Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There are 4 changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-stock-exchange-sse-50-a-share-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31073:1" rel="noopener">SSE50 Index (SSE50 INDEX)</a> and 18 changes for the SSE180 Index that will be implemented at the close on 13 June.</li>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-stock-exchange-sse-50-a-share-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31073:1" rel="noopener">SSE50 Index (SSE50 INDEX)</a> deletes were in line with forecasts, and the index committee has used some discretion while picking the index inclusions.</li>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-stock-exchange-sse-50-a-share-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31073:1" rel="noopener">SSE50 Index</a> adds have outperformed the deletes over the last few months and there could be a further move higher in the 'surprise' adds to the index.</li>
</ul>


There are 4 changes for the SSE50 Index (SSE50 INDEX) and 18 changes for the SSE180 Index that will be implemented at the close on 13 June.
The SSE50 Index (SSE50 INDEX) deletes were in line with forecasts, and the index committee has used some discretion while picking the index inclusions.
The SSE50 Index adds have outperformed the deletes over the last few months and there could be a further move higher in the 'surprise' adds to the index.


SSE50/SSE180 Index Rebalance: Some Surprises Among the Adds; Deletes as Expected

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>AH spreads are slightly narrower, but performance is concentrated in fewer names and broad spread volatility is up. BYD (1211 HK) back down nearly 3%. CATL 10% through still.</li>
<li>Sharp skew on H-vs-A performance this week. Those trading AH Premium &lt;20% saw H underperform sharply. Those in the 40-100% AH Premium range saw H outperform. Quiddity Portfolio alpha strong.</li>
<li>The data tables below update on a daily basis in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/tools" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Tools</a> section of Smartkarma. The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/tools/quiddity/south-flow-monitor" target="_blank" rel="noopener">SOUTHBOUND Flow Monitor</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/tools/quiddity/ah-shares-monitor" target="_blank" rel="noopener">AH Monitor</a> are both there free for SK readers.</li>
</ul>


AH spreads are slightly narrower, but performance is concentrated in fewer names and broad spread volatility is up. BYD (1211 HK) back down nearly 3%. CATL 10% through still.
Sharp skew on H-vs-A performance this week. Those trading AH Premium &lt;20% saw H underperform sharply. Those in the 40-100% AH Premium range saw H outperform. Quiddity Portfolio alpha strong.
The data tables below update on a daily basis in the Tools section of Smartkarma. The SOUTHBOUND Flow Monitor and AH Monitor are both there free for SK readers.


A/H Premium Tracker (To 30 May 2025):  Narrow Premia Hs Worst Performers, BYD Relents

<ul>
<li>With the review cutoff done, there could be one change for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ishares-ftse-a50-china-index-etf" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:249:1" rel="noopener">iShares A50 China (2823 HK)</a>/ <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/csop-ftse-china-a50-etf-26e3b671-fa47-4165-a12e-bf841640c5a3" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23664:1" rel="noopener">CSOP China A50 (HKD) (2822 HK)</a> ETFs in June.</li>
<li>As the highest ranked non-ETF member, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/seres-group-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29951:1" rel="noopener">Seres Group (601127 CH)</a> could replace <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-united-network-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12620:1" rel="noopener">China United Network A (600050 CH)</a> in the ETF at the close on 20 June.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-united-network-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12620:1" rel="noopener">China United Network A (600050 CH)</a> was added to the ETF in March, so this could be a very short stint in the ETF for the stock.</li>
</ul>


With the review cutoff done, there could be one change for the iShares A50 China (2823 HK)/ CSOP China A50 (HKD) (2822 HK) ETFs in June.
As the highest ranked non-ETF member, Seres Group (601127 CH) could replace China United Network A (600050 CH) in the ETF at the close on 20 June.

China United Network A (600050 CH) was added to the ETF in March, so this could be a very short stint in the ETF for the stock.


China A50 ETFs Rebalance Preview: One Change Highly Likely

Dawning Information Industry C / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>With the review period complete, there are 2 non-constituents in direct inclusion zone and 4 current constituents in direct deletion zone.</li>
<li>4 changes result in a one-way turnover of 5.7%, leading to a round-trip trade of CNY 21.8bn (US$3bn). Index arb balances will increase the impact on the stocks.</li>
<li>After drifting in a range, the forecast adds have outperformed the forecast deletes over the last month. There could be further outperformance as we near the announcement date.</li>
</ul>


With the review period complete, there are 2 non-constituents in direct inclusion zone and 4 current constituents in direct deletion zone.
4 changes result in a one-way turnover of 5.7%, leading to a round-trip trade of CNY 21.8bn (US$3bn). Index arb balances will increase the impact on the stocks.
After drifting in a range, the forecast adds have outperformed the forecast deletes over the last month. There could be further outperformance as we near the announcement date.


SSE50 Index Rebalance Preview: 4 Potential Changes in June

David Blennerhassett

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/geely-automobile-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:127:1" rel="noopener">Geely Auto (175 HK)</a><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/geely-automobile-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:127:1" rel="noopener"></a>'s discount to NAV is less than half its 12-month average. And Geely is generally trading tighter to listed PRC auto peers. </li>
<li>Preceding my comments on Geely - and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ntt-data-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11232:1" rel="noopener">NTT Data Corp (9613 JP)</a> - are the current setup/unwind tables for Asia-Pacific Holdcos.</li>
<li>These relationships trade with a minimum liquidity of US$1mn, and a % market capitalisation &gt;20%.</li>
</ul>



Geely Auto (175 HK)'s discount to NAV is less than half its 12-month average. And Geely is generally trading tighter to listed PRC auto peers. 
Preceding my comments on Geely - and NTT Data Corp (9613 JP) - are the current setup/unwind tables for Asia-Pacific Holdcos.
These relationships trade with a minimum liquidity of US$1mn, and a % market capitalisation &gt;20%.


StubWorld: Geely Is (Mostly) Trading "Rich"; And May Still Bump Zeekr Terms

China

Great Wall Motor Company Limited, through its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells pick-up trucks and sport-utility vehicles (SUVs) in China under branded names. The Company also researches and manufactures principal automotive parts and components for use in the assembly of pick-up trucks and SUVs. Great Wall Motor conducts business in China, USA, Japan, Canada, Korea, and other regions.

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Great Wall Motor (601633 CH)

SSE50/SSE180 Index Rebalance: Some Surprises Among the Adds; Deletes as Expected

There are 4 changes for the SSE50 and 18 for the SSE180. There are a couple of surprise adds for the SSE50. Basket performance has been consistent...

Brian Freitas

A/H Premium Tracker (To 30 May 2025): Narrow Premia Hs Worst Performers, BYD Relents

AH Premia contracted but it was mostly in the 40-100% area where they did. Tighter than 40% (or H premium) saw Hs underperform. Quiddity alpha...

Travis Lundy

China A50 ETFs Rebalance Preview: One Change Highly Likely

Seres could replace China United Network in the ETFs in June. This is the latest index/ETF inclusion for Seres. China United Network was added to...

Brian Freitas

SSE50 Index Rebalance Preview: 4 Potential Changes in June

There could be up to 4 changes for the SSE50 in June. Estimated 1-way turnover is 5.7% leading to a round-trip trade of US$3bn. The forecast adds...

Brian Freitas

StubWorld: Geely Is (Mostly) Trading "Rich"; And May Still Bump Zeekr Terms

Geely is trading at a 20% disc. to NAV, half the 12-mth average. Shares are up 22% in the past month, and 78% over the past year. It may still bump...

David Blennerhassett

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