Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Gross SOUTHBOUND volumes over US$19+bn a day this past 5-day week. Net buying OK at just under +US$1bn/day. Significantly, there was huge net buying of ETFs.</li>
<li>Last week's reco <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/guangzhou-automobile-group-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11082:1" rel="noopener">Guangzhou Automobile Group (2238 HK)</a> was up 4.4% on the week, +3.1% from Monday's close to Friday. +3.9% gain on the H/A pair.</li>
<li>The data tables below update on a daily basis in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/tools" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Tools</a> section of Smartkarma. The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/tools/quiddity/south-flow-monitor" target="_blank" rel="noopener">SOUTHBOUND Flow Monitor</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/tools/quiddity/ah-shares-monitor" target="_blank" rel="noopener">AH Pairs Monitor</a> are both there free for SK readers.</li>
</ul>


Gross SOUTHBOUND volumes over US$19+bn a day this past 5-day week. Net buying OK at just under +US$1bn/day. Significantly, there was huge net buying of ETFs.
Last week's reco Guangzhou Automobile Group (2238 HK) was up 4.4% on the week, +3.1% from Monday's close to Friday. +3.9% gain on the H/A pair.
The data tables below update on a daily basis in the Tools section of Smartkarma. The SOUTHBOUND Flow Monitor and AH Pairs Monitor are both there free for SK readers.


HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 15 Aug 2025); Big Swing Into ETFs Likely Means Swing to Tech This Wk

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 157 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 58.9% as of Aug 8th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by -2.3ppt week-on-week, led by materials, health care, utilities.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Metallurgical Corporation Of China, Shandong Gold Mining, China Shenhua Energy, Tianqi Lithium.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 157 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 58.9% as of Aug 8th.
The average A-H premium changed by -2.3ppt week-on-week, led by materials, health care, utilities.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Metallurgical Corporation Of China, Shandong Gold Mining, China Shenhua Energy, Tianqi Lithium.


A-H Premium Weekly (Aug 8th): Metallurgical Corporation Of China, Shandong Gold Mining

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>We summarize the Jul 2025 price discounts at dealers for major automakers in this report.</li><li>Note that Jul discounts for each automaker are calculated based on the weighted average of Jun 2025 retail sales volume for each model, as Jul 2025 retail sales volume data have not been released yet.</li><li>The industrywide average discounts narrowed 0.3ppts MoM to 15.1% in Jul 2025, based on our calculations, mainly driven by German luxury brands (BMW, Mercedes-Benz and Audi), as dealers need to raise car prices to offset lower commissions from the auto finance business after banks cut rebates to dealers. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

We summarize the Jul 2025 price discounts at dealers for major automakers in this report.Note that Jul discounts for each automaker are calculated based on the weighted average of Jun 2025 retail sales volume for each model, as Jul 2025 retail sales volume data have not been released yet.The industrywide average discounts narrowed 0.3ppts MoM to 15.1% in Jul 2025, based on our calculations, mainly driven by German luxury brands (BMW, Mercedes-Benz and Audi), as dealers need to raise car prices to offset lower commissions from the auto finance business after banks cut rebates to dealers. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Auto - Jul discounts narrowed amid new models, auto finance policy changes

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 157 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 61.4% as of Aug 1st.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by 3.6ppt week-on-week, led by real estate, consumer staples, health care and offset by materials.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for China Telecom, CIMC, Anjoy Food, China Everbright Bank, Zhengzhou Coal Mining Machinery, BYD.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 157 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 61.4% as of Aug 1st.
The average A-H premium changed by 3.6ppt week-on-week, led by real estate, consumer staples, health care and offset by materials.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for China Telecom, CIMC, Anjoy Food, China Everbright Bank, Zhengzhou Coal Mining Machinery, BYD.


A-H Premium Weekly (Aug 1st): China Telecom, CIMC, Anjoy Food, China Everbright Bank

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 157 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 58.2% as of Jul 25th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by -2.7ppt week-on-week, led by materials, communication services, financials and offset by consumer staples, real estate, health care.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Jiangxi Copper, Dongfang Electric, China Life, China Energy Engineering, Zhengzhou Coal Mining Machinery, China Railway Construction.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 157 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 58.2% as of Jul 25th.
The average A-H premium changed by -2.7ppt week-on-week, led by materials, communication services, financials and offset by consumer staples, real estate, health care.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Jiangxi Copper, Dongfang Electric, China Life, China Energy Engineering, Zhengzhou Coal Mining Machinery, China Railway Construction.


A-H Premium Weekly (Jul 25th): Jiangxi Copper, Dongfang Electric, China Life

China

Guangzhou Automobile Group Company Limited manufactures and sells automobiles. The Company vehicles, motorcycles, and other products. Guangzhou Automobile Group also provides automobile parts manufacturing, automotive business services, automotive finance, and other services.

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Guangzhou Automobile Group (601238 CH)

HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 15 Aug 2025); Big Swing Into ETFs Likely Means Swing to Tech This Wk

SOUTHBOUND Connect volumes were quite large again this week at nearly $100bn USD. The big flows on the buy side were in ETFs suggesting allocation...

Travis Lundy

A-H Premium Weekly (Aug 8th): Metallurgical Corporation Of China, Shandong Gold Mining

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Metallurgical Corporation Of China, Shandong Gold Mining,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Auto - Jul discounts narrowed amid new models, auto finance policy changes

We believe Geely and Leapmotor could be better positioned than most of its peers with a strong new model pipeline and sales momentum, as well as...

CMB International

A-H Premium Weekly (Aug 1st): China Telecom, CIMC, Anjoy Food, China Everbright Bank

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for China Telecom, CIMC, Anjoy Food, China Everbright Bank,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

A-H Premium Weekly (Jul 25th): Jiangxi Copper, Dongfang Electric, China Life

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Jiangxi Copper, Dongfang Electric, China Life, China Energy...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

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