IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

Bright Smart Securities & Commodities / Event-Driven

Bright Smart Securities & Commodities (1428 HK)

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bright-smart-securities-and" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20511:1" rel="noopener">Bright Smart Securities And (1428 HK)</a>'s Chairman entered a SPA with Ant Holdco to sell his 50.55% stake at HK$3.28, a 7.5% premium to the last close.</li>
<li>The SPA completion requires approval from both the NDRC and SFC. Unusually, Ant has the option of extending the long-stop date, reflecting a possibility of extra scrutiny by the regulators.</li>
<li>Under Rule 26.1 of the Code, upon completion, Ant will be required to make an unconditional mandatory cash offer at HK$3.28. The MGO price is final and a knockout offer.  </li>
</ul>



Bright Smart Securities And (1428 HK)'s Chairman entered a SPA with Ant Holdco to sell his 50.55% stake at HK$3.28, a 7.5% premium to the last close.
The SPA completion requires approval from both the NDRC and SFC. Unusually, Ant has the option of extending the long-stop date, reflecting a possibility of extra scrutiny by the regulators.
Under Rule 26.1 of the Code, upon completion, Ant will be required to make an unconditional mandatory cash offer at HK$3.28. The MGO price is final and a knockout offer.  


Bright Smart Securities (1428 HK): Ant’s Possible Unconditional MGO at HK$3.28

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bright-smart-securities-and" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20511:1" rel="noopener">Bright Smart Securities And (1428 HK)</a> is in a trading halt “pursuant to the Hong Kong Code on Takeovers and Mergers, which constitutes inside information of the Company.”</li>
<li>It is likely that Mr Lum, the founder and chairman, has entered a sale and purchase agreement to sell his controlling stake, which would trigger a mandatory general offer (MGO).   </li>
<li>The shares are at an all-time high and have a P/B multiple that is a material premium to peers. The MGO price is likely to be lower than last close.</li>
</ul>



Bright Smart Securities And (1428 HK) is in a trading halt “pursuant to the Hong Kong Code on Takeovers and Mergers, which constitutes inside information of the Company.”
It is likely that Mr Lum, the founder and chairman, has entered a sale and purchase agreement to sell his controlling stake, which would trigger a mandatory general offer (MGO).   
The shares are at an all-time high and have a P/B multiple that is a material premium to peers. The MGO price is likely to be lower than last close.


Bright Smart Securities (1428 HK): A Takeunder MGO?

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/get-nice-financial-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29667:1" rel="noopener">Get Nice Financial Group Ltd (1469 HK)</a>/GNF’s scheme offer from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/get-nice-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16415:1" rel="noopener">Get Nice Holdings (64 HK)</a>/GNH is at 4 GNH shares per GNF share + HK$0.50 scheme dividend.</li>
<li>The implied GNF offer value is HK$1.116, a 39.5% premium to the last close. The offer is conditional on the GNH/GNF shareholder approval, which is low risk</li>
<li>The share exchange ratio is attractive compared to historical price ratios, precedent transactions, and peer multiples. This is a done deal and is likely the first step towards privatising GNH.</li>
</ul>



Get Nice Financial Group Ltd (1469 HK)/GNF’s scheme offer from Get Nice Holdings (64 HK)/GNH is at 4 GNH shares per GNF share + HK$0.50 scheme dividend.
The implied GNF offer value is HK$1.116, a 39.5% premium to the last close. The offer is conditional on the GNH/GNF shareholder approval, which is low risk
The share exchange ratio is attractive compared to historical price ratios, precedent transactions, and peer multiples. This is a done deal and is likely the first step towards privatising GNH.


Get Nice Financial (1469 HK): Get Nice Holdings (64 HK) Share Exchange Offer

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/get-nice-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16415:1" rel="noopener">Get Nice Holdings (64 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/get-nice-financial-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29667:1" rel="noopener">Get Nice Financial Group Ltd (1469 HK)</a> are on a trading halt “in relation to the Hong Kong Code on Takeovers and Mergers.”</li>
<li>Mr Hung (Chairman) is likely to reload his 2020 offer. The key difference is that he will seek to privatise GNH at this time.   </li>
<li>We use three methods to triangulate the likely offer price. Our methods suggest a price range of HK$0.179-0.251 per share, a 16.3%-62.8% premium to the last close</li>
</ul>



Get Nice Holdings (64 HK) and Get Nice Financial Group Ltd (1469 HK) are on a trading halt “in relation to the Hong Kong Code on Takeovers and Mergers.”
Mr Hung (Chairman) is likely to reload his 2020 offer. The key difference is that he will seek to privatise GNH at this time.   
We use three methods to triangulate the likely offer price. Our methods suggest a price range of HK$0.179-0.251 per share, a 16.3%-62.8% premium to the last close


Get Nice Holdings (64 HK): Chairman to Reload with a Privatisation Offer?

