External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>We summarize the Apr 2024 price discounts at dealers for major automakers in this report.</li><li>Note that such discounts for each automaker are calculated based on the weighted average of Mar 2024 retail sales volume for each model, as Apr 2024 retail sales volume data have not been released yet.</li><li>The industrywide average discounts widened by 0.2ppt MoM in Apr based on our calculations, mainly due to German and Japanese brands. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

We summarize the Apr 2024 price discounts at dealers for major automakers in this report.Note that such discounts for each automaker are calculated based on the weighted average of Mar 2024 retail sales volume for each model, as Apr 2024 retail sales volume data have not been released yet.The industrywide average discounts widened by 0.2ppt MoM in Apr based on our calculations, mainly due to German and Japanese brands. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Auto - OEMs’ Different Strategies Amid Higher Discount

Equity Bottom-Up

Guangzhou Automobile Group / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>GAC Group (GAC)’s 1Q24 results were largely in line with our prior estimates and we maintain our FY24E net profit forecast of RMB5.4bn.</li><li>We are more conservative than management about Aion’s sales volume and profitability, as we believe that Aion needs quality growth (brand upscale, overseas expansion etc.) in FY24E to lay out foundation for long-term development.</li><li>We are of the view that Trumpchi’s PHEV solid sales growth could be overlooked by investors.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

GAC Group (GAC)’s 1Q24 results were largely in line with our prior estimates and we maintain our FY24E net profit forecast of RMB5.4bn.We are more conservative than management about Aion’s sales volume and profitability, as we believe that Aion needs quality growth (brand upscale, overseas expansion etc.) in FY24E to lay out foundation for long-term development.We are of the view that Trumpchi’s PHEV solid sales growth could be overlooked by investors.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

GAC Group (2238 HK) - In-Line 1Q24 Earnings

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

Guangzhou Automobile Group / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The New/Better A-H Premium Tracker has tables, charts, measures galore to track A/H premium positioning, southbound and northbound positioning/volatility in pairs over time, etc.</li>
<li>SOUTHBOUND's consecutive buying streak ended on Monday 25-March, then started again. NORTHBOUND has started selling (but buying semi tech).</li>
<li>Hs rebounded vs As. AH Premia still wide. Fabulous two-week performance by the Quiddity Portfolio (+2.09% over the two weeks) on a delta 3:1 long H/short A</li>
</ul>


The New/Better A-H Premium Tracker has tables, charts, measures galore to track A/H premium positioning, southbound and northbound positioning/volatility in pairs over time, etc.
SOUTHBOUND's consecutive buying streak ended on Monday 25-March, then started again. NORTHBOUND has started selling (but buying semi tech).
Hs rebounded vs As. AH Premia still wide. Fabulous two-week performance by the Quiddity Portfolio (+2.09% over the two weeks) on a delta 3:1 long H/short A


A/H Premium Tracker (To 12 Apr 2024):  Liquid AH Premia Still Very Wide, The Right Spreads Behaving

<ul><li>We summarize the Mar 2024 price discounts at dealers for major automakers in this report.</li><li>Note that such discounts for each automaker are calculated based on the weighted average of Feb 2024 retail sales volume for each model, as Mar 2024 retail sales volume data have not been released yet.</li><li>On the surface, the industrywide average discounts remained flat MoM in Mar 2024. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

We summarize the Mar 2024 price discounts at dealers for major automakers in this report.Note that such discounts for each automaker are calculated based on the weighted average of Feb 2024 retail sales volume for each model, as Mar 2024 retail sales volume data have not been released yet.On the surface, the industrywide average discounts remained flat MoM in Mar 2024. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Auto - New models with lower MSRPs made discounts artificially stable

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 146 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 132.9% as of Apr 5th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by 5.3ppt week-on-week, led by consumer staples, health care, real estate.</li>
<li>We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Baiyunshan, Jiangxi Copper, ZTE, Fosun Pharma, Air China, Joinn Lab.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 146 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 132.9% as of Apr 5th.
The average A-H premium changed by 5.3ppt week-on-week, led by consumer staples, health care, real estate.
We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Baiyunshan, Jiangxi Copper, ZTE, Fosun Pharma, Air China, Joinn Lab.


A-H Premium Weekly (Apr 5th): 21 Stocks at 1Y High

China

Guangzhou Automobile Group Company Limited manufactures and sells automobiles. The Company vehicles, motorcycles, and other products. Guangzhou Automobile Group also provides automobile parts manufacturing, automotive business services, automotive finance, and other services.

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Guangzhou Automobile Group (601238 CH)

Auto - OEMs’ Different Strategies Amid Higher Discount

Note that such discounts for each automaker are calculated based on the weighted average of Mar 2024 retail sales volume for each model

CMB International

GAC Group (2238 HK) - In-Line 1Q24 Earnings

GAC Group (GAC)’s 1Q24 results were largely in line with our prior estimates and we maintain our FY24E net profit forecast of RMB5.4bn.

CMB International

A/H Premium Tracker (To 12 Apr 2024): Liquid AH Premia Still Very Wide, The Right Spreads Behaving

"The right trades" bounced back dramatically from the week before the "quiet week" to now. The delta-neutral Quiddity Portfolio gained 2+%. AH...

Travis Lundy

Auto - New models with lower MSRPs made discounts artificially stable

Note that such discounts for each automaker are calculated based on the weighted average of Feb 2024 retail sales volume for each model

CMB International

A-H Premium Weekly (Apr 5th): 21 Stocks at 1Y High

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Baiyunshan, Jiangxi Copper, ZTE, Fosun Pharma, Air China,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

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52-week Range

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