Global Materials | Industrials | Commodities

Rahul Jain

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Q4 FY25 volumes grew 1.8%, value declined; FY26 guidance is for low growth with 18–20% margins supported by integration and cost control.</li>
<li>Grasim and JSW are aggressively expanding with large capex and dealer networks, intensifying pricing pressure in decorative paints.</li>
<li>Stock corrected 15–20% but still trades at ~55x P/E, which remains expensive given slowing growth and rising competitive risks.</li>
</ul>


Q4 FY25 volumes grew 1.8%, value declined; FY26 guidance is for low growth with 18–20% margins supported by integration and cost control.
Grasim and JSW are aggressively expanding with large capex and dealer networks, intensifying pricing pressure in decorative paints.
Stock corrected 15–20% but still trades at ~55x P/E, which remains expensive given slowing growth and rising competitive risks.


Asian Paints: Navigating Growth Challenges Amid Evolving Industry Dynamics

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Akshat Shah

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Belrise Industries / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/belrise-industries" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:44122:1" rel="noopener">Belrise Industries (9156339Z IN)</a> is looking to raise about US$255m in its upcoming India IPO.</li>
<li>Belrise Industries is an automotive component manufacturing company based in India offering a diverse range of safety critical systems and other engineering solutions for two-wheelers, three-wheelers, four-wheelers, commercial and agri-vehicles.</li>
<li>In this note, we talk about the company’s historical performance.</li>
</ul>



Belrise Industries (9156339Z IN) is looking to raise about US$255m in its upcoming India IPO.
Belrise Industries is an automotive component manufacturing company based in India offering a diverse range of safety critical systems and other engineering solutions for two-wheelers, three-wheelers, four-wheelers, commercial and agri-vehicles.
In this note, we talk about the company’s historical performance.


Belrise Industries Pre-IPO - Expansion Plans and Related Party Risks

Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist, Trudence Capital Advisors

Pranav Bhavsar

Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist

Trudence Capital Advisors

Trudence Capital Advisors Private Limited is a SEBI-registered Research Analyst, holding SEBI registration number INH000015747. Our firm is dedicated to providing independent and unbiased research on Indian mid to large-cap companies. Trudence Capital is known for its counter-consensus views, with a focus on forensic research and on-ground primary investigations. Our research approach is thorough, involving detailed analysis of accounting practices and governance, alongside extensive channel checks.

Independent & Unbiased Research

<ul>
<li>We interact with our dealer network representing <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/asian-paints-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6354:1" rel="noopener">Asian Paints (APNT IN)</a>  and Birla Opus <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/grasim-industries-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:290:1" rel="noopener">Grasim Industries (GRASIM IN)</a> dealers with an objective to understand the current operating environment.</li>
<li>Aggression in a slow-moving market will result in short-term market share gains for players like Birla Opus.</li>
<li>While <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/asian-paints-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6354:1" rel="noopener">Asian Paints (APNT IN)</a> may appear to lose market share, we believe this would be transient in nature.</li>
</ul>


We interact with our dealer network representing Asian Paints (APNT IN)  and Birla Opus Grasim Industries (GRASIM IN) dealers with an objective to understand the current operating environment.
Aggression in a slow-moving market will result in short-term market share gains for players like Birla Opus.
While Asian Paints (APNT IN) may appear to lose market share, we believe this would be transient in nature.


Birla Opus | Short Term Gain, Long Term Pain

<ul>
<li>The paint industry experienced significant challenges in Q2FY24, with most companies reporting subdued performance.</li>
<li>Asian Paints reported typical fluctuations in market share of 1-1.5%, while Berger Paints and AkzoNobel both reported gains in their respective market positions.</li>
<li>Asian Paints' current market share reduction and increased competitive pressure stem from its size and the slowing macro environment.</li>
</ul>


The paint industry experienced significant challenges in Q2FY24, with most companies reporting subdued performance.
Asian Paints reported typical fluctuations in market share of 1-1.5%, while Berger Paints and AkzoNobel both reported gains in their respective market positions.
Asian Paints' current market share reduction and increased competitive pressure stem from its size and the slowing macro environment.


