Index Rebal Trades & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebal Trades & Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Index Rebalance

Porton Pharma Solutions / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The ChiNext Index represents the performance of the 100 largest and most liquid A-share stocks listed on the ChiNext Market of the Shenzhen Stock Exchange.</li>
<li>The ChiNext 50 index is a subset of the ChiNext Index and it consists of the top 50 names in the ChiNext index with the highest daily average turnover.</li>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the names leading the race to become ADDs and DELs in the June 2024 index rebal event.</li>
</ul>


The ChiNext Index represents the performance of the 100 largest and most liquid A-share stocks listed on the ChiNext Market of the Shenzhen Stock Exchange.
The ChiNext 50 index is a subset of the ChiNext Index and it consists of the top 50 names in the ChiNext index with the highest daily average turnover.
In this insight, we take a look at the names leading the race to become ADDs and DELs in the June 2024 index rebal event.


Quiddity Leaderboard ChiNext & ChiNext 50 Jun 24: Double Impacts for Some Names

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Clarence Chu

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Event-Driven

Contemporary Amperex Technology (CATL) / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/contemporary-amperex-techn-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24404:1" rel="noopener">CATL (A) (300750 CH)</a> is looking to raise up to US$6bn in its upcoming Swiss GDR listing. Bookrunners on the deal are CICC, China Securities, Goldman Sachs, and UBS.</li>
<li>The relatively large listing comes after the firm has been undertaking a series of capital raisings, since it's A-share debut back in Jun 2018, to fund its expansion. </li>
<li>In this note, we discuss GDR timelines, and the firm’s recent financial performance/valuations.</li>
</ul>



CATL (A) (300750 CH) is looking to raise up to US$6bn in its upcoming Swiss GDR listing. Bookrunners on the deal are CICC, China Securities, Goldman Sachs, and UBS.
The relatively large listing comes after the firm has been undertaking a series of capital raisings, since it's A-share debut back in Jun 2018, to fund its expansion. 
In this note, we discuss GDR timelines, and the firm’s recent financial performance/valuations.


CATL GDR Listing Early Look - Past Deals Have Done Well. Valuations Somewhat Justifiable

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Jiangxi Special Electric Motor A / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>Three quarters of the way through the review period for the June rebalance of the CSI500 Index, we forecast 50 changes (the maximum permitted) at the close on 9 June.</li>
<li>There is a big sector skew in the potential changes. We estimate a one-way turnover of 11.47% at the June rebalance resulting in a one-way trade of CNY 10.11bn.</li>
<li>The potential adds have outperformed the potential deletes and the CSI500 Index over the last few weeks. There could be more outperformance till nearer the end of the review period.</li>
</ul>


Three quarters of the way through the review period for the June rebalance of the CSI500 Index, we forecast 50 changes (the maximum permitted) at the close on 9 June.
There is a big sector skew in the potential changes. We estimate a one-way turnover of 11.47% at the June rebalance resulting in a one-way trade of CNY 10.11bn.
The potential adds have outperformed the potential deletes and the CSI500 Index over the last few weeks. There could be more outperformance till nearer the end of the review period.


CSI500 Index Rebalance Preview: Potential Adds Continuing to Outperform

Hunan Zhongke Electric Co,Ltd. / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There will be 10 changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/chinext-price-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25483:1" rel="noopener">Chinext Price Index</a> and 5 changes for the ChiNext 50 Index. Implementation is at the close on 9 December.</li>
<li>One surprise is the inclusion of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hunan-zhongke-electric-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13009:1" rel="noopener">Hunan Zhongke Electric Co,Ltd. (300035 CH)</a> in both indices. Four stocks are adds to both indices while two stocks are deletes from both indices.</li>
<li>The adds have outperformed the deletes over the last 8 months but have given up some of the gains over the last month. There is a big sector skew.</li>
</ul>


There will be 10 changes for the Chinext Price Index and 5 changes for the ChiNext 50 Index. Implementation is at the close on 9 December.
One surprise is the inclusion of Hunan Zhongke Electric Co,Ltd. (300035 CH) in both indices. Four stocks are adds to both indices while two stocks are deletes from both indices.
The adds have outperformed the deletes over the last 8 months but have given up some of the gains over the last month. There is a big sector skew.


