Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Shifara Samsudeen, FCMA, CGMA

Equity Analyst

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

Equity Capital Markets

GoTo Gojek Tokopedia Tbk PT / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Superapp <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/gojek-goto" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25976:1" rel="noopener">GoTo (GOTO IJ)</a> made its public debut on the Indonesian Stock Exchange on 11th April. The company set the final IPO price at IDR338 per share.  </li>
<li>GoTo’s shares surged nearly 23% to IDR416 a piece on the open, boosting the company’s market cap to more than IDR497trn.</li>
<li>GoTo's share price has continued to slide and our SOTP valuation suggests that there is further downside.</li>
</ul>


Superapp GoTo (GOTO IJ) made its public debut on the Indonesian Stock Exchange on 11th April. The company set the final IPO price at IDR338 per share.  
GoTo’s shares surged nearly 23% to IDR416 a piece on the open, boosting the company’s market cap to more than IDR497trn.
GoTo's share price has continued to slide and our SOTP valuation suggests that there is further downside.


GoTo IPO: Shares Are Still Overvalued and There Is Further Downside

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/didi-chuxing-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27467:1" rel="noopener">DiDi Global (DIDI US)</a> will hold an EGM on 23 May to vote to delist the ADS from the NYSE. The shares will not be listed on another exchange before delisting. </li>
<li>Due to the regulatory restrictions, DiDi is losing market share and pricing power to competitors in China. The 4Q21 results were poor. </li>
<li>Directors and key pre-IPO investors together account for 48.2% of outstanding shares, suggesting that the ordinary resolution will pass. </li>
</ul>



DiDi Global (DIDI US) will hold an EGM on 23 May to vote to delist the ADS from the NYSE. The shares will not be listed on another exchange before delisting. 
Due to the regulatory restrictions, DiDi is losing market share and pricing power to competitors in China. The 4Q21 results were poor. 
Directors and key pre-IPO investors together account for 48.2% of outstanding shares, suggesting that the ordinary resolution will pass. 


ASEAN Insight Provider, CrossASEAN Research

Angus Mackintosh

ASEAN Insight Provider

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bukalapak" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33575:1" rel="noopener">Bukalapak's (BUKA IJ)</a> results saw very strong growth from its Mitra Business, with a much slower marketplace but we see the latter picking up as its specialty strategy is developed. </li>
<li>The launch of both <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/allo-bank-indonesia-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33551:1" rel="noopener">Allo Bank Indonesia</a> and Allo Fresh over the next two quarters should provide some excitement, whilst its gaming marketplace Itemku is already profitable. </li>
<li>Take rates should improve in 2022 as <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bukalapak" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33575:1" rel="noopener">Bukalapak (BUKA IJ)</a> offers a broadening array of services across its Mitra and marketplace verticals. Valuations look attractive versus peers. </li>
</ul>



Bukalapak's (BUKA IJ) results saw very strong growth from its Mitra Business, with a much slower marketplace but we see the latter picking up as its specialty strategy is developed. 
The launch of both Allo Bank Indonesia and Allo Fresh over the next two quarters should provide some excitement, whilst its gaming marketplace Itemku is already profitable. 
Take rates should improve in 2022 as Bukalapak (BUKA IJ) offers a broadening array of services across its Mitra and marketplace verticals. Valuations look attractive versus peers. 


Bukalapak (BUKA IJ) - Increasing Clarity with a Focus on Category Leadership

Insurance, Fintech & EM-focused Analyst, KT Capital Group, KT Capital Group

Alec Tseung

Insurance, Fintech & EM-focused Analyst, KT Capital Group

KT Capital Group

Principal investments and advisory firm that focuses on connecting the CIS countries with East Asia.

Principal investments and advisory firm

Private Capital Markets

Getir Perakende Lojistik AS / Private Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Getir has been one of the hottest tech companies in Europe from Turkey, with its valuation reaching c. $12 billion in March this year.</li>
<li>Intense competition has put pressure on the topline. There's no clear path to profitability in the medium term, as players in the sector are still burning capital to build scale.</li>
<li>Future consolidation in the Q-commerce sector is given. Diversification is likely the way forward for current leaders to create more ways to monetize from its users.</li>
</ul>


Getir has been one of the hottest tech companies in Europe from Turkey, with its valuation reaching c. $12 billion in March this year.
Intense competition has put pressure on the topline. There's no clear path to profitability in the medium term, as players in the sector are still burning capital to build scale.
Future consolidation in the Q-commerce sector is given. Diversification is likely the way forward for current leaders to create more ways to monetize from its users.


Getir: Turnover Is Vanity, Profit Is Sanity, And Cash Is Reality

Independent Asian Credit Research, Bondcritic

Warut Promboon

Independent Asian Credit Research

Asian Fixed Income/Frontier Market Research

Bondcritic

Bondcritic, established in 2009, is designed to be an independent credit research voice that helps investors gain insights and unbiased analyses on Asian fixed income market. Our mission is to discover deep-value Asian high-yield and distressed bonds with a bottom-up approach, together with the help of our proprietary ESG (Environmental, Social Development, and Governance) model. At the same time, we focus on bringing investment cases of unrated and unloved issuers to the general public.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>BOT’s pledge to issue virtual banking guidelines in June this year leads us to believe Thailand is finally ready to join the virtual banking era.  https://www.bot.or.th/landscape/files/consultation-paper-en.pdf</li>
<li>E-Commerce payments, remittances, and digital lending; all of which will facilitate the growth of tokenization in Thailand.</li>
<li>In this report, we look into Thailand’s virtual banking landscape.</li>
</ul>


BOT’s pledge to issue virtual banking guidelines in June this year leads us to believe Thailand is finally ready to join the virtual banking era.  https://www.bot.or.th/landscape/files/consultation-paper-en.pdf
E-Commerce payments, remittances, and digital lending; all of which will facilitate the growth of tokenization in Thailand.
In this report, we look into Thailand’s virtual banking landscape.


Virtual Banking: Thailand Is Finally Ready

Singapore

Grab Holdings Limited operates as a holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, develops delivery management, mobility, financial services, and enterprise software solutions. Grab Holdings serves customers worldwide.

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Grab Holdings (GRAB US)

GoTo IPO: Shares Are Still Overvalued and There Is Further Downside

GoTo’s shares surged nearly 23% to IDR416 a piece on the open, however, share price has continued to slide and our SOTP valuation suggests that...

Shifara Samsudeen, FCMA, CGMA

DiDi to Vote on US Delisting on 23 May

DiDi will hold an EGM on 23 May to vote to delist the ADS. Directors and key pre-IPO investors together account for 48.2% of outstanding shares,...

Arun George

Bukalapak (BUKA IJ) - Increasing Clarity with a Focus on Category Leadership

Take rates should improve in 2022, as Bukalapak offers a broadening array of services across its Mitra and marketplace verticals, with valuations...

Angus Mackintosh

Getir: Turnover Is Vanity, Profit Is Sanity, And Cash Is Reality

Getir's valuation just reached $12 billion in March this year. But, behind the fancy price tag, what are the challenges brewing in the sector? What...

Alec Tseung

Virtual Banking: Thailand Is Finally Ready

To get ready for Thailand's virtual banking license this year, we look into Thailand’s digital wallet landscape, microfinancing, and debt...

Bondcritic

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