469:1" rel="noopener">UBTech Robotics (9880 HK)</a> will be unlocked, ~39.2% of the firm’s total shares outstanding, and 91 days of three-month ADV.</li>
</ul>


The new article on Seven &amp; I Holdings (3382 JP) from TV Tokyo is causing a dip on top of last week's weakness. This is a dip to buy.

CPMC Holdings (906 HK)'s Offer is now open for tendering. Ignore the rumours. Zhang Wei will tender. Expect payment before Chinese New Year. 
Accounting solely for the pre-IPO investors, 164.6m shares (US$1.9bn) in UBTech Robotics (9880 HK) will be unlocked, ~39.2% of the firm’s total shares outstanding, and 91 days of three-month ADV.


Last Week In Event SPACE: Seven & I, CPMC, UBTech Robotics, Macromill, 2024 Best-Of

Greatview Aseptic Packaging / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>During the lunch break, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/greatview-aseptic-packaging" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10802:1" rel="noopener">Greatview Aseptic Packaging (468 HK</a>)  <a href="https://www1.hkexnews.hk/listedco/listconews/sehk/2024/1220/2024122000232.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">announced</a> that <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shandong-xinjufeng-technology-packaging-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36744:1" rel="noopener">Shandong Xinjufeng Technology Packaging (301296 CH)</a> (XJF) had satisfied all pre-conditions - the final approvals concerned outbound direct investments.</li>
<li>The Offer Document, including the IFA opinion, is expected to be dispatched  in seven days - or 27th December, at which time, the Offer will be open to acceptances.</li>
<li>Evidently the Jeff Bi/Gong Hong MGO isn't materialising any time soon. Provided the IFA is supportive - and that should now be known - management should unanimously back XJF's Offer.</li>
</ul>


During the lunch break, Greatview Aseptic Packaging (468 HK)  announced that Shandong Xinjufeng Technology Packaging (301296 CH) (XJF) had satisfied all pre-conditions - the final approvals concerned outbound direct investments.
The Offer Document, including the IFA opinion, is expected to be dispatched  in seven days - or 27th December, at which time, the Offer will be open to acceptances.
Evidently the Jeff Bi/Gong Hong MGO isn't materialising any time soon. Provided the IFA is supportive - and that should now be known - management should unanimously back XJF's Offer.


GAPack (468 HK): XJF Satisfies Pre-Cons. Management Should Back Terms

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/enm-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16267:1" rel="noopener">ENM Holdings (128 HK)</a>'s scheme document is out, with the vote scheduled for 26 September. The IFA considers Chime Corporation’s HK$0.58 per share offer fair and reasonable.</li>
<li>The spread of 7.4% reflects vote risk – cash required for the proposal is lower than the net cash, and the offer price is below the IFA’s SoTP valuation (HK$0.658). </li>
<li>Shareholder approval of the scheme is aided by no shareholder holding a blocking stake, a low AGM minority participation rate and no visible retail opposition to the offer. </li>
</ul>



ENM Holdings (128 HK)'s scheme document is out, with the vote scheduled for 26 September. The IFA considers Chime Corporation’s HK$0.58 per share offer fair and reasonable.
The spread of 7.4% reflects vote risk – cash required for the proposal is lower than the net cash, and the offer price is below the IFA’s SoTP valuation (HK$0.658). 
Shareholder approval of the scheme is aided by no shareholder holding a blocking stake, a low AGM minority participation rate and no visible retail opposition to the offer. 


ENM Holdings (128 HK): A Wide Spread with the Scheme Vote on 26 September

Hong Kong

Goldlion Holdings Limited, through its subsidiaries, distributes and manufactures garments and accessories.  The Company also invests in properties and operates a commercial center with restaurants and a business center.

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Goldlion Holdings (533 HK)

Merger Arb Mondays (23 Dec) - Seven & I, Fuji Soft, NEC Networks, Pentamaster, Goldlion, Henlius

This week, the highest gross spreads are Arcadium Lithium (20.6%), Seven & I (17.8%), Get Nice Financial (10.3%), ESR (8.9%), Goldlion (7.3%),...

Arun George

Malaysia Airports (MAHB MK): IFA Says NOT Fair, But Reasonable; And To Accept Terms

A "not fair, but reasonable" conclusion has generally not proven to be an impediment to securing shareholder support. If late-Jan payment, trading...

David Blennerhassett

Last Week In Event SPACE: Seven & I, CPMC, UBTech Robotics, Macromill, 2024 Best-Of

It’s Sunday! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed during the...

David Blennerhassett

GAPack (468 HK): XJF Satisfies Pre-Cons. Management Should Back Terms

Bi/Hong will likely stick to their guns, and reject XJF's offer, and hope the deal fails. Minority shareholders should ignore that advice and tender.

David Blennerhassett

ENM Holdings (128 HK): A Wide Spread with the Scheme Vote on 26 September

The spread of 7.4% reflects vote risk. Shareholder approval is aided by no shareholder holding a blocking stake, a low AGM minority participation...

Arun George

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