Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>Nearly a third of the way through the review period, we see 12 potential changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kosdaq-150-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31077:1" rel="noopener">KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX EQUITY)</a> at the December rebalance.</li>
<li>There could be one change to the index in July/August following <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nice-information-service-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20236:1" rel="noopener">Nice Information Service Co (030190 KS)</a>'s transfer from the KOSDAQ Market to the KOSPI Market.</li>
<li>The potential adds have outperformed the potential deletes over the last few months and there could be further outperformance as we go through the review period.</li>
</ul>


Nearly a third of the way through the review period, we see 12 potential changes for the KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX EQUITY) at the December rebalance.
There could be one change to the index in July/August following Nice Information Service Co (030190 KS)'s transfer from the KOSDAQ Market to the KOSPI Market.
The potential adds have outperformed the potential deletes over the last few months and there could be further outperformance as we go through the review period.


KOSDAQ150 Index Rebalance Preview: A Dozen Potential Changes from Now to December

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lx-semicon-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20670:1" rel="noopener">LX Semicon (108320 KS)</a> is looking to transfer from the KOSDAQ market to the KOSPI market. Shareholder meeting is 23 September and the transfer will happen soon after if approved.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lx-semicon-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20670:1" rel="noopener">LX Semicon (108320 KS)</a> will be deleted from the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kosdaq-150-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31077:1" rel="noopener">KOSDAQ 150 Index</a> on the suspension date. There is zero chance of the stock being included in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/korea-stock-exchange-kospi-200-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26021:1" rel="noopener">Kospi 200 Index</a>.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nextin-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36097:1" rel="noopener">Nextin (348210 KS)</a> is a high probability inclusion to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kosdaq-150-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31077:1" rel="noopener">KOSDAQ 150 Index</a> in December but could be an early inclusion in  September to replace <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lx-semicon-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20670:1" rel="noopener">LX Semicon (108320 KS)</a>.</li>
</ul>



LX Semicon (108320 KS) is looking to transfer from the KOSDAQ market to the KOSPI market. Shareholder meeting is 23 September and the transfer will happen soon after if approved.

LX Semicon (108320 KS) will be deleted from the KOSDAQ 150 Index on the suspension date. There is zero chance of the stock being included in the Kospi 200 Index.

Nextin (348210 KS) is a high probability inclusion to the KOSDAQ 150 Index in December but could be an early inclusion in  September to replace LX Semicon (108320 KS).


LX Semicon (108320 KS) - Section Change, Index Flow and KOSDAQ150 Replacement

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Vidente is a KOSDAQ 150 constituent. If designated as an administrative issue, it will be removed on the third trading day after the effective date of designation.</li>
<li>Hancom gets to replace Vidente, and rebalancing trading occurs at the close of August 19th. Hancom's passive inflow should be 4.70x ADTV.</li>
<li>It seems that proactive long positions have already been built up significantly from today. So, we should consider getting out of the position earlier than usual towards Friday's close.</li>
</ul>


Vidente is a KOSDAQ 150 constituent. If designated as an administrative issue, it will be removed on the third trading day after the effective date of designation.
Hancom gets to replace Vidente, and rebalancing trading occurs at the close of August 19th. Hancom's passive inflow should be 4.70x ADTV.
It seems that proactive long positions have already been built up significantly from today. So, we should consider getting out of the position earlier than usual towards Friday's close.


A Full Walkthrough of What Happens to Vidente & Hancom: KOSDAQ 150 Special Change

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vidente-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10357:1" rel="noopener">Vidente (121800 KS)</a> has not submitted its semiannual reports and has been labeled as an 'Administrative Issue'. This means deletion from the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kosdaq-150-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31077:1" rel="noopener">KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX)</a> on 19 August.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hancom-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13366:1" rel="noopener">Hancom Inc (030520 KS)</a> was the highest ranked stock to not be included in the index at the June rebalance. It will now be included in the index.</li>
<li>Passive funds will need to buy KRW 8.8bn of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hancom-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13366:1" rel="noopener">Hancom Inc (030520 KS)</a> while selling KRW 11.2bn of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vidente-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10357:1" rel="noopener">Vidente (121800 KS)</a>. </li>
</ul>



Vidente (121800 KS) has not submitted its semiannual reports and has been labeled as an 'Administrative Issue'. This means deletion from the KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX) on 19 August.

Hancom Inc (030520 KS) was the highest ranked stock to not be included in the index at the June rebalance. It will now be included in the index.
Passive funds will need to buy KRW 8.8bn of Hancom Inc (030520 KS) while selling KRW 11.2bn of Vidente (121800 KS). 


KOSDAQ150 Ad Hoc Index Rebalance: Hancom (030520) To Replace Vidente (121800)

<ul>
<li>The review period for the June rebalance of the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kosdaq-150-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31077:1" rel="noopener">KOSDAQ 150 Index</a> ended on Friday. We see 14 potential changes to the index - most are high probability. </li>
<li>The impact of passive trading is higher on the deletions than on the additions. Short interest on the potential adds is zero/negligible and a lot larger on the potential deletions.</li>
<li>Short interest on a couple of potential deletion exceeds the estimated passive selling, while there are others where short interest is three-quarters of the estimated passive selling.</li>
</ul>


The review period for the June rebalance of the KOSDAQ 150 Index ended on Friday. We see 14 potential changes to the index - most are high probability. 
The impact of passive trading is higher on the deletions than on the additions. Short interest on the potential adds is zero/negligible and a lot larger on the potential deletions.
Short interest on a couple of potential deletion exceeds the estimated passive selling, while there are others where short interest is three-quarters of the estimated passive selling.


KOSDAQ150 Index Rebalance Preview: 14 Potential Changes in June

South Korea

Hancom Inc. specializes in developing, publishing, and marketing Korean word (Hangul) processing software.  The Company also produces office software, such as spreadsheet and presentation tools.  Haansoft also provides Internet portal services, including free homepage, free e-mail, free download, instant messaging, and chatting services.

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Hancom Inc (030520 KS)

KOSDAQ150 Index Rebalance Preview: A Dozen Potential Changes from Now to December

There could be 12 changes for the KOSDAQ150 from now to December. The forecast adds have outperformed the potential deletes and there could be more...

Brian Freitas

LX Semicon (108320 KS) - Section Change, Index Flow and KOSDAQ150 Replacement

LX Semicon is looking to move from the KOSDAQ to KOSPI market - this will lead to KOSDAQ150 deletion and no chance at KOSPI200 inclusion. Nextin...

Brian Freitas

A Full Walkthrough of What Happens to Vidente & Hancom: KOSDAQ 150 Special Change

This post is a detailed walkthrough of what and why it happens to Vidente and Hancom in this KOSDAQ 150 Special Change event.

Sanghyun Park

KOSDAQ150 Ad Hoc Index Rebalance: Hancom (030520) To Replace Vidente (121800)

Vidente has been designated as an 'Administrative Issue' and will be deleted from the KOSDAQ150. Hancom will be added to the index and passive...

Brian Freitas

KOSDAQ150 Index Rebalance Preview: 14 Potential Changes in June

We forecast 14 potential changes to the KOSDAQ150 Index in June - most are high probability. Short interest on few potential deletions exceeds the...

Brian Freitas

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