ChiNext/​ChiNext 50 Index Rebalance: Materials & Industrials Take Spots from IT, Health Care

Hubei Feilihua Quartz Glass  / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>At the end of the review period, we forecast 10 changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/chinext-price-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25483:1" rel="noopener">Chinext Price Index (SZ399006 INDEX)</a> and 5 changes for the ChiNext 50 Index in December.</li>
<li>Passive trackers will need to buy +/-0.5 days of ADV for most inclusions and exclusions from the indices. The impact on the potential deletions is higher on average.</li>
<li>The potential adds have outperformed the potential deletes over the last six months, though there has been a sharp narrowing of the gap over the last few weeks.</li>
</ul>


At the end of the review period, we forecast 10 changes for the Chinext Price Index (SZ399006 INDEX) and 5 changes for the ChiNext 50 Index in December.
Passive trackers will need to buy +/-0.5 days of ADV for most inclusions and exclusions from the indices. The impact on the potential deletions is higher on average.
The potential adds have outperformed the potential deletes over the last six months, though there has been a sharp narrowing of the gap over the last few weeks.


ChiNext/ChiNext50 Index Rebalance Preview: Overlapping Stocks & Mean Reversion

China

Guangzhou Great Power Energy & Technology Co Ltd specializes in green and high-performance portable battery development, manufacturing, and sales. The company's main products include rechargable batteries, such as, lithium ion, lithium iron, lithium manganese, and nickel-hydrogen batteries.

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Guangzhou Great Power Ener-A (300438 CH)

Quiddity Leaderboard ChiNext & ChiNext 50 Jun 24: Double Impacts for Some Names

I see four ADDs/DELs for the ChiNext index and three ADDs/DELs for the ChiNext 50 index. Collectively, I expect these changes to cause US$259mn one...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

CATL GDR Listing Early Look - Past Deals Have Done Well. Valuations Somewhat Justifiable

CATL (A) (300750 CH) is looking to raise up to US$6bn in its upcoming Swiss GDR listing. Bookrunners on the deal are CICC, China Securities,...

Clarence Chu

CSI500 Index Rebalance Preview: Potential Adds Continuing to Outperform

We forecast 50 changes a side at the June rebal leading to a one-way turnover of 11.47% & in a one-way trade of CNY 10bn. The potential adds have...

Brian Freitas

ChiNext/ChiNext 50 Index Rebalance: Materials & Industrials Take Spots from IT, Health Care

10 changes for Chinext and 5 for Chinext 50. Most changes were expected and there is a big sector skew. One surprise is the inclusion of Hunan...

Brian Freitas

ChiNext/ChiNext50 Index Rebalance Preview: Overlapping Stocks & Mean Reversion

We forecast 10 changes to the ChiNext & 5 changes to the ChiNext50 in Dec. There are a few overlapping stocks and the potential adds have...

Brian Freitas

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Quiddity Leaderboard ChiNext & ChiNext 50 Jun 24: Double Impacts for Some Names

I see four ADDs/DELs for the ChiNext index and three ADDs/DELs for the ChiNext 50 index. Collectively, I expect these changes to cause US$259mn one...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

CATL GDR Listing Early Look - Past Deals Have Done Well. Valuations Somewhat Justifiable

CATL (A) (300750 CH) is looking to raise up to US$6bn in its upcoming Swiss GDR listing. Bookrunners on the deal are CICC, China Securities,...

Clarence Chu

CSI500 Index Rebalance Preview: Potential Adds Continuing to Outperform

We forecast 50 changes a side at the June rebal leading to a one-way turnover of 11.47% & in a one-way trade of CNY 10bn. The potential adds have...

Brian Freitas

ChiNext/​ChiNext 50 Index Rebalance: Materials & Industrials Take Spots from IT, Health Care

10 changes for Chinext and 5 for Chinext 50. Most changes were expected and there is a big sector skew. One surprise is the inclusion of Hunan...

Brian Freitas

ChiNext/ChiNext50 Index Rebalance Preview: Overlapping Stocks & Mean Reversion

We forecast 10 changes to the ChiNext & 5 changes to the ChiNext50 in Dec. There are a few overlapping stocks and the potential adds have...

Brian Freitas

ChiNext/ChiNext 50 Index Rebalance: Materials & Industrials Take Spots from IT, Health Care