External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Equity Bottom-Up

Guangzhou Automobile Group / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>GAC Group (GAC)’s 1Q24 results were largely in line with our prior estimates and we maintain our FY24E net profit forecast of RMB5.4bn.</li><li>We are more conservative than management about Aion’s sales volume and profitability, as we believe that Aion needs quality growth (brand upscale, overseas expansion etc.) in FY24E to lay out foundation for long-term development.</li><li>We are of the view that Trumpchi’s PHEV solid sales growth could be overlooked by investors.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

GAC Group (GAC)’s 1Q24 results were largely in line with our prior estimates and we maintain our FY24E net profit forecast of RMB5.4bn.We are more conservative than management about Aion’s sales volume and profitability, as we believe that Aion needs quality growth (brand upscale, overseas expansion etc.) in FY24E to lay out foundation for long-term development.We are of the view that Trumpchi’s PHEV solid sales growth could be overlooked by investors.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

GAC Group (2238 HK) - In-Line 1Q24 Earnings

<ul><li>We estimate GAC Group (GAC)’s net profit to rise 22% YoY to RMB5.4bn in FY24E, as Aion’s upscale attempt, cost reduction and overseas expansion could help narrow its loss.</li><li>We are of the view that Aion needs quality growth in FY24E to lay out foundation for long-term development.</li><li>We project Trumpchi’s PHEV sales volume to triple YoY, which may be overlooked by investors.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

We estimate GAC Group (GAC)’s net profit to rise 22% YoY to RMB5.4bn in FY24E, as Aion’s upscale attempt, cost reduction and overseas expansion could help narrow its loss.We are of the view that Aion needs quality growth in FY24E to lay out foundation for long-term development.We project Trumpchi’s PHEV sales volume to triple YoY, which may be overlooked by investors.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

GAC Group (2238 HK) - PHEV Could Be a New Catalyst

<ul><li>We revise GAC Group (GAC)’s FY24E net profit by 4% to RMB6.3bn, largely due to resilient equity income from joint ventures (JVs) and associates.</li><li>We expect Aion to be at a breakeven level in FY24E, and we are of the view that Aion needs quality growth in 2024. We believe GAC’s current valuation is attractive.</li><li>We project 4Q23E net profit to be RMB218mn. GAC’s 4Q earnings every year are the most volatile compared with other quarters, making it difficult for us to forecast.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

We revise GAC Group (GAC)’s FY24E net profit by 4% to RMB6.3bn, largely due to resilient equity income from joint ventures (JVs) and associates.We expect Aion to be at a breakeven level in FY24E, and we are of the view that Aion needs quality growth in 2024. We believe GAC’s current valuation is attractive.We project 4Q23E net profit to be RMB218mn. GAC’s 4Q earnings every year are the most volatile compared with other quarters, making it difficult for us to forecast.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

GAC Group (2238 HK) - FY24E NP to Rise YoY on JVs and Aion

<ul><li>Maintain BUY. GAC’s 3Q23 earnings beat, as Aion turned profitable, which could be a positive catalyst. Equity income from JVs was also more resilient than expected.</li><li>We project GAC’s FY24E NP to rise 31% YoY to RMB 6.1bn.</li><li>3Q23 earnings beat. GAC’s 3Q23 revenue was 2% lower than our prior forecast while its GPM widened by 4.1 ppts QoQ and beat our projection by 3 ppts. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Maintain BUY. GAC’s 3Q23 earnings beat, as Aion turned profitable, which could be a positive catalyst. Equity income from JVs was also more resilient than expected.We project GAC’s FY24E NP to rise 31% YoY to RMB 6.1bn.3Q23 earnings beat. GAC’s 3Q23 revenue was 2% lower than our prior forecast while its GPM widened by 4.1 ppts QoQ and beat our projection by 3 ppts. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

GAC Group (2238 HK) – Aion’s Turning Profitable as a Positive Catalyst

<ul><li>Maintain BUY. GAC probably faces a mixed picture in 2H23 after an in-line 2Q23, as we are concerned about GAC Mitsubishi’s goodwill impairment.</li><li>On the other hand, we expect Aion to cut loss significantly in 2H23E and FY24E. We now value Aion at HK$ 62bn, based on 0.7x our FY24E P/S.</li><li>We believe more investors would pay attention to Aion, should its margins improve gradually. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Maintain BUY. GAC probably faces a mixed picture in 2H23 after an in-line 2Q23, as we are concerned about GAC Mitsubishi’s goodwill impairment.On the other hand, we expect Aion to cut loss significantly in 2H23E and FY24E. We now value Aion at HK$ 62bn, based on 0.7x our FY24E P/S.We believe more investors would pay attention to Aion, should its margins improve gradually. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

GAC Group (2238 HK) – Homegrown Brands Likely to Narrow Loss in 2H23

China

Guangzhou Automobile Group Company, Ltd. manufactures, sells, and services automobiles. The Company is also involved in automobile parts and components, and auto finance and related services for both overseas and domestic markets.

Guangzhou Automobile Group (2238 HK)

GAC Group (2238 HK) - In-Line 1Q24 Earnings

GAC Group (GAC)’s 1Q24 results were largely in line with our prior estimates and we maintain our FY24E net profit forecast of RMB5.4bn.

CMB International

GAC Group (2238 HK) - PHEV Could Be a New Catalyst

We estimate GAC Group (GAC)’s net profit to rise 22% YoY to RMB5.4bn in FY24E, as Aion’s upscale attempt, cost reduction and overseas expansion...

CMB International

GAC Group (2238 HK) - FY24E NP to Rise YoY on JVs and Aion

We revise GAC Group (GAC)’s FY24E net profit by 4% to RMB6.3bn, largely due to resilient equity income from joint ventures (JVs) and associates

CMB International

GAC Group (2238 HK) – Aion’s Turning Profitable as a Positive Catalyst

Maintain BUY. GAC’s 3Q23 earnings beat, as Aion turned profitable, which could be a positive catalyst. Equity income from JVs was also more...

CMB International

GAC Group (2238 HK) – Homegrown Brands Likely to Narrow Loss in 2H23

Maintain BUY. GAC probably faces a mixed picture in 2H23 after an in-line 2Q23, as we are concerned about GAC Mitsubishi’s goodwill impairment.

CMB International