Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>There are quite a few stocks in Korea that have underperformed their peers and could be deleted from global passive portfolios in February.</li>
<li>There are still 3 weeks left for the stocks to redeem themselves and avoid relegation from the K League, so watch out for big price moves.</li>
<li>Based on our estimate of passive assets, trackers will need to trade between US$45m to US$114m of the stocks. Impact will vary between 2.6x-30x of ADV to trade.</li>
</ul>


There are quite a few stocks in Korea that have underperformed their peers and could be deleted from global passive portfolios in February.
There are still 3 weeks left for the stocks to redeem themselves and avoid relegation from the K League, so watch out for big price moves.
Based on our estimate of passive assets, trackers will need to trade between US$45m to US$114m of the stocks. Impact will vary between 2.6x-30x of ADV to trade.


Korea: Potential Relegations from K League 1

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Douglas Research Advisory

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we provide some of the main highlights of the book <em><strong>"The Real Anthony Fauci",</strong></em> which was written by Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (RFK Jr) in 2021.</li>
<li>We discuss how the appointment of RFK Jr could impact some of the major health care stocks in Korea, especially those that are involved in developing and producing vaccines.</li>
<li>Although the share prices of many Korean vaccines related stocks have declined materially in the past 2-3 years, RFK Jr becoming the next US Health Secretary could pose further headwinds.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we provide some of the main highlights of the book "The Real Anthony Fauci", which was written by Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (RFK Jr) in 2021.
We discuss how the appointment of RFK Jr could impact some of the major health care stocks in Korea, especially those that are involved in developing and producing vaccines.
Although the share prices of many Korean vaccines related stocks have declined materially in the past 2-3 years, RFK Jr becoming the next US Health Secretary could pose further headwinds.


Appointment of RFK Jr as the US Health Secretary and a Book Review Of "The Real Anthony Fauci"

Equity Capital Markets

Orum Therapeutics / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Our base case target price for Orum Therapeutics is 35,170 won per share, which is within the IPO price range of 30,000 won to 36,000 won per share. </li>
<li>Given the lack of upside relative to the target price, we have a Negative View of this IPO. </li>
<li>FSS has requested correction to the company's IPO prospectus. As a result, it now appears the IPO could be delayed. </li>
</ul>


Our base case target price for Orum Therapeutics is 35,170 won per share, which is within the IPO price range of 30,000 won to 36,000 won per share. 
Given the lack of upside relative to the target price, we have a Negative View of this IPO. 
FSS has requested correction to the company's IPO prospectus. As a result, it now appears the IPO could be delayed. 


<ul>
<li>Orum Therapeutics is getting ready to complete its IPO in KOSDAQ in November 2024. The IPO price range is from 30,000 won to 36,000 won. </li>
<li>The expected market cap after IPO is from 648 billion won to 778 billion won. The book building for the institutional investors starts on 24 October. </li>
<li>Orum Therapeutics' main pipelines include 'ORM-6151', a new drug candidate for acute myeloid leukemia, 'ORM-5029', a HER2-targeting breast cancer treatment candidate, and 'ORM-1023', a small cell carcinoma tumor candidate. </li>
</ul>


Orum Therapeutics is getting ready to complete its IPO in KOSDAQ in November 2024. The IPO price range is from 30,000 won to 36,000 won. 
The expected market cap after IPO is from 648 billion won to 778 billion won. The book building for the institutional investors starts on 24 October. 
Orum Therapeutics' main pipelines include 'ORM-6151', a new drug candidate for acute myeloid leukemia, 'ORM-5029', a HER2-targeting breast cancer treatment candidate, and 'ORM-1023', a small cell carcinoma tumor candidate. 


<ul>
<li>In this insight, we highlight the recent pricing gap divergences of the major Korean holdcos and opcos which could provide trading opportunities in 4Q 2024.</li>
<li>Volatility has been high in the Korean stock market in the past several weeks resulting in some interesting widening of some gaps among numerous holdcos and opcos in Korea. </li>
<li>Of the 38 pair trades, 19 of them involved holdcos outperforming opcos in the past six months and the other 19 opcos outperforming holdcos in the same period. </li>
</ul>


In this insight, we highlight the recent pricing gap divergences of the major Korean holdcos and opcos which could provide trading opportunities in 4Q 2024.
Volatility has been high in the Korean stock market in the past several weeks resulting in some interesting widening of some gaps among numerous holdcos and opcos in Korea. 
Of the 38 pair trades, 19 of them involved holdcos outperforming opcos in the past six months and the other 19 opcos outperforming holdcos in the same period. 


Korean Holdcos Vs Opcos Gap Trading Opportunities in 4Q 2024

South Korea

Hanmi Pharm. Company Ltd. produces pharmaceutical products, including antibiotics, vitamins, and intestinal tonics.  The Company also provides beverages and processes soft capsules for other pharmaceutical firms.

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Hanmi Pharm (128940 KS)

Korea: Potential Relegations from K League 1

The list of potential deletions for Korea next month continues to increase as markets remain weak. The stocks have, on average, traded flat over...

Brian Freitas

Appointment of RFK Jr as the US Health Secretary and a Book Review Of "The Real Anthony Fauci"

We provide some of the main highlights of the book "The Real Anthony Fauci." We also discuss the impact of appointment of RFK Jr as US Health...

Douglas Kim

Orum Therapeutics IPO Valuation Analysis

Our base case target price for Orum Therapeutics is 35,170 won per share, which is within the IPO price range of 30,000 won to 36,000 won per share.

Douglas Kim

Orum Therapeutics IPO Preview

Orum Therapeutics is getting ready to complete its IPO in KOSDAQ in November 2024.The expected market cap after IPO is from 648 billion won to 778...

Douglas Kim

Korean Holdcos Vs Opcos Gap Trading Opportunities in 4Q 2024

In this insight, we highlight the recent pricing gap divergences of the major Korean holdcos and opcos which could provide trading opportunities in...

Douglas Kim

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