Asian Hedge Fund Manager, Long Short Equity, Macro

David Mudd

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>HSCI index has seen an outperformance of the consumer discretionary sector since the stimulus announcement while materials and energy sectors have lagged.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pop-mart-international-group-l" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29016:1" rel="noopener">Pop Mart International Group L (9992 HK)</a> announced a blow out 3Q24 revenue number with international revenue up by over 400%. DB raised the its target price to $88.
</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/citic-securities-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:463:1" rel="noopener">Citic Securities (H) (6030 HK)</a> was maintained a BUY by Huatai, raising its target price to $28.81.   JP Morgan maintained  OVERWEIGHT on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/new-oriental-education-techn" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32210:1" rel="noopener">New Oriental Education &amp; Technology (9901 HK).</a>
</li>
</ul>


HSCI index has seen an outperformance of the consumer discretionary sector since the stimulus announcement while materials and energy sectors have lagged.

Pop Mart International Group L (9992 HK) announced a blow out 3Q24 revenue number with international revenue up by over 400%. DB raised the its target price to $88.


Citic Securities (H) (6030 HK) was maintained a BUY by Huatai, raising its target price to $28.81.   JP Morgan maintained  OVERWEIGHT on New Oriental Education &amp; Technology (9901 HK).



BUY/SELL/HOLD: Hong Kong Stock Updates (October 30)

Hong Kong

Haitong International Securities is an international financial institution offering a full spectrum of financial services, including private wealth management, corporate finance, asset management, and global markets. The company provides brokerage, investment banking, and advisory services, aiming to connect Chinese and overseas capital markets. It was founded in 1973 and is headquartered in Hong Kong.

Haitong International Securities (TFZ GR)

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Haitong International Securities (TFZ GR)

Bright Smart Securities (1428 HK): Ant’s Possible Unconditional MGO at HK$3.28

The Chairman is selling out to Ant at a knockout price (HK$3.28). Completion will trigger an unconditional MGO. Timing is the key risk, which is...

Arun George

Bright Smart Securities (1428 HK): A Takeunder MGO?

It is likely that Mr Lum, the founder, has entered a sale and purchase agreement to sell his controlling stake, which would trigger an MGO.

Arun George

Get Nice Holdings (64 HK): Chairman to Reload with a Privatisation Offer?

Mr Hung Hon Man (founder and Chairman) is likely to reload his 2020 offer. The key difference is that he will seek to privatise GNH now.

Arun George

BUY/SELL/HOLD: Hong Kong Stock Updates (October 30)

The consumer discretionary sector shows increased momentum in Hong Kong. Pop Mart beat on 3Q revenue with 440% growth in revenue outside China....

David Mudd

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Bright Smart Securities (1428 HK): Ant’s Possible Unconditional MGO at HK$3.28

The Chairman is selling out to Ant at a knockout price (HK$3.28). Completion will trigger an unconditional MGO. Timing is the key risk, which is...

Arun George

Bright Smart Securities (1428 HK): A Takeunder MGO?

It is likely that Mr Lum, the founder, has entered a sale and purchase agreement to sell his controlling stake, which would trigger an MGO.

Arun George

Get Nice Financial (1469 HK): Get Nice Holdings (64 HK) Share Exchange Offer

The share exchange ratio is attractive compared to historical price ratios, precedent transactions, and peer multiples. This is a done deal and is...

Arun George

Get Nice Holdings (64 HK): Chairman to Reload with a Privatisation Offer?

Mr Hung Hon Man (founder and Chairman) is likely to reload his 2020 offer. The key difference is that he will seek to privatise GNH now.

Arun George

BUY/SELL/HOLD: Hong Kong Stock Updates (October 30)

The consumer discretionary sector shows increased momentum in Hong Kong. Pop Mart beat on 3Q revenue with 440% growth in revenue outside China....

David Mudd