Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

China Tourism Group Duty Free / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>China Tourism Group Duty Free Corporation Limited (CDF) raised around US$2.4bn in its H-share listing in Hong Kong, after pricing its IPO at HKD158/share.</li>
<li>As per Frost &amp; Sullivan, CDF had 92.3% market share by retail revenue in China duty-free merchandise sales in 2020.</li>
<li>In this note, we talk about the deal pricing and the trading dynamics.</li>
</ul>


China Tourism Group Duty Free Corporation Limited (CDF) raised around US$2.4bn in its H-share listing in Hong Kong, after pricing its IPO at HKD158/share.
As per Frost &amp; Sullivan, CDF had 92.3% market share by retail revenue in China duty-free merchandise sales in 2020.
In this note, we talk about the deal pricing and the trading dynamics.


China Tourism Group A/H Trading - Decent Support from Long-Only but Minimal Retail Participation

China Tourism Group Duty Free Corp Ltd / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>China Tourism Group Duty Free Corporation Limited (CDF) is gearing up to launch Hong Kong’s largest listing so far this year, with a reported deal size of around US$2-3bn.</li>
<li>Prior to the deal launch, we’ve had a quick look at the A/H premium, subscription and past performance of some of the earlier A/H listings.</li>
<li>Overall, most of the recent A/H listings haven’t done much over the first month.</li>
</ul>


China Tourism Group Duty Free Corporation Limited (CDF) is gearing up to launch Hong Kong’s largest listing so far this year, with a reported deal size of around US$2-3bn.
Prior to the deal launch, we’ve had a quick look at the A/H premium, subscription and past performance of some of the earlier A/H listings.
Overall, most of the recent A/H listings haven’t done much over the first month.


Past A/H Listings Performance - Most of the Deals Haven’t Done Much

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The data in this insight is collated from the "shareholding disclosure" link on the HKEx website. </li>
<li>Often there is a corresponding HKEx announcement on the increase - or decrease - in the shareholding by directors. However, such disclosures are by no means an absolute. </li>
<li>These insights also flags those companies where shares have been pledged, both recently and ongoing.</li>
</ul>


The data in this insight is collated from the "shareholding disclosure" link on the HKEx website. 
Often there is a corresponding HKEx announcement on the increase - or decrease - in the shareholding by directors. However, such disclosures are by no means an absolute. 
These insights also flags those companies where shares have been pledged, both recently and ongoing.


Hong Kong CEO & Director Dealings - 26th July 2022

HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>As one of the few CXOs in the industry that has layout of the whole industry chain, Pharmaron carries many expectations. But it cannot compete with WuXi AppTec so far.</li>
<li>If Pharmaron could make breakthrough either in its CMC services (improving gross profit margin and scale) or the CGT services, the Company’s outlook and valuation logic would improve greatly.</li>
<li>The valuation of Pharmaron should be lower than WuXi AppTec and WuXi Biologics, but higher than Asymchem, Tigermed and Joinn. Considering the macro uncertainties, short-term trades are advised.</li>
</ul>


As one of the few CXOs in the industry that has layout of the whole industry chain, Pharmaron carries many expectations. But it cannot compete with WuXi AppTec so far.
If Pharmaron could make breakthrough either in its CMC services (improving gross profit margin and scale) or the CGT services, the Company’s outlook and valuation logic would improve greatly.
The valuation of Pharmaron should be lower than WuXi AppTec and WuXi Biologics, but higher than Asymchem, Tigermed and Joinn. Considering the macro uncertainties, short-term trades are advised.


Pharmaron Beijing Co Ltd (3759.HK/300759.CH) 2022/2021Q1 Results- Expectations Coexist with Concerns

Hangzhou Tigermed Consulting C / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Despite solid growth in 2021, if seen from prior years, the revenue YoY growth rate and net profit YoY growth rate showed a state of divergence, which is “interesting”.</li>
<li>Since half of Tigermed’s net profits were from investment income,it’s not logical to apply the valuation methods of traditional CXO to Tigermed. Its CRO and investment should be valued separately.</li>
<li>The poor IPO sentiment, risk of recession and the domestic healthcare rational return would make investors reconsider if Tigermed’s “CRO + PE/VC business model” would be a safe play.</li>
</ul>


Despite solid growth in 2021, if seen from prior years, the revenue YoY growth rate and net profit YoY growth rate showed a state of divergence, which is “interesting”.
Since half of Tigermed’s net profits were from investment income,it’s not logical to apply the valuation methods of traditional CXO to Tigermed. Its CRO and investment should be valued separately.
The poor IPO sentiment, risk of recession and the domestic healthcare rational return would make investors reconsider if Tigermed’s “CRO + PE/VC business model” would be a safe play.


Hangzhou Tigermed Consulting (3347.HK/300347.CH) - The Business Model May Not Be a Safe Play

China

Hangzhou Tigermed Consulting Co.,Ltd. provides professional clinical research services for domestic and foreign pharmaceutical and health-related research and development. The Company's main services include clinical trial technology services, data management, and statistical analysis. Hangzhou Tigermed Consulting offers services worldwide.

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Hangzhou Tigermed Consulting C (3347 HK)

China Tourism Group A/H Trading - Decent Support from Long-Only but Minimal Retail Participation

China Tourism Group Duty Free Corporation Limited (CDF) raised around US$2.4bn in its H-share listing in Hong Kong, after pricing its IPO at HKD158...

Sumeet Singh

Past A/H Listings Performance - Most of the Deals Haven’t Done Much

China Tourism is gearing up to launch Hong Kong’s largest listing so far this year, with a reported deal size of around US$2-3bn. Ahead of its...

Sumeet Singh

Hong Kong CEO & Director Dealings - 26th July 2022

The data in this insight is collated from the "shareholding disclosure" link on the HKEx website. These insights also flags those companies where...

David Blennerhassett

Pharmaron Beijing Co Ltd (3759.HK/300759.CH) 2022/2021Q1 Results- Expectations Coexist with Concerns

We analyzed Pharmaron's performance in 2021 & 2022Q1.Expectations coexist with concerns. Its outlook/valuation logic would improve greatly if it...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Hangzhou Tigermed Consulting (3347.HK/300347.CH) - The Business Model May Not Be a Safe Play

Tigermed’s high growth and high valuation are inseparable from continuous M&As and investment. However, uncertain macro environment and risk of...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

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