HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Equity Capital Markets

ADICON Holdings Limited / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>The revenue generated from COVID-19 business would not be sustainable in the long term. The lower price of COVID-19 tests, DRGs, centralized procurement and fierce competition would drag down margins.</li>
<li>ADICON hasn’t established enough advantage and moat to secure its leading position and could be overtaken by competitors.The weak R&amp;D makes ADICON difficult to gain an edge in esoteric tests.</li>
<li>Considering the fierce competition, lower margins, the decline of COVID-19 business revenue, and poor liquidity and IPO market sentiment in HKEX, the PE could be below 10.</li>
</ul>


The revenue generated from COVID-19 business would not be sustainable in the long term. The lower price of COVID-19 tests, DRGs, centralized procurement and fierce competition would drag down margins.
ADICON hasn’t established enough advantage and moat to secure its leading position and could be overtaken by competitors.The weak R&amp;D makes ADICON difficult to gain an edge in esoteric tests.
Considering the fierce competition, lower margins, the decline of COVID-19 business revenue, and poor liquidity and IPO market sentiment in HKEX, the PE could be below 10.


Pre-IPO ADICON Holdings Limited - Uncertain Growth and Outlook in Post-COVID Era

<ul>
<li>Benefiting from the opportunities brought to the healthcare industry by the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yunkang-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35631:1" rel="noopener">Yunkang Group (YK HK)</a> took a ride and ushered in a turning point in performance.</li>
<li>As the pandemic stabilizes and gets gradually under control, the revenue generated from COVID-19 tests may significantly decrease, which means Yunkang may return to net loss again in the future.</li>
<li>We currently haven’t seen any new growth point with high certainty. Therefore, we are conservative about Yunkang’s outlook.</li>
</ul>


Benefiting from the opportunities brought to the healthcare industry by the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020, Yunkang Group (YK HK) took a ride and ushered in a turning point in performance.
As the pandemic stabilizes and gets gradually under control, the revenue generated from COVID-19 tests may significantly decrease, which means Yunkang may return to net loss again in the future.
We currently haven’t seen any new growth point with high certainty. Therefore, we are conservative about Yunkang’s outlook.


Pre-IPO Yunkang Group - Lack of New Growth Point

<p>After more than 20 years of development in China, independent clinical laboratory (ICL) has achieved rapid growth, especially during the COVID-19. After <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/guangzhou-kingmed-diagnostics" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30257:1" rel="noopener">Guangzhou Kingmed Diagnostics (603882 CH)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zhejiang-dian-diagnostics-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19115:1" rel="noopener">Zhejiang Dian Diagnostics A (300244 CH) </a>got listed, the third-ranking ICL service provider in China, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/adicon-holdings-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33786:1" rel="noopener">ADICON Holdings Limited (ADI HK)</a>, is also preparing to go public. On June 30, 2021, ADICON submitted its prospectus to the HKEX for listing on the main board. This insight mainly analyzed the industry characteristics, the business, and the concerns of the Company.</p>

After more than 20 years of development in China, independent clinical laboratory (ICL) has achieved rapid growth, especially during the COVID-19. After Guangzhou Kingmed Diagnostics (603882 CH) and Zhejiang Dian Diagnostics A (300244 CH) got listed, the third-ranking ICL service provider in China, ADICON Holdings Limited (ADI HK), is also preparing to go public. On June 30, 2021, ADICON submitted its prospectus to the HKEX for listing on the main board. This insight mainly analyzed the industry characteristics, the business, and the concerns of the Company.

Pre-IPO ADICON Holdings Ltd - Insights on Industry, Business and Concerns

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Kindstar Globalgene Technology / Equity Capital Markets

<div><p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kindstar-globalgene-technology-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32175:1" rel="noopener">Kindstar Globalgene Technology (9960 HK)</a> is a leading independent esoteric clinical testing service provider in China. Kindstar provides full-spectrum testing services primarily to hospitals in various speciality areas, including hematology, genetic diseases and rare diseases, infectious diseases, oncology, neurology and maternity-related diseases. In 2020, Kindstar had a 4.1% revenue market share of the total esoteric testing market in China, according to Frost &amp; Sullivan. </p></div><div><p>At the proposed IPO price range of HK$8.60-9.78 per share, Kindstar will have a market cap of HK$7,788.3-8,857.0 ($1.0-1.1 billion). At the mid-point of the IPO price range, the total net proceeds are HK$1,931.1 million ($250 million). </p></div><div><p>Seven cornerstone investors will subscribe for $140 million of the offer shares (52.2% of the offer shares at the mid-point of the IPO price). The cornerstone investors include BlackRock, CPE, Snow Lake Capital, Carmignac Funds, Natixis Investment Managers, Athos Capital and IvyRock Asset Management.</p></div><div><div><div class="content-highlight"><p>In <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/kindstar-globalgene-ipo-initiation-testing-testing" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:53731" rel="noopener">Kindstar Globalgene IPO Initiation: Testing, Testing</a>, we stated that the business has successfully overcome the negative impact of the COVID-19 pandemic, with most of its segments displaying either a return to growth or lower revenue declines in 4Q20 in comparison to 9M20. In combination, with solid operating leverage and cash generation, we think that the Kindstar IPO is worth a look. Overall, we would participate in the IPO due to an attractive IPO price range.</p></div></div></div>