Asian Paints (APNT IN) | Navigating Turbulence

Market & Forensics Analyst, Beat the Street

Nimish Maheshwari

Market & Forensics Analyst

Beat the Street

Beat The Street was founded by Nimish Maheshwari and Sudarshan Bhandari, both of whom are Chartered Accountants by Profession, known for their expert analysis in the fields of Business, Sectoral analysis, and Corporate governance.

With a strong social media presence of 45,000+ Subscribers across various platforms, they are considered trusted voices in the industry. Their insights and analysis have been featured in some of India’s most prominent publications, including the Economic Times, Dalal Street Investment Journal, The Morning Context, and The Ken.

Their analysis on Bankrupt & Insolvent companies has been instrumental in saving investors from significant losses. They have a keen eye for identifying red flags and has identified exclusive redflags earlier in Vedanta, Nykaa, Dhani Services, Adani and many more.

Read Business Not Stock Prices

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/asian-paints-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6354:1" rel="noopener">Asian Paints (APNT IN)</a> reported a 42.4% drop in Q2FY25 net profit and a 5.3% revenue decline.</li>
<li>Intense competition, extended monsoons, weak urban demand, and margin pressures are impacting performance.</li>
<li>Asian Paints’ resilience hinges on premiumization, sustainability, and industrial coatings to offset short-term challenges.</li>
</ul>



Asian Paints (APNT IN) reported a 42.4% drop in Q2FY25 net profit and a 5.3% revenue decline.
Intense competition, extended monsoons, weak urban demand, and margin pressures are impacting performance.
Asian Paints’ resilience hinges on premiumization, sustainability, and industrial coatings to offset short-term challenges.


Why Is India's Paint Giant Asian Paint Falling?

India

Grasim Industries Limited is a diversified operating company and part of the Aditya Birla group. The group manufactures a wide range of products, including Viscose Staple Fiber(VSF), cement, chemicals and textiles.

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Grasim Industries (GRASIM IN)

Asian Paints: Navigating Growth Challenges Amid Evolving Industry Dynamics

FY26 guidance is low growth with 18-20% margins. Grasim and JSW expanding aggressively, putting pressure on decorative paints market. Stock...

Rahul Jain

Birla Opus | Short Term Gain, Long Term Pain

In this Insight, we interact with Paint Dealers to understand market dynamics; Birla Opus may gain short-term market share, while Asian Paints...

Pranav Bhavsar

Asian Paints (APNT IN) | Navigating Turbulence

Q2FY24 was tough for the paint industry, with Asian Paints facing market share reduction due to size and macroeconomic factors, while Berger...

Pranav Bhavsar

Why Is India's Paint Giant Asian Paint Falling?

Asian Paints (APNT IN) faces challenges with a 42.4% drop in Q2FY25 PAT due to competition, monsoons, weak demand. Resilience lies in...

Nimish Maheshwari

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Asian Paints: Navigating Growth Challenges Amid Evolving Industry Dynamics

FY26 guidance is low growth with 18-20% margins. Grasim and JSW expanding aggressively, putting pressure on decorative paints market. Stock...

Rahul Jain

Belrise Industries Pre-IPO - Expansion Plans and Related Party Risks

Belrise Industries Limited is looking to raise about US$255m in its upcoming India IPO. In this note, we talk about the company’s historical...

Akshat Shah

Birla Opus | Short Term Gain, Long Term Pain

In this Insight, we interact with Paint Dealers to understand market dynamics; Birla Opus may gain short-term market share, while Asian Paints...

Pranav Bhavsar

Asian Paints (APNT IN) | Navigating Turbulence

​Q2FY24 was tough for the paint industry, with Asian Paints facing market share reduction due to size and macroeconomic factors, while Berger...

Pranav Bhavsar

Why Is India's Paint Giant Asian Paint Falling?

​Asian Paints (APNT IN) faces challenges with a 42.4% drop in Q2FY25 PAT due to competition, monsoons, weak demand. Resilience lies in...

Nimish Maheshwari

Q2FY24 was tough for the paint industry, with Asian Paints facing market share reduction due to size and macroeconomic factors, while Berger...

Asian Paints (APNT IN) faces challenges with a 42.4% drop in Q2FY25 PAT due to competition, monsoons, weak demand. Resilience lies in...