IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/aux-electric-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45549:1" rel="noopener">Aux Electric Co Ltd (0917839D HK)</a> is the fifth-largest air conditioner provider globally as measured by volume. It is seeking to raise US$600 million.     </li>
<li>Aux is known for its aggressive low pricing, which has helped it establish itself as an affordable option to larger peers.</li>
<li>The investment case is bullish due to strong growth, increasing contract liabilities, encouraging margin profile despite the low-price strategy/higher ODM mix and cash generation.  </li>
</ul>



Aux Electric Co Ltd (0917839D HK) is the fifth-largest air conditioner provider globally as measured by volume. It is seeking to raise US$600 million.     
Aux is known for its aggressive low pricing, which has helped it establish itself as an affordable option to larger peers.
The investment case is bullish due to strong growth, increasing contract liabilities, encouraging margin profile despite the low-price strategy/higher ODM mix and cash generation.  


Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

Hisense Home Appliances / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The fall in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hisense-home-appliances-group-co-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20107:1" rel="noopener">Hisense Home Appliances Group (921 HK)</a>'s stock price over the last year puts it at risk of deletion from a global index in August.</li>
<li>Short interest and positioning have picked up in the stock over the last couple of weeks and there should be short covering against the passive selling.</li>
<li>The AH premium for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hisense-home-appliances-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27165:1" rel="noopener">Hisense Home Appliances Group</a> could increase over the near-term as positioning continues ahead of the passive selling.</li>
</ul>


The fall in Hisense Home Appliances Group (921 HK)'s stock price over the last year puts it at risk of deletion from a global index in August.
Short interest and positioning have picked up in the stock over the last couple of weeks and there should be short covering against the passive selling.
The AH premium for Hisense Home Appliances Group could increase over the near-term as positioning continues ahead of the passive selling.


Hisense Home Appliances (921 HK): Global Index Deletion Coming Up

Chief Executive Officer, Emmer Capital Partners Limited

Manishi Raychaudhuri

Chief Executive Officer

Emmer Capital Partners Limited

Emmer Capital Partners is an Asia Pacific focused financial advisory firm engaging in strategic financial asset allocation advice, bespoke thematic research and advising early-stage companies and connecting them to investors. Emmer Capital provides macro-economic and multi-asset investment strategy inputs to institutions, family offices, private wealth managers, private equity, and corporate boards directly and through independent research platforms. Emmer Capital also advises a wide range of startup companies on fund raising and business strategy. Emmer Capital's active engagement with the print and electronic media reaches a broad spectrum of investors across the globe.

Equity Bottom-Up

Gree Electric Appliances / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Since inception on February 23, our Robust Dividend Yielders basket has generated 20.3% total return, vs MSCI Asia-ex-Japan's 11.34%. 10 stocks in our basket of 23 appreciated more than 20%.</li>
<li>We reconstruct our basket screening all Asian stocks &gt; US$2bn market cap, dividend yield &gt;6% in 2025 and 2026, EPS CAGR &gt; 5% and upward revision to EPS forecasts.</li>
<li>Our new Dividend Yield basket has 15 stocks, 10 from HK, 3 from onshore China, 1 each from Indonesia and Singapore. Bosideng is the only stock common in both baskets. </li>
</ul>


Since inception on February 23, our Robust Dividend Yielders basket has generated 20.3% total return, vs MSCI Asia-ex-Japan's 11.34%. 10 stocks in our basket of 23 appreciated more than 20%.
We reconstruct our basket screening all Asian stocks &gt; US$2bn market cap, dividend yield &gt;6% in 2025 and 2026, EPS CAGR &gt; 5% and upward revision to EPS forecasts.
Our new Dividend Yield basket has 15 stocks, 10 from HK, 3 from onshore China, 1 each from Indonesia and Singapore. Bosideng is the only stock common in both baskets. 


Asian Equities: Our Asian Robust Dividend Yield Basket – Revisiting After Sharp Outperformance

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of CSI 300 in the past month.</li>
<li>We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.</li>
<li>We highlighted EPS revision on Cosco Shipping, Longi Green, Tongwei, China Railway, Trina Solar, Xinjiang Daqo, TCL Zhonghuan, Jiangsu Eastern Shenghong.</li>
</ul>


We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of CSI 300 in the past month.
We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.
We highlighted EPS revision on Cosco Shipping, Longi Green, Tongwei, China Railway, Trina Solar, Xinjiang Daqo, TCL Zhonghuan, Jiangsu Eastern Shenghong.


CSI 300 Earning Revision Analysis (May): Cosco Shipping, Longi Green, Tongwei, China Railway

<ul>
<li>We analyze the 1Q2025 Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine as the exchange changed the rule to only disclose north bound position once a quarter.</li>
<li>We estimate that the inflows in 1Q2025 were US$1,760 million and holdings were US$307 billion, compared to outflows of US$20 billion in 4Q. </li>
<li>We highlight flows for BYD, Naura Technology, Cmb, Yangtze Power, Weichai Power.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the 1Q2025 Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine as the exchange changed the rule to only disclose north bound position once a quarter.
We estimate that the inflows in 1Q2025 were US$1,760 million and holdings were US$307 billion, compared to outflows of US$20 billion in 4Q. 
We highlight flows for BYD, Naura Technology, Cmb, Yangtze Power, Weichai Power.


Northbound Flows (1Q2025): BYD, Naura Technology, Cmb, Yangtze Power, Weichai Power

China

Gree Electric Appliances, Inc. of Zhuhai manufactures and sells a series of air conditioners.  The different series of air conditioners include window type, split type, floor type, mobile type, mobile split type and ceiling type.  The Company also produces air purifier.

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Gree Electric Appliances (000651 CH)

Aux Electric IPO: The Investment Case

Aux Electric, the fifth-largest air conditioner provider globally, is seeking to raise US$600 million through an HKEx IPO. In this note, I discuss...

Arun George

Hisense Home Appliances (921 HK): Global Index Deletion Coming Up

Hisense Home could be deleted from a global index in 3 weeks. Impact is near 10x ADV. Short interest and positioning have been increasing. AH...

Brian Freitas

Asian Equities: Our Asian Robust Dividend Yield Basket – Revisiting After Sharp Outperformance

Since inception (Feb 23) our Robust Dividend Yielders basket generated 20.3% total return vs MSCI AxJ's 11.34%. Our new Dividend Yield basket...

Manishi Raychaudhuri

CSI 300 Earning Revision Analysis (May): Cosco Shipping, Longi Green, Tongwei, China Railway

We analyzed CSI 300's consensus for May 2025 and highlighted changes of EPS in Cosco Shipping (601919 CH), Longi Green (601012 CH), Tongwei (600438...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Northbound Flows (1Q2025): BYD, Naura Technology, Cmb, Yangtze Power, Weichai Power

We analyzed Northbound connect data for 1Q2025 and highlight flows for BYD, Naura Technology, Cmb, Yangtze Power, Weichai Power.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

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