Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport, Tracking Traffic

Daniel Hellberg

Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport

Tracking Traffic

Focusing on Asian logistics, transportation, and travel companies

Equity Capital Markets

Hive Box Holdings / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>In this insight we provide an overview of Hive Box's business and its history</li>
<li>We then go into detail on key relationships &amp; investors, focusing on SF Holding</li>
<li>We end with some initial questions and what's up next in the IPO process</li>
</ul>


In this insight we provide an overview of Hive Box's business and its history
We then go into detail on key relationships &amp; investors, focusing on SF Holding
We end with some initial questions and what's up next in the IPO process


Hive Box Holdings Pre-IPO, Part 1: What They Do, History, Relationships, & What's Next

Lalatech Holdings Co Ltd / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Based on returns and margins, US-listed Full Truck Alliance is best comp</li>
<li>Lalatech probably deserves premium valuation multiples vs Full Truck Alliance </li>
<li>An equity valuation of US$11bn+ justifiable; will investors look at recent flops?</li>
</ul>


Based on returns and margins, US-listed Full Truck Alliance is best comp
Lalatech probably deserves premium valuation multiples vs Full Truck Alliance 
An equity valuation of US$11bn+ justifiable; will investors look at recent flops?


Lalatech IPO: Using YMM:US as Main Comp, Equity Valuation of US$11-12 Bn (Or More) Justifiable

<ul>
<li>We compare Lalatech's scale, P&amp;L, Balance Sheet, and Cash Flow to peers</li>
<li>On several measures, Lalatech is comparable to Full Truck Alliance, SF-Intra</li>
<li>Small, unprofitable GOGOX not an appropriate comp for Lalatech, in our view</li>
</ul>


We compare Lalatech's scale, P&amp;L, Balance Sheet, and Cash Flow to peers
On several measures, Lalatech is comparable to Full Truck Alliance, SF-Intra
Small, unprofitable GOGOX not an appropriate comp for Lalatech, in our view


Lalatech Compared to Full Truck Alliance, SF Intra-City, and GOGOX in Eleven Easy Charts

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>FTA's revenue growth accelerated in Q124 and exceeded management guidance</li>
<li>Gross and OpInc margins (cash basis) both improved sharply in Q124</li>
<li>Growth, profitability, mix improved, but FTA no longer so cheap; HOLD</li>
</ul>


FTA's revenue growth accelerated in Q124 and exceeded management guidance
Gross and OpInc margins (cash basis) both improved sharply in Q124
Growth, profitability, mix improved, but FTA no longer so cheap; HOLD


Full Truck Alliance Q124 Results: Strong Financials Match Recent Strong Share Performance - HOLD

Asian Hedge Fund Manager, Long Short Equity, Macro

David Mudd

Hengan International Group / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Hong Kong Conglomerate Sector is showing renewed strength with Materials and Energy under pressure.  HK market 30 day volatility at 5 year low as market continues to de-risk.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hengan-international-group-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29:1" rel="noopener">Hengan International Group (1044 HK)</a> chart broke down from its Descending Triangle pattern after reporting its 1H24 results. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/j-t-global-express-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36819:1" rel="noopener">J&amp;T Global Express (1519 HK)</a> broke down from its double bottom pattern.
</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-galaxy-securities-co-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:165:1" rel="noopener">China Galaxy Securities (H) (6881 HK)</a> price relative to the MSCI China index broke to a new high.  The company reported good results in a difficult environment for China brokers.
</li>
</ul>


Hong Kong Conglomerate Sector is showing renewed strength with Materials and Energy under pressure.  HK market 30 day volatility at 5 year low as market continues to de-risk.

Hengan International Group (1044 HK) chart broke down from its Descending Triangle pattern after reporting its 1H24 results. J&amp;T Global Express (1519 HK) broke down from its double bottom pattern.


China Galaxy Securities (H) (6881 HK) price relative to the MSCI China index broke to a new high.  The company reported good results in a difficult environment for China brokers.



Technically Speaking, Breakouts and Breakdowns: HONG KONG (SEPTEMBER 13)

China

Hangzhou SF Intra-city Industrial Co., Ltd. operates as a third-party direct-run real-time logistics service provider. The Company provides intra-city logistics, new retail store distribution, and other services. Hangzhou SF Intra-city Industrial conducts businesses in China.

Price Gauge
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SF Intra-City (9699 HK)

Hive Box Holdings Pre-IPO, Part 1: What They Do, History, Relationships, & What's Next

Chinese smart locker operator Hive Box has filed to go public in Hong Kong. In this insight we offer an overview of its business, a corporate...

Tracking Traffic

Lalatech IPO: Using YMM:US as Main Comp, Equity Valuation of US$11-12 Bn (Or More) Justifiable

What are the best comps for Lalatech, which valuation multiples should we focus on, and does the company deserve a premium valuation relative to...

Tracking Traffic

Lalatech Compared to Full Truck Alliance, SF Intra-City, and GOGOX in Eleven Easy Charts

In this insight we compare Lalatech to listed peers Full Truck Alliance, SF Intra-city, and GOGOX on a range of factors, including scale, growth,...

Tracking Traffic

Technically Speaking, Breakouts and Breakdowns: HONG KONG (SEPTEMBER 13)

Hong Kong conglomerate sector shows increased momentum. Hengan and J&T technical patterns broke down. J&T fell to new lows since its listing last...

David Mudd

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Hive Box Holdings Pre-IPO, Part 1: What They Do, History, Relationships, & What's Next

Chinese smart locker operator Hive Box has filed to go public in Hong Kong. In this insight we offer an overview of its business, a corporate...

Tracking Traffic

Lalatech IPO: Using YMM:US as Main Comp, Equity Valuation of US$11-12 Bn (Or More) Justifiable

What are the best comps for Lalatech, which valuation multiples should we focus on, and does the company deserve a premium valuation relative to...

Tracking Traffic

Lalatech Compared to Full Truck Alliance, SF Intra-City, and GOGOX in Eleven Easy Charts

In this insight we compare Lalatech to listed peers Full Truck Alliance, SF Intra-city, and GOGOX on a range of factors, including scale, growth,...

Tracking Traffic

Full Truck Alliance Q124 Results: Strong Financials Match Recent Strong Share Performance - HOLD

Full Truck Alliance posted great Q1 numbers: revenue growth accelerated, margins expanded, and mix improved. But its shares have rallied and the...

Tracking Traffic

Technically Speaking, Breakouts and Breakdowns: HONG KONG (SEPTEMBER 13)

Hong Kong conglomerate sector shows increased momentum. Hengan and J&T technical patterns broke down. J&T fell to new lows since its listing last...

David Mudd