External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>We believe the price floor of RMB1.4/parcel shipment set by the Guangdong’s authority is a forceful move to put the brakes on the price war in the express delivery sector.</li><li>Most importantly, we believe Guangdong, being the largest province in terms of both parcel volume and revenue, will set an example of “anti-involution”, which will potentially trigger more provinces to follow suit.</li><li>We reiterate our view that this round of “anti-involution” campaign will be similar to the one in 2021, which will boost parcel price hike and serve as a positive catalyst over the coming 3-6 months. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

We believe the price floor of RMB1.4/parcel shipment set by the Guangdong’s authority is a forceful move to put the brakes on the price war in the express delivery sector.Most importantly, we believe Guangdong, being the largest province in terms of both parcel volume and revenue, will set an example of “anti-involution”, which will potentially trigger more provinces to follow suit.We reiterate our view that this round of “anti-involution” campaign will be similar to the one in 2021, which will boost parcel price hike and serve as a positive catalyst over the coming 3-6 months. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Logistics - Price Floor in Guangdong Likely Set an Example for Other Regions...

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the 2Q2025 Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine as the exchange changed the rule to only disclose north bound position once a quarter.</li>
<li>We estimate that the inflows in 2Q2025 were US$6,431 million and holdings were US$320 billion.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Catl, Moutai, Midea, Jiangsu Hengrui Medicine, Wuliangye.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the 2Q2025 Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine as the exchange changed the rule to only disclose north bound position once a quarter.
We estimate that the inflows in 2Q2025 were US$6,431 million and holdings were US$320 billion.
We highlight flows for Catl, Moutai, Midea, Jiangsu Hengrui Medicine, Wuliangye.


Northbound Flows (2Q2025): Catl, Moutai, Midea, Jiangsu Hengrui Medicine

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

Yashili International Holdings / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>We summarise the latest spreads and newsflow of merger arb situations covered by us across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore and the US (Chinese ADRs only). </li>
<li>This week, the highest gross spreads are <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yashili-international-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3397:1" rel="noopener">Yashili International Holdings (1230 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/razer-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24380:1" rel="noopener">Razer Inc (1337 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/51-job-inc-adr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:532:1" rel="noopener">51 Job Inc Adr (JOBS US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/uniti-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29042:1" rel="noopener">Uniti Group Ltd (UWL AU)</a>
</li>
<li>The lowest gross spreads are <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cimic-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20030:1" rel="noopener">CIMIC Group Ltd (CIM AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/virtus-health-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14776:1" rel="noopener">Virtus Health (VRT AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-logistics-property-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22799:1" rel="noopener">China Logistics Property Holdings (1589 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/z-energy-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9838:1" rel="noopener">Z Energy Ltd (ZEL NZ)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/singapore-press-holdings-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9952:1" rel="noopener">Singapore Press Holdings (SPH SP)</a> </li>
</ul>


We summarise the latest spreads and newsflow of merger arb situations covered by us across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore and the US (Chinese ADRs only). 
This week, the highest gross spreads are Yashili International Holdings (1230 HK), Razer Inc (1337 HK), 51 Job Inc Adr (JOBS US), Uniti Group Ltd (UWL AU)

The lowest gross spreads are CIMIC Group Ltd (CIM AU), Virtus Health (VRT AU), China Logistics Property Holdings (1589 HK), Z Energy Ltd (ZEL NZ), Singapore Press Holdings (SPH SP) 


Merger Arb Mondays - Yashili, Razer, 51Job, Uniti, Link, Sezzle, Guodian

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>The Composite Document detailing the Conditional Voluntary General Offer for liquid chemical storage and handling outfit <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dragon-crown-group-holdings" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18919:1" rel="noopener">Dragon Crown Group (935 HK)</a> (DCG) is now out.</li>
<li>The Offer Price is HK$1.28/share. The Offer is conditional on 90% acceptance, with 86.91% in the bag.</li>
<li>This will probably turn unconditional next week. Trading tight to term. </li>
</ul>


The Composite Document detailing the Conditional Voluntary General Offer for liquid chemical storage and handling outfit Dragon Crown Group (935 HK) (DCG) is now out.
The Offer Price is HK$1.28/share. The Offer is conditional on 90% acceptance, with 86.91% in the bag.
This will probably turn unconditional next week. Trading tight to term. 


Dragon Crown (935 HK): Offer Open To Acceptances

<ul>
<li>Liquid chemical storage and handling outfit <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dragon-crown-group-holdings" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18919:1" rel="noopener">Dragon Crown Group (935 HK)</a> (DCG) announced on the 8 October a pre-conditional Offer from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/guangdong-great-river-smarter-logistics" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27110:1" rel="noopener">Guangdong Great River Smarter Logistics (002930 CH)</a> at HK$1.28/share.</li>
<li>GGRS has now <a href="https://www1.hkexnews.hk/listedco/listconews/sehk/2022/0120/2022012001122.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">released</a> its own independent financial advisor's report, which concluded the Offer was fair and reasonable. </li>
<li>Trading at a gross spread of 6.7% with possible payment early April. </li>
</ul>


Liquid chemical storage and handling outfit Dragon Crown Group (935 HK) (DCG) announced on the 8 October a pre-conditional Offer from Guangdong Great River Smarter Logistics (002930 CH) at HK$1.28/share.
GGRS has now released its own independent financial advisor's report, which concluded the Offer was fair and reasonable. 
Trading at a gross spread of 6.7% with possible payment early April. 


Dragon Crown (935 HK): Offeror's IFA Report

China

Guangdong Great River Smarter Logistics Co., Ltd. operates as a logistics company. The Company provides warehouse, loading, unloading, barrel filling, petrochemical products value added, and other services. Guangdong Great River Smarter Logistics serves customers in China and Hong Kong.

Guangdong Great River Smarter Logistics (002930 CH)

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Guangdong Great River Smarter Logistics (002930 CH)

Logistics - Price Floor in Guangdong Likely Set an Example for Other Regions...

We believe the price floor of RMB1.4/parcel shipment set by the Guangdong’s authority is a forceful move to put the brakes on the price war in the...

CMB International

Northbound Flows (2Q2025): Catl, Moutai, Midea, Jiangsu Hengrui Medicine

We analyzed the Shanghai/Shenzhen Connect Scheme for June and highlighted flows for Catl, Moutai, Midea, Jiangsu Hengrui Medicine, Wuliangye.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Merger Arb Mondays - Yashili, Razer, 51Job, Uniti, Link, Sezzle, Guodian

This week, the highest gross spreads are Yashili (41.2%), Razer (19.2%), 51 Job (16.0%), Uniti Group (9.8%), Link (8.6%), Sezzle (7.0%), Guodian...

Arun George

Dragon Crown (935 HK): Offer Open To Acceptances

Trading at a gross/annualised spread of 0.8%/19.6% assuming payment late March. Not much juice in the trade, and it is not super liquid. But this...

David Blennerhassett

Dragon Crown (935 HK): Offeror's IFA Report

Trading at a gross/annualised spread of 6.7%/36.3% assuming payment early April. That's attractive, however, this is not a super liquid arb situation.

David Blennerhassett

Price Gauge

52-week Range

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