Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Gross SOUTHBOUND volumes US$20+bn a day this past 5-day week. Best in months. Net buying strong at +US$800mm a day. </li>
<li>Among the top buys as a percentage of volume, Non-bank FINANCIALS stood out, dramatically. Tech-y CONSUMER DISCRETIONARY was sold. SOEs stand out on the sell side. Again. </li>
<li>The data tables below update on a daily basis in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/tools" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Tools</a> section of Smartkarma. The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/tools/quiddity/south-flow-monitor" target="_blank" rel="noopener">SOUTHBOUND Flow Monitor</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/tools/quiddity/ah-shares-monitor" target="_blank" rel="noopener">AH Monitor</a> are both there free for SK readers.</li>
</ul>


Gross SOUTHBOUND volumes US$20+bn a day this past 5-day week. Best in months. Net buying strong at +US$800mm a day. 
Among the top buys as a percentage of volume, Non-bank FINANCIALS stood out, dramatically. Tech-y CONSUMER DISCRETIONARY was sold. SOEs stand out on the sell side. Again. 
The data tables below update on a daily basis in the Tools section of Smartkarma. The SOUTHBOUND Flow Monitor and AH Monitor are both there free for SK readers.


HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 25 July 2025); Multi-Month High Volumes, Net Buying of Financials

<ul>
<li>AH premia bounce back last week but the "skew" of wide premia converging and narrow premia moving wider continues. It has paid to be long wide H discounts.</li>
<li>The previous week smelled like an RMB counter trade was being set up, "confirmed" by a Caixin article the weekend. The HKEX "confirmation" this past week, well, maybe wasn't one.</li>
<li>The data tables below update on a daily basis in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/tools" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Tools</a> section of Smartkarma. The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/tools/quiddity/south-flow-monitor" target="_blank" rel="noopener">SOUTHBOUND Flow Monitor</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/tools/quiddity/ah-shares-monitor" target="_blank" rel="noopener">AH Monitor</a> are both there free for SK readers. Technical issue delayed this week's Monitor.</li>
</ul>


AH premia bounce back last week but the "skew" of wide premia converging and narrow premia moving wider continues. It has paid to be long wide H discounts.
The previous week smelled like an RMB counter trade was being set up, "confirmed" by a Caixin article the weekend. The HKEX "confirmation" this past week, well, maybe wasn't one.
The data tables below update on a daily basis in the Tools section of Smartkarma. The SOUTHBOUND Flow Monitor and AH Monitor are both there free for SK readers. Technical issue delayed this week's Monitor.


A/H Premium Tracker (To 20 June 2025):  Skew Move Continues as SB Buys But AH Premia Rise

<ul>
<li>Gross SOUTHBOUND volumes up to US$15+bn a day this past 5-day week. Net buying still positive but still below US$500mm/day.</li>
<li>Among the top buys as a percentage of volume, HEALTHCARE, FINANCIALS, ENERGY stand out, dramatically. Among top sells, INFO TECH again. 9 weeks in a row negative. Tencent bigly sold.</li>
<li>The data tables below update on a daily basis in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/tools" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Tools</a> section of Smartkarma. The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/tools/quiddity/south-flow-monitor" target="_blank" rel="noopener">SOUTHBOUND Flow Monitor</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/tools/quiddity/ah-shares-monitor" target="_blank" rel="noopener">AH Monitor</a> are both there free for SK readers.</li>
</ul>


Gross SOUTHBOUND volumes up to US$15+bn a day this past 5-day week. Net buying still positive but still below US$500mm/day.
Among the top buys as a percentage of volume, HEALTHCARE, FINANCIALS, ENERGY stand out, dramatically. Among top sells, INFO TECH again. 9 weeks in a row negative. Tencent bigly sold.
The data tables below update on a daily basis in the Tools section of Smartkarma. The SOUTHBOUND Flow Monitor and AH Monitor are both there free for SK readers.


HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 13 June 2025); Volumes Up, TECH Down, HEALTHCARE Bought Big

<ul>
<li>AH spreads are slightly narrower. BANKS, INSURERS, BROKERS, INDUSTRIALS, PHARMA and UTILITIES see significant H-share outperformance vs their A pairs. TECH, CONSUMER, ENERGY mixed to worse.</li>
<li>Ongoing skew on H-vs-A performance this week. Those trading AH Premium &lt;20% saw H outperform sharply but those with H Premia contracted. Quiddity Portfolio alpha trending strongly.</li>
<li>The data tables below update on a daily basis in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/tools" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Tools</a> section of Smartkarma. The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/tools/quiddity/south-flow-monitor" target="_blank" rel="noopener">SOUTHBOUND Flow Monitor</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/tools/quiddity/ah-shares-monitor" target="_blank" rel="noopener">AH Monitor</a> are both there free for SK readers.</li>
</ul>


AH spreads are slightly narrower. BANKS, INSURERS, BROKERS, INDUSTRIALS, PHARMA and UTILITIES see significant H-share outperformance vs their A pairs. TECH, CONSUMER, ENERGY mixed to worse.
Ongoing skew on H-vs-A performance this week. Those trading AH Premium &lt;20% saw H outperform sharply but those with H Premia contracted. Quiddity Portfolio alpha trending strongly.
The data tables below update on a daily basis in the Tools section of Smartkarma. The SOUTHBOUND Flow Monitor and AH Monitor are both there free for SK readers.


A/H Premium Tracker (To 6 June 2025):  Narrow Premia Hs Worst Performers, BYD Relents

<ul>
<li>Gross SOUTHBOUND volumes back below US$12bn a day this past week, but net buying was nearly US$700mm a day, which was decent.</li>
<li>Among the top buys as a percentage of volume, FINANCIALS, ENERGY, TELECOMS stand out, dramatically. Among top sells, it is CONSUMER and INFO TECH dominating the top 20. Again.</li>
<li>The data tables below update on a daily basis in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/tools" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Tools</a> section of Smartkarma. The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/tools/quiddity/south-flow-monitor" target="_blank" rel="noopener">SOUTHBOUND Flow Monitor</a>  and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/tools/quiddity/ah-shares-monitor" target="_blank" rel="noopener">AH Monitor</a> are both there free for SK readers.</li>
</ul>


Gross SOUTHBOUND volumes back below US$12bn a day this past week, but net buying was nearly US$700mm a day, which was decent.
Among the top buys as a percentage of volume, FINANCIALS, ENERGY, TELECOMS stand out, dramatically. Among top sells, it is CONSUMER and INFO TECH dominating the top 20. Again.
The data tables below update on a daily basis in the Tools section of Smartkarma. The SOUTHBOUND Flow Monitor  and AH Monitor are both there free for SK readers.


HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 30 May 2025); Volumes OK, Big Net Buying on SOEs/Financials

China

Great Wall Motor Company Limited, through its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells pick-up trucks and sport-utility vehicles (SUVs) in China under branded names. The Company also researches and manufactures principal automotive parts and components for use in the assembly of pick-up trucks and SUVs. Great Wall Motor conducts business in China, USA, Japan, Canada, Korea, and other regions.

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Great Wall Motor (601633 CH)

HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 25 July 2025); Multi-Month High Volumes, Net Buying of Financials

The top week for SOUTHBOUND trading value in many months, and a decent week on a net basis. FINANCIALS remain very well bid but in terms of impact...

Travis Lundy

A/H Premium Tracker (To 20 June 2025): Skew Move Continues as SB Buys But AH Premia Rise

AH Premia bounced this past week to 20 June. Possible "sell the news" on the HK headline of RMB counters coming to Southbound. But "beautiful skew"...

Travis Lundy

HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 13 June 2025); Volumes Up, TECH Down, HEALTHCARE Bought Big

SOUTHBOUND volumes continue to be strong, with net buying continuing near US$2bn a week. Lots of buying of deep H/A discount names.

Travis Lundy

A/H Premium Tracker (To 6 June 2025): Narrow Premia Hs Worst Performers, BYD Relents

H outperformance vs A continues and higher H discounts see H outperform more within the liquid universe. Sector bias in spread performance is...

Travis Lundy

HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 30 May 2025); Volumes OK, Big Net Buying on SOEs/Financials

Lots more news between the US and China this week. Most of it on the US side. Within China-specific news, the government reaction to lower auto...

Travis Lundy

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