Kindstar Globalgene Technology (9960 HK) is a leading independent esoteric clinical testing service provider in China. Kindstar provides full-spectrum testing services primarily to hospitals in various speciality areas, including hematology, genetic diseases and rare diseases, infectious diseases, oncology, neurology and maternity-related diseases. In 2020, Kindstar had a 4.1% revenue market share of the total esoteric testing market in China, according to Frost &amp; Sullivan. At the proposed IPO price range of HK$8.60-9.78 per share, Kindstar will have a market cap of HK$7,788.3-8,857.0 ($1.0-1.1 billion). At the mid-point of the IPO price range, the total net proceeds are HK$1,931.1 million ($250 million). Seven cornerstone investors will subscribe for $140 million of the offer shares (52.2% of the offer shares at the mid-point of the IPO price). The cornerstone investors include BlackRock, CPE, Snow Lake Capital, Carmignac Funds, Natixis Investment Managers, Athos Capital and IvyRock Asset Management.In Kindstar Globalgene IPO Initiation: Testing, Testing, we stated that the business has successfully overcome the negative impact of the COVID-19 pandemic, with most of its segments displaying either a return to growth or lower revenue declines in 4Q20 in comparison to 9M20. In combination, with solid operating leverage and cash generation, we think that the Kindstar IPO is worth a look. Overall, we would participate in the IPO due to an attractive IPO price range.

Kindstar Globalgene IPO: Valuation Insights

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<p>Kindstar is a leading esoteric test service provider in China. The company launched book building to raise up to USD 285m via a Hong Kong listing.</p><p>In our previous note, we discussed Kindstar's business segment. The company has a strong footprint in the hematology test segment with the majority of its revenue is derived from the hematological tests, particularly for lymphoma and myeloma-related diseases. The company is relatively weak in other areas such as oncology and maternity related businesses. We think the company can continue to grow the existing pie of hematological tests for which the public hospitals do not want to invest in the test equipment and processes but it will be challenging for the company to expand the business into the area where public hospitals are willing to invest in. We think the company has a decent line-up of investors but there is still a lack of international healthcare investors. The management's experience is also decent. We also compared the company's key financial metrics with other leading listed ICL.</p><p>In this note, we provide an update for the book building. We think the company's fairly valued for its fundamentals.</p>

Kindstar is a leading esoteric test service provider in China. The company launched book building to raise up to USD 285m via a Hong Kong listing.In our previous note, we discussed Kindstar's business segment. The company has a strong footprint in the hematology test segment with the majority of its revenue is derived from the hematological tests, particularly for lymphoma and myeloma-related diseases. The company is relatively weak in other areas such as oncology and maternity related businesses. We think the company can continue to grow the existing pie of hematological tests for which the public hospitals do not want to invest in the test equipment and processes but it will be challenging for the company to expand the business into the area where public hospitals are willing to invest in. We think the company has a decent line-up of investors but there is still a lack of international healthcare investors. The management's experience is also decent. We also compared the company's key financial metrics with other leading listed ICL.In this note, we provide an update for the book building. We think the company's fairly valued for its fundamentals.

Kindstar Globalgene (康圣环球) IPO: Fairly Valued for a Questionable Moat

China

Guangzhou Kingmed Diagnostics Group Co., Ltd. operates as a medical laboratory. The Company provides clinical testing, pathology diagnosis outsourcing, and other services. Guangzhou Kingmed Diagnostics Group provides services to various medical institutions including hospitals, maternal, child health centers, health centers, and other places.

Guangzhou Kingmed Diagnostics (603882 CH)

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Guangzhou Kingmed Diagnostics (603882 CH)

Pre-IPO ADICON Holdings Limited - Uncertain Growth and Outlook in Post-COVID Era

The unsustainable COVID-19 related revenue will put pressure on ADICON's performance in post-COVID era. It's difficult to make breakthrough due to...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Pre-IPO Yunkang Group - Lack of New Growth Point

The COVID-19 business isn't enough to support Yunkang's future development. It also lacks new growth points. It is recommended to calculate its...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Pre-IPO ADICON Holdings Ltd - Insights on Industry, Business and Concerns

This insight mainly analyzed ADICON in terms of the ICL industry characteristics in China, the business model of ADICON, the comparison with peers,...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Kindstar Globalgene IPO: Valuation Insights

At the mid-point of the IPO price range, the total net proceeds are HK$1,931.1 million ($250 million). Overall, we would participate in the IPO due...

Arun George

Kindstar Globalgene (康圣环球) IPO: Fairly Valued for a Questionable Moat

We think Kindstar is fairly valued for its fundamentals. Its moat is not as wide as many investors would think. Therefore we would avoid the deal.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)