HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>On average, companies under our coverage are forecast to see a 47.3% YoY growth in net profit in 1Q25. Their results should be a pointer for the outlook in 2025. </li>
<li>Good results are expected at <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-electric-group-company-limited-d542164d-4d5a-4ce0-b33e-5fe6bc34722c" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8777:1" rel="noopener">Shanghai Electric Group (2727 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/anhui-conch-cement-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:159:1" rel="noopener">Anhui Conch Cement (914 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-cosco-holdings-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:286:1" rel="noopener">COSCO Shipping Hldgs (1919 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/air-china-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8239:1" rel="noopener">Air China Ltd (753 HK)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-national-building-ma-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:184:1" rel="noopener">CNBM (3323 HK)</a>. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shenzhen-expressway-co-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2875:1" rel="noopener">Shenzhen Expressway (548 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/trip-com-group-ltd-23a341d0-4f63-4175-a8c5-ee990906cacd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36424:1" rel="noopener">Trip.com Group (9961 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/xinhua-winshare-publishing-media-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15072:1" rel="noopener">Xinhua Winshare (811 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cosco-shipping-energy-tran-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:646:1" rel="noopener">Cosco Shipping Energy Transp. (1138 HK)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-longyuan-power-group-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14215:1" rel="noopener">China Longyuan Power (916 HK)</a> will see weaker 1Q25.</li>
</ul>


On average, companies under our coverage are forecast to see a 47.3% YoY growth in net profit in 1Q25. Their results should be a pointer for the outlook in 2025. 
Good results are expected at Shanghai Electric Group (2727 HK), Anhui Conch Cement (914 HK), COSCO Shipping Hldgs (1919 HK), Air China Ltd (753 HK), and CNBM (3323 HK). 

Shenzhen Expressway (548 HK), Trip.com Group (9961 HK), Xinhua Winshare (811 HK), Cosco Shipping Energy Transp. (1138 HK), and China Longyuan Power (916 HK) will see weaker 1Q25.


China & HK Strategy: 1Q25 Preview - The Good, the Bad, and the Ugly

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

Shenton Research

Shenton Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 196 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 83.5% as of Sep 11th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by 1.7ppt week-on-week, led by real estate, information technology, materials.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Minsheng Bank, Innocare Pharma, Yofc, Citic Sec.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 196 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 83.5% as of Sep 11th.
The average A-H premium changed by 1.7ppt week-on-week, led by real estate, information technology, materials.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Minsheng Bank, Innocare Pharma, Yofc, Citic Sec.


A-H Premium Weekly (Sep 11th): Minsheng Bank, Innocare Pharma, Yofc, Citic Sec

<ul>
<li>CSRC's Market Value Management Guidelines will indirectly benefit the H-share stocks with their A-share counterparts with a P/B of below 1x.  </li>
<li>Chinese banks dominated the list with below-book A-shares. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-everbright-bank-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16221:1" rel="noopener">China Everbright Bank (6818 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-citic-bank-corp-ltd-ea6c25fd-4b20-45cb-a4a6-df7a60136f03" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:653:1" rel="noopener">China Citic Bank H (998 HK)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/industrial-and-commercial-bank-of-china-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1119:1" rel="noopener">ICBC (H) (1398 HK)</a> are the prime beneficiaries.</li>
<li>Infrastructure construction companies <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-railway-construction-corp-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:263:1" rel="noopener">China Railway Cons Corp (1186 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-railway-group-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:264:1" rel="noopener">China Railway Group H (390 HK)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-communications-construction-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:265:1" rel="noopener">China Comm Cons (1800 HK)</a> are also well-positioned to gain.</li>
</ul>


CSRC's Market Value Management Guidelines will indirectly benefit the H-share stocks with their A-share counterparts with a P/B of below 1x.  
Chinese banks dominated the list with below-book A-shares. China Everbright Bank (6818 HK), China Citic Bank H (998 HK), and ICBC (H) (1398 HK) are the prime beneficiaries.
Infrastructure construction companies China Railway Cons Corp (1186 HK), China Railway Group H (390 HK), and China Comm Cons (1800 HK) are also well-positioned to gain.


China & HK Strategy: Names to Watch for Market Value Management

Articles from Caixin Global, Caixin Global

Caixin Global

Articles from Caixin Global

Caixin is a media group dedicated to providing financial and business news through periodicals, online content, mobile apps, conferences, books and TV/video programs. Caixin aims to blaze a trail that helps traditional media prosper in the new media age through integrated multimedia platforms.

