Index Rebal Trades & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebal Trades & Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Index Rebalance

Chongqing Rural Commercial Ban / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>CSI 300 represents the 300 largest stocks by market cap and liquidity from the Shanghai and Shenzhen Exchanges. CSI 500 is the next 500 names.</li>
<li>In this insight, we have presented our final expectations for ADDs and DELs for the upcoming semiannual index rebal event in June 2025.</li>
<li>We expect 6 ADDs/DELs for the CSI 300 index and 50 ADDs/DELs for the CSI 500 index during this index review based on the latest available data.</li>
</ul>


CSI 300 represents the 300 largest stocks by market cap and liquidity from the Shanghai and Shenzhen Exchanges. CSI 500 is the next 500 names.
In this insight, we have presented our final expectations for ADDs and DELs for the upcoming semiannual index rebal event in June 2025.
We expect 6 ADDs/DELs for the CSI 300 index and 50 ADDs/DELs for the CSI 500 index during this index review based on the latest available data.


Quiddity Leaderboard CSI 300/​​500 Jun25: Momentum Turning Positive for This Major Rebal Trade

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 150 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 90.4% as of Apr 11th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by 3.7ppt week-on-week, led by financials, health care, energy and offset by consumer discretionary.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Beigene, China Oilfield Services, Dfzq, Innocare Pharma, China Life, Csc Financial.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 150 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 90.4% as of Apr 11th.
The average A-H premium changed by 3.7ppt week-on-week, led by financials, health care, energy and offset by consumer discretionary.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Beigene, China Oilfield Services, Dfzq, Innocare Pharma, China Life, Csc Financial.


A-H Premium Weekly (Apr 11th): Beigene, China Oilfield Services, Dfzq, Innocare Pharma, China Life

CEO, A. Stotz Investment Research

Dr. Andrew Stotz, CFA

Quantamental Investing to beat Benchmarks

A. Stotz Investment Research

We pick stocks. We construct portfolios. All our effort is focused on how to better pick stocks and construct portfolios. We serve fund management companies, family offices, and high net worth individuals.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>We highlight 10 stocks in China that look interesting to us based on our FVMR Methodology</li>
<li>Portfolio changes: Four stocks remain, six new join the fray</li>
<li>Since inception, it has gained 150% versus the CSI 300 Index’s return of 53%</li>
</ul>


We highlight 10 stocks in China that look interesting to us based on our FVMR Methodology
Portfolio changes: Four stocks remain, six new join the fray
Since inception, it has gained 150% versus the CSI 300 Index’s return of 53%


Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

<ul>
<li>With 85% of the review period now complete, we forecast 50 changes (the maximum permitted) for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/csi-smallcap-500-index-shang" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35347:1" rel="noopener">CSI Smallcap 500 Index</a> at the close on 13 June.</li>
<li>We estimate a one-way turnover of 10% at the rebalance resulting in a round-trip trade of CNY26.4bn (US$3.6bn). The Information Technology gains at the expense of Healthcare and Consumer Staples.</li>
<li>The forecast adds have outperformed the forecast deletes and the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/csi-smallcap-500-index-shang" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35347:1" rel="noopener">CSI Smallcap500 Index</a> over the last 6 months. The best part is that the volatility of the trade is very low.</li>
</ul>


With 85% of the review period now complete, we forecast 50 changes (the maximum permitted) for the CSI Smallcap 500 Index at the close on 13 June.
We estimate a one-way turnover of 10% at the rebalance resulting in a round-trip trade of CNY26.4bn (US$3.6bn). The Information Technology gains at the expense of Healthcare and Consumer Staples.
The forecast adds have outperformed the forecast deletes and the CSI Smallcap500 Index over the last 6 months. The best part is that the volatility of the trade is very low.


