Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 143 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 114.6% as of Jun 30th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by -5.2ppt week on week, led by health care, information technology, consumer discretionary and offset by consumer staples.</li>
<li>We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Tianqi Lithium, CQRC Bank, Shanghai Fudan, Joinn Lab, Remegen, Cansino Biologics.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 143 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 114.6% as of Jun 30th.
The average A-H premium changed by -5.2ppt week on week, led by health care, information technology, consumer discretionary and offset by consumer staples.
We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Tianqi Lithium, CQRC Bank, Shanghai Fudan, Joinn Lab, Remegen, Cansino Biologics.


A-H Premium Weekly (Jun 30th): Healthcare Led Premium Decline

<ul>
<li>We analyze statistics on top repurchases over one week, one month, one quarter and one year periods ended on Jun 30th based on HKEx daily reports.</li>
<li>In the past 7 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Tencent (700 HK), AIA (1299 HK), CK Asset (1113 HK).</li>
<li>In the past 30 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Tencent (700 HK), AIA (1299 HK), CK Asset (1113 HK).</li>
</ul>


We analyze statistics on top repurchases over one week, one month, one quarter and one year periods ended on Jun 30th based on HKEx daily reports.
In the past 7 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Tencent (700 HK), AIA (1299 HK), CK Asset (1113 HK).
In the past 30 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Tencent (700 HK), AIA (1299 HK), CK Asset (1113 HK).


Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly (Jun 30th): Tencent, AIA, CK Asset

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>We expect Great Wall’s FY23E net profit to be significantly lower than current consensus, dragged by rising PHEV sales starting from 2Q23.</li><li>More importantly, we raise our FY23E NEV sales volume forecast for Great Wall to 0.32mn units despite the ORA miss, and expect its NEV market share to surpass the industry average in 4Q23E, which could be a positive catalyst for its share price.</li><li>We project Great Wall’s revenue to rise 45% YoY in 2Q23E, driven by 29% YoY sales-volume growth and 12% YoY ASP increase.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

We expect Great Wall’s FY23E net profit to be significantly lower than current consensus, dragged by rising PHEV sales starting from 2Q23.More importantly, we raise our FY23E NEV sales volume forecast for Great Wall to 0.32mn units despite the ORA miss, and expect its NEV market share to surpass the industry average in 4Q23E, which could be a positive catalyst for its share price.We project Great Wall’s revenue to rise 45% YoY in 2Q23E, driven by 29% YoY sales-volume growth and 12% YoY ASP increase.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Great Wall Motor (2333 HK) – Surging PHEV Sales at Cost of FY23E Net Profit

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>RMB dual counter started trading. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/great-wall-motor-co-ltd-cb302af9-398c-4d2d-ba39-023e43287eef" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:128:1" rel="noopener">Great Wall Motor (2333 HK)</a>'s A-shares trade at 3x the multiple. THAT is a big discount to harvest. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-feihe-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24413:1" rel="noopener">China Feihe (6186 HK)</a>'s CFO exits an indirect stake of 6.38% around Feihe's all-time low. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ecopro-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19029:1" rel="noopener">EcoPro Co Ltd (086520 KS)</a> has swatted aside analyst downgrades and the indictment of its chairman to touch an all-time high</li>
</ul>


RMB dual counter started trading. Great Wall Motor (2333 HK)'s A-shares trade at 3x the multiple. THAT is a big discount to harvest. 

China Feihe (6186 HK)'s CFO exits an indirect stake of 6.38% around Feihe's all-time low. 

EcoPro Co Ltd (086520 KS) has swatted aside analyst downgrades and the indictment of its chairman to touch an all-time high


Last Week in Event SPACE: Great Wall Motor, China Feihe, EcoPro, PCCW

<ul>
<li>We analyze statistics on top repurchases over one week, one month, one quarter and one year periods ended on Jun 23rd based on HKEx daily reports.</li>
<li>In the past 7 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Tencent (700 HK), AIA (1299 HK), CK Asset (1113 HK).</li>
<li>In the past 30 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Tencent (700 HK), AIA (1299 HK), CK Asset (1113 HK).</li>
</ul>


We analyze statistics on top repurchases over one week, one month, one quarter and one year periods ended on Jun 23rd based on HKEx daily reports.
In the past 7 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Tencent (700 HK), AIA (1299 HK), CK Asset (1113 HK).
In the past 30 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Tencent (700 HK), AIA (1299 HK), CK Asset (1113 HK).


Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly (Jun 23rd): Tencent's HKD1.6bn Buybacks

China

Great Wall Motor Company Limited, through its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells pick-up trucks and sport-utility vehicles (SUVs) in China under branded names. The Company also researches and manufactures principal automotive parts and components for use in the assembly of pick-up trucks and SUVs. Great Wall Motor conducts business in China, USA, Japan, Canada, Korea, and other regions.

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Great Wall Motor (601633 CH)

A-H Premium Weekly (Jun 30th): Healthcare Led Premium Decline

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Tianqi Lithium, CQRC Bank, Shanghai Fudan, Joinn Lab,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly (Jun 30th): Tencent, AIA, CK Asset

We analyzed the Hong Kong buyback data in the past week and highlight the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares were Tencent (700 HK),...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Great Wall Motor (2333 HK) – Surging PHEV Sales at Cost of FY23E Net Profit

We expect Great Wall’s FY23E net profit to be significantly lower than current consensus, dragged by rising PHEV sales starting from 2Q23.

CMB International

Last Week in Event SPACE: Great Wall Motor, China Feihe, EcoPro, PCCW

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed...

David Blennerhassett

Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly (Jun 23rd): Tencent's HKD1.6bn Buybacks

We analyzed the Hong Kong buyback data in the past week and highlight the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares were Tencent (700 HK),...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

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