Breaking Down the Mining News of the Day, Money of Mine

Money of Mine

Breaking Down the Mining News of the Day

An ex-underground miner, an ex-investment banker, and an ex-equity research guy breaking down the mining news of the day. It's a bit of entertainment, information, and occasionally some alpha.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Shareholder activism emerging at Warriedar due to dissatisfaction with accepted deal</li><li>Significant drop in BOSS stock price following disappointing quarterly report and guidance update for FY26</li><li>Challenges in achieving nameplate capacity, specifically related to volume under leach, leading to increased costs and uncertainty for the company's future performance</li></ul><p><em>This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.</em></p>

Shareholder activism emerging at Warriedar due to dissatisfaction with accepted dealSignificant drop in BOSS stock price following disappointing quarterly report and guidance update for FY26Challenges in achieving nameplate capacity, specifically related to volume under leach, leading to increased costs and uncertainty for the company's future performanceThis content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

Horror Week for Boss, Greatland and Liontown

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The MV Global Gold Miners index represents the performance of high and mid-cap gold and silver mining companies listed around the world.</li>
<li>There will be four ADDs for the March 2026 rebal event. We predicted two correctly and the other two were surprises.</li>
<li>We expect a one-way flow of US$2.7bn and a turnover of ~7.2% for March 2026. Most of this is recapping flows of the large caps.</li>
</ul>


The MV Global Gold Miners index represents the performance of high and mid-cap gold and silver mining companies listed around the world.
There will be four ADDs for the March 2026 rebal event. We predicted two correctly and the other two were surprises.
We expect a one-way flow of US$2.7bn and a turnover of ~7.2% for March 2026. Most of this is recapping flows of the large caps.


[Quiddity Index] MV Global Gold Miners Mar26 Rebal Results: Four ADDs; US$2.7bn One-Way

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

<ul>
<li>There could be 3 inclusions for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vaneck-gold-miners-etf-usa" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32924:1" rel="noopener">VanEck Gold Miners ETF/USA (GDX US)</a> in March. There is 1 stock that is close on free float market cap.</li>
<li>If <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/gold-fields-ltd-434088e3-4626-4b0b-a6ec-acfc202c86d8" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28563:1" rel="noopener">Gold Fields (GFI US)</a> outperforms the other stocks in the index and is classified as a Large Weight, flows will drop off significantly.</li>
<li>The capping changes and the 3 adds will lead to an estimated one-way turnover of 6.6% and a round-trip trade of US$4.68bn.</li>
</ul>


There could be 3 inclusions for the VanEck Gold Miners ETF/USA (GDX US) in March. There is 1 stock that is close on free float market cap.
If Gold Fields (GFI US) outperforms the other stocks in the index and is classified as a Large Weight, flows will drop off significantly.
The capping changes and the 3 adds will lead to an estimated one-way turnover of 6.6% and a round-trip trade of US$4.68bn.


Gold Miners ETF (GDX US) March Rebalance: 3 Adds and US$4.7bn Trade for Now

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/magnetic-resources-nl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17051:1" rel="noopener">Magnetic Resources Nl (MAU AU)</a> has entered into a SID with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/genesis-minerals-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4650:1" rel="noopener">Genesis Minerals (GMD AU)</a> at A$1.40 cash + 0.0873 GMD shares per MAU share, 25.0% premium to the last close.</li>
<li>While the offer represents an all-time high, it is light compared to peer EV/Resource and EV/Reserve multiples. The ability to choose between all-cash and all-scrip partly addresses this. </li>
<li>The key conditions are the Magnetic shareholder and ACCC approval. Due to the significant irrevocables, the scheme vote is low risk.</li>
</ul>



Magnetic Resources Nl (MAU AU) has entered into a SID with Genesis Minerals (GMD AU) at A$1.40 cash + 0.0873 GMD shares per MAU share, 25.0% premium to the last close.
While the offer represents an all-time high, it is light compared to peer EV/Resource and EV/Reserve multiples. The ability to choose between all-cash and all-scrip partly addresses this. 
The key conditions are the Magnetic shareholder and ACCC approval. Due to the significant irrevocables, the scheme vote is low risk.


Magnetic Resources (MAU AU): Genesis (GMD US)’s Binding Proposal

<ul>
<li>The MV Global Gold Miners index represents the performance of large and mid-cap gold and silver mining companies listed around the world. It is rebalanced with constituent changes possible quarterly.</li>
<li>We expect three ADDs for March 2026, with a one-way flow of US$2.8bn.</li>
<li>Things are moving very quickly within the gold sector. That means the expected flows can turn on a dime because of the peculiarities of the construction of this index. </li>
</ul>


The MV Global Gold Miners index represents the performance of large and mid-cap gold and silver mining companies listed around the world. It is rebalanced with constituent changes possible quarterly.
We expect three ADDs for March 2026, with a one-way flow of US$2.8bn.
Things are moving very quickly within the gold sector. That means the expected flows can turn on a dime because of the peculiarities of the construction of this index. 


[Quiddity Index] MV Global Gold Miners Mar26: 3 ADDs Likely, US$2.8bn One-Way Flow

Australia

Greatland Resources is an Australian gold and copper producer operating the Telfer gold-copper mine, one of Australia's largest gold-copper mining complexes. The company is also developing the nearby world-class Havieron gold-copper project and explores a significant regional portfolio in Western Australia. Greatland Resources Limited was incorporated in 2005 and is headquartered in Subiaco, Australia.

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Greatland Resources (GGP LN)

Horror Week for Boss, Greatland and Liontown

World Art Resources faces shareholder activism, Boss experiences share movement after disappointing outlook, lower uranium concentration affects...

Money of Mine

[Quiddity Index] MV Global Gold Miners Mar26 Rebal Results: Four ADDs; US$2.7bn One-Way

The MV Global Gold Miners Index saw 4 ADDs and sees US$2.7bn one-way of flows or about 7.2% turnover. That is as expected, but 2 of the 4 ADDs were...

Travis Lundy

Gold Miners ETF (GDX US) March Rebalance: 3 Adds and US$4.7bn Trade for Now

There could be 3 adds for the index in March. Coincidentally, all 3 are potential ASX100 adds. Gold Fields is one to watch out for since...

Brian Freitas

Magnetic Resources (MAU AU): Genesis (GMD US)’s Binding Proposal

While the offer represents an all-time high, it is light compared to peer EV/Resource and EV/Reserve multiples. Due to the significant...

Arun George

[Quiddity Index] MV Global Gold Miners Mar26: 3 ADDs Likely, US$2.8bn One-Way Flow

As of now, the Global Gold Miners index in March could see 3 ADDs. One name could also move into the "Large" category. Interestingly, if it self...

Travis Lundy

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