News from Caixin

<ul><li>Chinese clean-energy companies should increasingly look to Southeast Asia for its abundant resources and growing electric-vehicle (EV) market, experts said, as their prospects in Europe dim amid tighter regulations.</li><li>Chinese companies’ overseas expansion was a key focus at the 2024 ESG and Sustainable Business Ecosystem Conference in Beijing on Friday, where entrepreneurs, investors, scholars and industry experts also explored how artificial intelligence (AI) could help China meet its dual-carbon goals, among other issues.</li><li>“Southeast Asia … has both demographic dividends and rich natural resources,” said Zheng Wendan of Singapore advisory firm Alliance For Good, at the environmental, social and governance (ESG) event, organized by Beijing-based tech firm For Good and the China Business Journal.</li></ul>

Chinese clean-energy companies should increasingly look to Southeast Asia for its abundant resources and growing electric-vehicle (EV) market, experts said, as their prospects in Europe dim amid tighter regulations.Chinese companies’ overseas expansion was a key focus at the 2024 ESG and Sustainable Business Ecosystem Conference in Beijing on Friday, where entrepreneurs, investors, scholars and industry experts also explored how artificial intelligence (AI) could help China meet its dual-carbon goals, among other issues.“Southeast Asia … has both demographic dividends and rich natural resources,” said Zheng Wendan of Singapore advisory firm Alliance For Good, at the environmental, social and governance (ESG) event, organized by Beijing-based tech firm For Good and the China Business Journal.

Southeast Asia Shines as Chinese Clean-Energy Firms’ Traditional Markets Dim  

Blue Lotus China New Economy Research, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Eric Wen

Blue Lotus China New Economy Research

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

<ul>
<li>300750 CH/601012 CH/2208 HK/300274 CH:The growth rate of photovoltaic new installed capacity continued to slow down in the third quarter but rebounded in September.(///////)</li>
<li>300750 CH: CATL's all-solid-state battery enters prototype verification phase, faster than expected.(/)</li>
<li>NIO US/ LI US/1211 HK: NIO is rumoured to launch hybrid vehicles overseas in 2026 and sell them in the Middle East, North Africa and Europe.(/////)</li>
</ul>


300750 CH/601012 CH/2208 HK/300274 CH:The growth rate of photovoltaic new installed capacity continued to slow down in the third quarter but rebounded in September.(///////)
300750 CH: CATL's all-solid-state battery enters prototype verification phase, faster than expected.(/)
NIO US/ LI US/1211 HK: NIO is rumoured to launch hybrid vehicles overseas in 2026 and sell them in the Middle East, North Africa and Europe.(/////)


[Blue Lotus Daily]:300750 CH/601012 CH/2208 HK/300274 CH/NIO US/ LI US/1211 HK

China

Goldwind is a Chinese multinational wind turbine manufacturer that specializes in the research, development, manufacturing, and sale of wind turbine generator sets and spare parts. The company also provides wind power services, including wind farm development, construction, and operation, alongside water treatment solutions and other green energy ventures. Goldwind was founded in 1998 and is headquartered in Beijing, China.

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Goldwind (2208 HK)

China & HK Strategy: 1Q25 Preview - The Good, the Bad, and the Ugly

Earnings for the companies under our coverage are expected to grow by 47.3% in 1Q25, with Shanghai Electric Group, Anhui Conch, COSCO Shipping...

Osbert Tang, CFA

A-H Premium Weekly (Sep 11th): Minsheng Bank, Innocare Pharma, Yofc, Citic Sec

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Minsheng Bank, Innocare Pharma, Yofc, Citic Sec.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

China & HK Strategy: Names to Watch for Market Value Management

SASAC issued "Several opinions on improving and strengthening the market value management of listed companies controlled by central enterprises"...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Southeast Asia Shines as Chinese Clean-Energy Firms’ Traditional Markets Dim

Chinese clean-energy companies should increasingly look to Southeast Asia for its abundant resources and growing electric-vehicle (EV) market,...

Caixin Global

[Blue Lotus Daily]:300750 CH/601012 CH/2208 HK/300274 CH/NIO US/ LI US/1211 HK

Photovoltaic new installed capacity growth slows in Q3 but rebounds in September; CATL's all-solid-state battery advances quickly; NIO rumored to...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

China & HK Strategy: 1Q25 Preview - The Good, the Bad, and the Ugly

Earnings for the companies under our coverage are expected to grow by 47.3% in 1Q25, with Shanghai Electric Group, Anhui Conch, COSCO Shipping...

Osbert Tang, CFA

A-H Premium Weekly (Sep 11th): Minsheng Bank, Innocare Pharma, Yofc, Citic Sec

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Minsheng Bank, Innocare Pharma, Yofc, Citic Sec.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

China & HK Strategy: Names to Watch for Market Value Management

SASAC issued "Several opinions on improving and strengthening the market value management of listed companies controlled by central enterprises"...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Southeast Asia Shines as Chinese Clean-Energy Firms’ Traditional Markets Dim

Chinese clean-energy companies should increasingly look to Southeast Asia for its abundant resources and growing electric-vehicle (EV) market,...

Caixin Global

[Blue Lotus Daily]:300750 CH/601012 CH/2208 HK/300274 CH/NIO US/ LI US/1211 HK

​Photovoltaic new installed capacity growth slows in Q3 but rebounds in September; CATL's all-solid-state battery advances quickly; NIO rumored to...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Photovoltaic new installed capacity growth slows in Q3 but rebounds in September; CATL's all-solid-state battery advances quickly; NIO rumored to...