CSI500 Index Rebalance Preview: 50 Changes; 10% Turnover; US$3.6bn Round-Trip Trade

HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

<ul>
<li>CSRC's Market Value Management Guidelines will indirectly benefit the H-share stocks with their A-share counterparts with a P/B of below 1x.  </li>
<li>Chinese banks dominated the list with below-book A-shares. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-everbright-bank-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16221:1" rel="noopener">China Everbright Bank (6818 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-citic-bank-corp-ltd-ea6c25fd-4b20-45cb-a4a6-df7a60136f03" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:653:1" rel="noopener">China Citic Bank H (998 HK)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/industrial-and-commercial-bank-of-china-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1119:1" rel="noopener">ICBC (H) (1398 HK)</a> are the prime beneficiaries.</li>
<li>Infrastructure construction companies <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-railway-construction-corp-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:263:1" rel="noopener">China Railway Cons Corp (1186 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-railway-group-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:264:1" rel="noopener">China Railway Group H (390 HK)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-communications-construction-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:265:1" rel="noopener">China Comm Cons (1800 HK)</a> are also well-positioned to gain.</li>
</ul>


CSRC's Market Value Management Guidelines will indirectly benefit the H-share stocks with their A-share counterparts with a P/B of below 1x.  
Chinese banks dominated the list with below-book A-shares. China Everbright Bank (6818 HK), China Citic Bank H (998 HK), and ICBC (H) (1398 HK) are the prime beneficiaries.
Infrastructure construction companies China Railway Cons Corp (1186 HK), China Railway Group H (390 HK), and China Comm Cons (1800 HK) are also well-positioned to gain.


China & HK Strategy: Names to Watch for Market Value Management

China

Guangshen Railway Company Limited provides railroad passenger, freight transportation, railway facilities, and technical services.  The Company also sells food, beverages and merchandise on aboard and in train stations.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Guangshen Railway Co Ltd A (601333 CH)

Quiddity Leaderboard CSI 300/500 Jun25: Momentum Turning Positive for This Major Rebal Trade

Instead of Chongqing Rural Commercial Ban (601077 CH), we now see Lingyi iTech Guangdong (002600 CH) as a CSI 300 Expected ADD as explained in the...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

A-H Premium Weekly (Apr 11th): Beigene, China Oilfield Services, Dfzq, Innocare Pharma, China Life

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Beigene, China Oilfield Services, Dfzq, Innocare Pharma,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

The Stocks to Own in China – Vol. 35

We highlight 10 stocks in China that look interesting to us based on our FVMR Methodology. Since inception, it has gained 150% versus the CSI 300...

A. Stotz Investment Research

CSI500 Index Rebalance Preview: 50 Changes; 10% Turnover; US$3.6bn Round-Trip Trade

There should be 50 changes in June. Estimated 1-way turnover is 10% and the round-trip trade is US$3.6bn. The forecast adds have outperformed the...

Brian Freitas

China & HK Strategy: Names to Watch for Market Value Management

SASAC issued "Several opinions on improving and strengthening the market value management of listed companies controlled by central enterprises"...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Quiddity Leaderboard CSI 300/​​500 Jun25: Momentum Turning Positive for This Major Rebal Trade

Instead of Chongqing Rural Commercial Ban (601077 CH), we now see Lingyi iTech Guangdong (002600 CH) as a CSI 300 Expected ADD as explained in the...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

A-H Premium Weekly (Apr 11th): Beigene, China Oilfield Services, Dfzq, Innocare Pharma, China Life

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Beigene, China Oilfield Services, Dfzq, Innocare Pharma,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

The Stocks to Own in China – Vol. 35

We highlight 10 stocks in China that look interesting to us based on our FVMR Methodology. Since inception, it has gained 150% versus the CSI 300...

A. Stotz Investment Research

CSI500 Index Rebalance Preview: 50 Changes; 10% Turnover; US$3.6bn Round-Trip Trade

There should be 50 changes in June. Estimated 1-way turnover is 10% and the round-trip trade is US$3.6bn. The forecast adds have outperformed the...

Brian Freitas

China & HK Strategy: Names to Watch for Market Value Management

SASAC issued "Several opinions on improving and strengthening the market value management of listed companies controlled by central enterprises"...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Quiddity Leaderboard CSI 300/500 Jun25: Momentum Turning Positive for This Major Rebal Trade