Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning, Copley Fund Research

Steven Holden

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning

Copley Fund Research

Copley Fund Research provide research and data on asset allocation among Global and Emerging Market equity funds.  The analysis details absolute and relative positioning across countries, sectors and industries together with highly granular data on single stock and single fund allocations.  The data is updated monthly with time series going back to January 2011.

Global Research - Analysis of 165 prominent Global equity funds, combined AUM $335bn
GEM Research - Analysis of 127 prominent global EM equity funds, combined AUM $250bn

Asset Allocation - Global and GEM Equity

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>LATAM remains a core and consensus overweight among active EM managers, with 85% of funds positioned ahead of the MSCI EM benchmark</li>
<li>LATAM exposure is concentrated in Brazil, Mexico, and Argentina, which together make up 90% of the region’s allocation.</li>
<li>Banorte remains the most widely held stock in the region, with Embraer SA and Gentera staging notable recoveries from the low positioning levels seen in 2021 and 2022.</li>
</ul>


LATAM remains a core and consensus overweight among active EM managers, with 85% of funds positioned ahead of the MSCI EM benchmark
LATAM exposure is concentrated in Brazil, Mexico, and Argentina, which together make up 90% of the region’s allocation.
Banorte remains the most widely held stock in the region, with Embraer SA and Gentera staging notable recoveries from the low positioning levels seen in 2021 and 2022.


LATAM:  The Conviction Overweight in a Benchmark-Driven World

Financials & FinTech research, Galliano’s Financials Research

Victor Galliano

Financials & FinTech research

Financials & FinTech, EM & Developed Markets

Galliano’s Financials Research

Galliano's Financials Research provides fundamental research in Emerging Markets financials, including FinTech, as well as financials in select Developed Markets.

The investment style applied is generally value oriented, although Growth At Reasonable Price (GARP) strategies can also be used where appropriate. 

Our investment research approach aim is often contrarian, looking to capitalise on overly sceptical or optimistic consensus views. In terms of valuation techniques, the focus is on PBV ratio to ROE, PE multiples and dividend yield, as well as the application of PEG ratios and, where appropriate, Sum of the Parts (SOTP) valuations.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Aside from Trump’s tariff policies, Mexican banks are under pressure from government to deliver on more competitive lending rates, with fintech challengers Nubank and MercadoLibre’s MercadoPago gaining traction in Mexico</li>
<li>Despite these challenges, 1Q25 results were sound and the bank sector participated in Mexican bolsa rally in April; yet we believe there is selective attractive value there</li>
<li>We apply our scorecard – which assesses balance sheet strength, returns, credit quality and valuations – that is weighted to arrive at our investment picks; BanBajio and BanRegio stand out</li>
</ul>


Aside from Trump’s tariff policies, Mexican banks are under pressure from government to deliver on more competitive lending rates, with fintech challengers Nubank and MercadoLibre’s MercadoPago gaining traction in Mexico
Despite these challenges, 1Q25 results were sound and the bank sector participated in Mexican bolsa rally in April; yet we believe there is selective attractive value there
We apply our scorecard – which assesses balance sheet strength, returns, credit quality and valuations – that is weighted to arrive at our investment picks; BanBajio and BanRegio stand out


Mexican Banks – Looking Beyond Trump Policies, We See Value in Smaller Caps

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The WisdomTree Emerging Markets High Dividend Index is a fundamentally weighted index that measures the performance of high dividend yield stocks within emerging markets.</li>
<li>The changes at the October rebalance were announced after market close on 6 October with implementation scheduled at the close on 15 October.</li>
<li>There are 217 adds and 224 deletes for the index with an estimated round-trip trade of US$2.3bn. There are many stocks with over 2x ADV to trade.</li>
</ul>


The WisdomTree Emerging Markets High Dividend Index is a fundamentally weighted index that measures the performance of high dividend yield stocks within emerging markets.
The changes at the October rebalance were announced after market close on 6 October with implementation scheduled at the close on 15 October.
There are 217 adds and 224 deletes for the index with an estimated round-trip trade of US$2.3bn. There are many stocks with over 2x ADV to trade.


