Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

GoTo Gojek Tokopedia Tbk PT / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/gojek-goto" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25976:1" rel="noopener">GoTo (GOTO IJ)</a> lists on the IDX tomorrow. The IDX has <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/gojek-goto" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25976:1" rel="noopener">GoTo (GOTO IJ)</a>'s free float at 66% which would mean IDX30, LQ45 and IDX80 Fast Entry index inclusion. </li>
<li>If included in the indices at a free float of 66%, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/gojek-goto" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25976:1" rel="noopener">GoTo (GOTO IJ)</a> will have a weight of 13.55% in the IDX30 Index and 12.12% in the LQ45 Index.</li>
<li>Passive trackers will then need to buy 13.2% of the real float on the stock. Active funds will also buy the stock as it would appear in their benchmarks.</li>
</ul>



GoTo (GOTO IJ) lists on the IDX tomorrow. The IDX has GoTo (GOTO IJ)'s free float at 66% which would mean IDX30, LQ45 and IDX80 Fast Entry index inclusion. 
If included in the indices at a free float of 66%, GoTo (GOTO IJ) will have a weight of 13.55% in the IDX30 Index and 12.12% in the LQ45 Index.
Passive trackers will then need to buy 13.2% of the real float on the stock. Active funds will also buy the stock as it would appear in their benchmarks.


GoTo Gojek Tokopedia IPO: Potential LQ45, IDX30, IDX80 Index Fast Entry & Impact

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

GoTo Gojek Tokopedia Tbk PT / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>GoTo was initially aiming to raise around US$1.25bn from a local listing. It managed to raise US$960m after downsizing its deal and pricing close to the midpoint.</li>
<li>GoTo, is an Indonesian holding company, was formed in May 2021 as a result of a merger between Gojek, leading player in ride hailing, and Tokopedia, leading e-commerce player.</li>
<li>In this note, we’ll talk about the trading dynamics of the deal.</li>
</ul>


GoTo was initially aiming to raise around US$1.25bn from a local listing. It managed to raise US$960m after downsizing its deal and pricing close to the midpoint.
GoTo, is an Indonesian holding company, was formed in May 2021 as a result of a merger between Gojek, leading player in ride hailing, and Tokopedia, leading e-commerce player.
In this note, we’ll talk about the trading dynamics of the deal.


GoTo IPO Trading - A Test for the Domestic Market

ASEAN Insight Provider, CrossASEAN Research

Angus Mackintosh

ASEAN Insight Provider

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

Private Capital Markets

GoTo Gojek Tokopedia Tbk PT / Private Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>The long-awaited <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/gojek-goto" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25976:1" rel="noopener">GoTo</a> IPO is upon us with a listing scheduled for 4th April after the deal was priced sensibly in the middle of the range at IDR338 per share. </li>
<li>Since this was only offered to local investors and the IPO only represents 4.35% of shares in issue pre-Green Shoe, we see the potential for strong support from local institutions.</li>
<li>Valuations are challenging but <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/gojek-goto" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25976:1" rel="noopener">GoTo</a> represents the best proxy for the Indonesian digital economy given its broad and unique exposure to key verticals of on-demand, digital finance, and e-commerce. </li>
</ul>


The long-awaited GoTo IPO is upon us with a listing scheduled for 4th April after the deal was priced sensibly in the middle of the range at IDR338 per share. 
Since this was only offered to local investors and the IPO only represents 4.35% of shares in issue pre-Green Shoe, we see the potential for strong support from local institutions.
Valuations are challenging but GoTo represents the best proxy for the Indonesian digital economy given its broad and unique exposure to key verticals of on-demand, digital finance, and e-commerce. 


Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bukalapak" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33575:1" rel="noopener">Bukalapak (BUKA IJ)</a> is rapidly broadening its exposure to a greater range of services, with the latest move increasing its exposure to gaming, a potential future cash cow. </li>
<li>We have already seen <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bukalapak" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33575:1" rel="noopener">Bukalapak (BUKA IJ)</a> making bold moves into digital banking through <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/allo-bank-indonesia-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33551:1" rel="noopener">Allo Bank Indonesia</a> and a direct commitment to online groceries through AlloFresh with Trans Retail Indonesia.</li>
<li>We continue to focus on the improving fundamentals of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bukalapak" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33575:1" rel="noopener">Bukalapak (BUKA IJ)</a> and its growing ecosystem and would use any short-term trading anomalies to accumulate the stock.</li>
</ul>



Bukalapak (BUKA IJ) is rapidly broadening its exposure to a greater range of services, with the latest move increasing its exposure to gaming, a potential future cash cow. 
We have already seen Bukalapak (BUKA IJ) making bold moves into digital banking through Allo Bank Indonesia and a direct commitment to online groceries through AlloFresh with Trans Retail Indonesia.
We continue to focus on the improving fundamentals of Bukalapak (BUKA IJ) and its growing ecosystem and would use any short-term trading anomalies to accumulate the stock.


Bukalapak (BUKA IJ) - Building a Warchest of Ecosystems

Asian Insight Provider - Actionable ideas, CrossASEAN Research

Henry Soediarko

Asian Insight Provider - Actionable ideas

<ul>
<li>The latest announcement by the SG Multi-Task Force to further relax COVID-19 restrictions is a major positive catalyst.</li>
<li>Its hybrid taxi accounted for more than 50% of its entire fleet as of end-December 2020. It remains on track to replace all diesel taxis with hybrid models by 2023.</li>
<li>Investors will be paying a discounted valuation for the cash flow if they own <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/comfortdelgro-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:497:1" rel="noopener">Comfortdelgro Corp (CD SP)</a> compared to its peers which trades at a much higher EV/EBITDA.</li>
</ul>


The latest announcement by the SG Multi-Task Force to further relax COVID-19 restrictions is a major positive catalyst.
Its hybrid taxi accounted for more than 50% of its entire fleet as of end-December 2020. It remains on track to replace all diesel taxis with hybrid models by 2023.
Investors will be paying a discounted valuation for the cash flow if they own Comfortdelgro Corp (CD SP) compared to its peers which trades at a much higher EV/EBITDA.


Comfortdelgro (CD): Restriction Easing, Green And Low EV/EBITDA.

Singapore

Grab Holdings Limited operates as a holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, develops delivery management, mobility, financial services, and enterprise software solutions. Grab Holdings serves customers worldwide.

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Grab Holdings (GRAB US)

GoTo Gojek Tokopedia IPO: Potential LQ45, IDX30, IDX80 Index Fast Entry & Impact

GoTo lists tomorrow and could get Fast Entry to the IDX30, LQ45 and IDX80 indices if the IDX uses a float of 66%. That would require passives to...

Brian Freitas

GoTo IPO Trading - A Test for the Domestic Market

GoTo was initially aiming to raise around US$1.25bn from a local listing. It managed to raise US$960m after downsizing its deal and pricing close...

Sumeet Singh

GoTo IPO - A Finely Tuned Balance

Valuations are challenging but GoTo represents the best proxy for the Indonesian digital economy given its broad and unique exposure to key...

Angus Mackintosh

Bukalapak (BUKA IJ) - Building a Warchest of Ecosystems

We continue to focus on the improving fundamentals of Bukalapak and its growing ecosystem and would use any short-term trading anomalies to...

Angus Mackintosh

Comfortdelgro (CD): Restriction Easing, Green And Low EV/EBITDA.

On track to becoming greener as it just bought100 BYD, and its hybrid taxi is 50% of the total. Restriction of easing will benefit Comfortdelgro...

Henry Soediarko

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