External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>The NBS (National Bureau of Statistics) property data was in-line in December 2023, the full year property sales value/property investment decline narrowed to -6.5%/-9.6% YoY (-12.5/-16.5% excluding base adjustment impact) from -26.7/- 10% in 2022，still in bottoming process.</li><li>Looking into 2024, we believe the recovery in new home market will still take time.</li><li>Sales and investments may show a continuous fall at -4/-9% YoY in our view, considering the diminishing policy effect, developers’ debt issue which may squeeze purchase demand to secondary market, low land acquisition in 2023 which may result in a lower level of quality saleable resource, and higher affordable housing supply which may lead to less demand for commercial housing. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

The NBS (National Bureau of Statistics) property data was in-line in December 2023, the full year property sales value/property investment decline narrowed to -6.5%/-9.6% YoY (-12.5/-16.5% excluding base adjustment impact) from -26.7/- 10% in 2022，still in bottoming process.Looking into 2024, we believe the recovery in new home market will still take time.Sales and investments may show a continuous fall at -4/-9% YoY in our view, considering the diminishing policy effect, developers’ debt issue which may squeeze purchase demand to secondary market, low land acquisition in 2023 which may result in a lower level of quality saleable resource, and higher affordable housing supply which may lead to less demand for commercial housing. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Property Sector – NBS Dec data in line, still in bottoming process

<ul><li>Data from National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) in Nov was in line with market expectation, with property investment decline narrowed to -10.6% YoY in Nov from -11.3% in Oct given new start area surprisingly booked positive increase and NBS adjusted -8% on calculation base in Nov vs. -6% in Oct. </li><li>Property sales was flat with volume/value inched up 2/1% MoM and barely no year-end seasonality like that in the past five years (avg. of 11% MoM in Nov) given low buying sentiment.</li><li>Beijing (BJ) &amp; Shanghai (SH) eased purchasing policies on 14 Dec and the stock market reacted positively with property names on HK market went up an average of 5% on the following day.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Data from National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) in Nov was in line with market expectation, with property investment decline narrowed to -10.6% YoY in Nov from -11.3% in Oct given new start area surprisingly booked positive increase and NBS adjusted -8% on calculation base in Nov vs. -6% in Oct. Property sales was flat with volume/value inched up 2/1% MoM and barely no year-end seasonality like that in the past five years (avg. of 11% MoM in Nov) given low buying sentiment.Beijing (BJ) &amp; Shanghai (SH) eased purchasing policies on 14 Dec and the stock market reacted positively with property names on HK market went up an average of 5% on the following day.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Property Sector – Expect New Policy in BJ/SH to Boost Secondary Market in Dec

<ul><li>NBS data in Oct was in line with market expectation, with property investment decline remaining at -11.3% YoY in Oct (vs. -11.3% in Sep) despite a lower base.</li><li>Property sales also weakened with volume/value declining 28/26% MoM and showing larger divergence between high- and low-tier cities.</li><li>We think Nov-Dec 2023 may continue to be weak as the buying sentiment remains low and is hard to be lifted with the marginally weakening effect from easing policies. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

NBS data in Oct was in line with market expectation, with property investment decline remaining at -11.3% YoY in Oct (vs. -11.3% in Sep) despite a lower base.Property sales also weakened with volume/value declining 28/26% MoM and showing larger divergence between high- and low-tier cities.We think Nov-Dec 2023 may continue to be weak as the buying sentiment remains low and is hard to be lifted with the marginally weakening effect from easing policies. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Property Sector – NBS Oct Data in Line

Equity Bottom-Up

GreenTown Management Holdings / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>The Company reported in-line results of +31.3% YoY growth in 1H23 NP, maintaining its good track record of target completion.</li><li>GP margin lifted 1.6ppt YoY to 51.5% from 49.7% in 1H22 due to the revenue structure skewing to capital PJM with higher margin.</li><li>The stock price dropped 6% yesterday mainly because of the significant management changes which increase investors’ concern if the company is going to adopt a business model with heavier assets. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

The Company reported in-line results of +31.3% YoY growth in 1H23 NP, maintaining its good track record of target completion.GP margin lifted 1.6ppt YoY to 51.5% from 49.7% in 1H22 due to the revenue structure skewing to capital PJM with higher margin.The stock price dropped 6% yesterday mainly because of the significant management changes which increase investors’ concern if the company is going to adopt a business model with heavier assets. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Greentown Management (9979 HK) – Earnings In-Line

<ul><li>Greentown Management shared on its reverse roadshow that new contract value recorded 21.2% /22.4% YoY growth in 4M23 /1Q23 (in line) and the client structure continues to improve with projects from FIs already contributed 20.7% of total in 1Q23 (vs. 11.7% in 2022).</li><li>We found that demand is holding up high with projects from local SOEs benefit from the effect of “trust by one, trust by more”, and projects from FIs have a chance to sign contact in batches rather than one by one in the future.</li><li>We maintain BUY with TP unchanged at HK$ 9.39 on company’s dominant market share, stable order growth and profit growth, good cash flow and high dividend pay-out ratio.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Greentown Management shared on its reverse roadshow that new contract value recorded 21.2% /22.4% YoY growth in 4M23 /1Q23 (in line) and the client structure continues to improve with projects from FIs already contributed 20.7% of total in 1Q23 (vs. 11.7% in 2022).We found that demand is holding up high with projects from local SOEs benefit from the effect of “trust by one, trust by more”, and projects from FIs have a chance to sign contact in batches rather than one by one in the future.We maintain BUY with TP unchanged at HK$ 9.39 on company’s dominant market share, stable order growth and profit growth, good cash flow and high dividend pay-out ratio.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Greentown Management (9979 HK) – Reverse Roadshow Takeaways

China

GTMH is a project management company in China with presence in 84 cities across 25 provinces, municipalities, and autonomous regions. It was the largest project management company in China in terms of accumulated contracted GFA between 2016 to 2018.


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GreenTown Management Holdings (9979 HK)

China Property Sector – NBS Dec data in line, still in bottoming process

The NBS (National Bureau of Statistics) property data was in-line in December 2023, the full year property sales value/property investment decline...

CMB International

China Property Sector – Expect New Policy in BJ/SH to Boost Secondary Market in Dec

Data from National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) in Nov was in line with market expectation, with property investment decline narrowed to -10.6% YoY...

CMB International

China Property Sector – NBS Oct Data in Line

NBS data in Oct was in line with market expectation, with property investment decline remaining at -11.3% YoY in Oct (vs. -11.3% in Sep) despite a...

CMB International

Greentown Management (9979 HK) – Earnings In-Line

The Company reported in-line results of +31.3% YoY growth in 1H23 NP, maintaining its good track record of target completion.

CMB International

Greentown Management (9979 HK) – Reverse Roadshow Takeaways

We maintain BUY with TP unchanged at HK$ 9.39 on company’s dominant market share, stable order growth and profit growth, good cash flow and high...

CMB International

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