WisdomTree Emerging Markets High Dividend Index Rebalance: US$2.3bn Round-Trip Trade

<ul>
<li>We close out our long position on BanBajio as the share price has rallied since July-end and in particular the PE multiple gap has narrowed versus its peers</li>
<li>In terms of PBV ratio, BanBajio’s discount to Banorte has also narrowed and it is now very close to the average discount over the last eighteen months</li>
<li>We expect other fundamental factors to act as a drag on BanBajio’s share price performance versus its peers; its rising cost of risk trends and its eroding net interest margin</li>
</ul>


We close out our long position on BanBajio as the share price has rallied since July-end and in particular the PE multiple gap has narrowed versus its peers
In terms of PBV ratio, BanBajio’s discount to Banorte has also narrowed and it is now very close to the average discount over the last eighteen months
We expect other fundamental factors to act as a drag on BanBajio’s share price performance versus its peers; its rising cost of risk trends and its eroding net interest margin


BanBajio (BBAJIO:MM), Time to Close Out the Long Position

<ul>
<li>ChatGPT said: HDFC Bank is now held by 71% of active EM funds — an all-time high, with steady inflows and just one exit in six months.</li>
<li>Aggressive Growth funds show strongest conviction, with multiple holders above a 7% weight.</li>
<li>Post-Merger, HDFC has widened its lead over ICICI and regional peers, cementing its role as EM managers’ core financials exposure.</li>
</ul>


ChatGPT said: HDFC Bank is now held by 71% of active EM funds — an all-time high, with steady inflows and just one exit in six months.
Aggressive Growth funds show strongest conviction, with multiple holders above a 7% weight.
Post-Merger, HDFC has widened its lead over ICICI and regional peers, cementing its role as EM managers’ core financials exposure.


HDFC Bank Limited:  Record Ownership and Dominance Among EM Financials

Mexico

Grupo Financiero Banorte S.A.B. de C.V. is a financial institution in Mexico. The Company offers banking services, premium banking, wholesale banking, leasing and factoring, warehousing, insurance, pensions and retirement savings.

Grupo Financiero Banorte SAB d (GFNORTEO MF)

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Grupo Financiero Banorte SAB d (GFNORTEO MF)

LATAM: The Conviction Overweight in a Benchmark-Driven World

LATAM remains a core and consensus overweight among active EM managers, with 85% of funds positioned ahead of the MSCI EM benchmark

Steven Holden

Mexican Banks – Looking Beyond Trump Policies, We See Value in Smaller Caps

Mexican banks face pressure from government and fintech challengers, but show strong results and selective value; based on our proprietary...

Victor Galliano

WisdomTree Emerging Markets High Dividend Index Rebalance: US$2.3bn Round-Trip Trade

There are 217 adds/224 deletes for the WisdomTree Emerging Markets High Dividend Index. The round-trip trade is around US$2.3bn and there are a...

Brian Freitas

BanBajio (BBAJIO:MM), Time to Close Out the Long Position

Closing long position on BanBajio due to share price rally, narrowing PE multiple and PBV ratio gap with peers. Share price outlook impacted by...

Victor Galliano

HDFC Bank Limited: Record Ownership and Dominance Among EM Financials

HDFC Bank has become the core EM financials holding, owned by 71% of funds at record highs. Post-merger strength and Aggressive Growth conviction...

Steven Holden

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

LATAM: The Conviction Overweight in a Benchmark-Driven World

LATAM remains a core and consensus overweight among active EM managers, with 85% of funds positioned ahead of the MSCI EM benchmark

Steven Holden

Mexican Banks – Looking Beyond Trump Policies, We See Value in Smaller Caps

​Mexican banks face pressure from government and fintech challengers, but show strong results and selective value; based on our proprietary...

Victor Galliano

WisdomTree Emerging Markets High Dividend Index Rebalance: US$2.3bn Round-Trip Trade

There are 217 adds/224 deletes for the WisdomTree Emerging Markets High Dividend Index. The round-trip trade is around US$2.3bn and there are a...

Brian Freitas

BanBajio (BBAJIO:MM), Time to Close Out the Long Position

​Closing long position on BanBajio due to share price rally, narrowing PE multiple and PBV ratio gap with peers. Share price outlook impacted by...

Victor Galliano

HDFC Bank Limited: Record Ownership and Dominance Among EM Financials

HDFC Bank has become the core EM financials holding, owned by 71% of funds at record highs. Post-merger strength and Aggressive Growth conviction...

Steven Holden

Mexican banks face pressure from government and fintech challengers, but show strong results and selective value; based on our proprietary...

Closing long position on BanBajio due to share price rally, narrowing PE multiple and PBV ratio gap with peers. Share price outlook impacted by...