External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Equity Bottom-Up

Greentown Service Group / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>The Company’s profit alert of 5-10% core net profit decline in 2022E was roughly in-line with the market expectation in consideration of a flat 1H22 and the even weaker macro during 2H22.</li><li>Core net margin lowered to 7% in 2022E from 9% in 2021 mainly due to GPM contraction to a range of 16-17% (est.).</li><li>While we think the margin will be gradually recovered by 1) resuming consumption that leads to recovery in community VAS such as housing brokerage, education services etc.; 2) higher proportion of commercial projects in managed GFA going forward as Company is putting more efforts on commercial projects expansion; and 3) less impairment among better macro environment. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

The Company’s profit alert of 5-10% core net profit decline in 2022E was roughly in-line with the market expectation in consideration of a flat 1H22 and the even weaker macro during 2H22.Core net margin lowered to 7% in 2022E from 9% in 2021 mainly due to GPM contraction to a range of 16-17% (est.).While we think the margin will be gradually recovered by 1) resuming consumption that leads to recovery in community VAS such as housing brokerage, education services etc.; 2) higher proportion of commercial projects in managed GFA going forward as Company is putting more efforts on commercial projects expansion; and 3) less impairment among better macro environment. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Greentown Service (2869 HK) – Profit alert roughly in-line

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>We are positive towards PM sector in 2023 as it is the key beneficiary of both housing completion push (GFA gain) and reopening (Community VAS), so higher growth and better cash collection.</li><li>This would create room for the existing market leaders and surviving POEs (after property crisis) to accelerate earnings growth, both organically and via M&amp;A activities.</li><li>Therefore, we forecast 2023E earnings growth at 23% from a low base of 12% in 2022E.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

We are positive towards PM sector in 2023 as it is the key beneficiary of both housing completion push (GFA gain) and reopening (Community VAS), so higher growth and better cash collection.This would create room for the existing market leaders and surviving POEs (after property crisis) to accelerate earnings growth, both organically and via M&amp;A activities.Therefore, we forecast 2023E earnings growth at 23% from a low base of 12% in 2022E.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Property Service Sector – 2023 a year for market leaders and survivors

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jinke-smart-services-group-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29214:1" rel="noopener">Jinke Smart Services (9666 HK)</a>’s VGO from Boyu Capital at HK$12.00 per share has been declared unconditional. Boyu has waived the 7.71% valid acceptances condition. </li>
<li>Boyu has likely two aims for the unusual VGO – secure anti-trust approval and a re-rating by becoming the largest shareholder. Anti-trust approval was received on 8 November.  </li>
<li>Acceptances of 0.0081% of outstanding shares reflect the unattractive offer. The final closing date is 22 November. At the last close price, the spread to the offer is 2.7%. </li>
</ul>



Jinke Smart Services (9666 HK)’s VGO from Boyu Capital at HK$12.00 per share has been declared unconditional. Boyu has waived the 7.71% valid acceptances condition. 
Boyu has likely two aims for the unusual VGO – secure anti-trust approval and a re-rating by becoming the largest shareholder. Anti-trust approval was received on 8 November.  
Acceptances of 0.0081% of outstanding shares reflect the unattractive offer. The final closing date is 22 November. At the last close price, the spread to the offer is 2.7%. 


<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jinke-smart-services-group-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29214:1" rel="noopener">Jinke Smart Services (9666 HK)</a>’s VGO from Boyu Capital is now open at HK$12.00 per share. The first closing date is 14 November. The IFA says it's fair and reasonable. </li>
<li>The offer is conditional on 7.71% valid acceptances and anti-trust approval. The conditions can be waived. The offeror has not received irrevocables.</li>
<li>The offer is unattractive, but the low threshold and peer multiple derating suggest a high probability of success. At the current price, the spread to the offer is 3.4%. </li>
</ul>



Jinke Smart Services (9666 HK)’s VGO from Boyu Capital is now open at HK$12.00 per share. The first closing date is 14 November. The IFA says it's fair and reasonable. 
The offer is conditional on 7.71% valid acceptances and anti-trust approval. The conditions can be waived. The offeror has not received irrevocables.
The offer is unattractive, but the low threshold and peer multiple derating suggest a high probability of success. At the current price, the spread to the offer is 3.4%. 


Jinke Smart’s VGO from Boyu Capital: Open with First Close of 14 November

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/onewo-space-tech" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36204:1" rel="noopener">Onewo (2602 HK)</a> priced its H Share at HK$49.35 per share to raise net proceeds of HK$5.6 billion (US$713 million). The H Share will start trading tomorrow.</li>
<li>Notwithstanding the industry headwinds, the H Shares of peers with financially sound parentco backgrounds are trading above the listing prices.</li>
<li>Despite peer multiple derating, the IPO price remains attractive compared to peers with financially sound parentco backgrounds. </li>
</ul>



Onewo (2602 HK) priced its H Share at HK$49.35 per share to raise net proceeds of HK$5.6 billion (US$713 million). The H Share will start trading tomorrow.
Notwithstanding the industry headwinds, the H Shares of peers with financially sound parentco backgrounds are trading above the listing prices.
Despite peer multiple derating, the IPO price remains attractive compared to peers with financially sound parentco backgrounds. 


China

Greentown Service Group Co. Ltd. is a property management service provider. The Company provides property management services for high-end residential property, property consulting services, and community value-added services.

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Greentown Service Group (2869 HK)

Greentown Service (2869 HK) – Profit alert roughly in-line

The Company’s profit alert of 5-10% core net profit decline in 2022E was roughly in-line with the market expectation in consideration of a flat...

CMB International

China Property Service Sector – 2023 a year for market leaders and survivors

We are positive towards PM sector in 2023 as it is the key beneficiary of both housing completion push (GFA gain) and reopening (Community VAS), so...

CMB International

Jinke Smart (9666 HK) VGO Unconditional

Boyu has waived the 7.71% valid acceptances condition. The final closing date is 22 November. At the last close price, the spread to the offer is...

Arun George

Jinke Smart’s VGO from Boyu Capital: Open with First Close of 14 November

The offer is unattractive, but the low acceptance threshold and peer multiple derating suggest a high probability of success. At the current price,...

Arun George

Onewo IPO: Trading Debut

Despite peer multiple derating since the prospectus release, the IPO price remains attractive compared to peers with financially sound parentco...

Arun George

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