Transport Sector, China and Asia-focused Research

Charles De Trenck

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<p>Short answer: We get more Larry Summers editorials.</p><p>Long answer…</p><p>Larry Summers, a key accidental architect of Wall Street’s GFC of 2008-09 and neo-Keynesian piece of work, wants to do away with the $100 bill based on evidence most big bills are used for criminal purposes.</p><p>Citing work by Harvard colleagues from <a href="http://www.hks.harvard.edu/centers/mrcbg/publications/awp/awp52" target="_blank"> Harvard Study</a>, Summers is fully armed, failing of course to realize that criminals were around before him and will continue to launder money for a long time to come, even if they have to do…</p>

Short answer: We get more Larry Summers editorials.Long answer…Larry Summers, a key accidental architect of Wall Street’s GFC of 2008-09 and neo-Keynesian piece of work, wants to do away with the $100 bill based on evidence most big bills are used for criminal purposes.Citing work by Harvard colleagues from  Harvard Study, Summers is fully armed, failing of course to realize that criminals were around before him and will continue to launder money for a long time to come, even if they have to do…

Keynesian Brain Twister: What Happens When We Get Inflation & Negative Rates?

FX Strategist

Greg Gibbs

Fundamental analysis of topical themes in FX

Amplifying Global FX Capital

Amplifying Global FX Capital was founded in 2015 and is fully owned by Greg Gibbs. It is a registered company both in Australia and Colorado, USA and is a licensed in Australia to provide financial services.

We are producing a regular trading view orientated macroeconomic analysis of topical themes in global financial markets, with a particular focus on foreign exchange. We invite you to view an “executive summary” of these reports in “AmpGFX Reports” under our “Research” menu.

These reports are drawn from the analysis of Greg Gibbs and inform the capital management he undertakes on behalf of the company. The trading performance is posted periodically on our website. We aim to build our company into both a research and capital management business. We are currently in the planning phase for managing capital for wholesale customers.

Greg Gibbs has spent his working life of more than 26 years in financial markets, beginning in 1989 at the Reserve Bank of Australia, after completing a Bachelor of Economics Degree (Honours) at the Australian National University. He has been a CFA Charterholder since 2005. He has worked in Sydney, Singapore, New York and London for major global banks and presented on foreign exchange markets to major financial institutions and companies around the world, and maintained a high profile in the financial media.

Before Amplifying Global FX Capital, Greg was the Head of Asia Pacific Market Strategy at the Royal Bank of Scotland based Singapore. He now resides in Breckenridge Colorado.

Macroeconomics

<p>All major equities are again below the lows in 2015 after a dead-cat bounce sending another body-blow to global investor confidence.  Bottom fishers will be tentative and choppy bearish markets are likely to persist.  Financials (led by Europe) are leading the falls in equities; regulatory pressure implemented in the wake of the global and Eurozone financial crises and litigation and compliance costs since the LIBOR and FX fixing scandals are coming home to roost and creating an echo of the financial stress that undermined global economic confidence in the crises of the last decade.  EUR is whippy as investors cope with Euro-centric financial sector stress, but this is only likely to embolden the ECB to adopt more aggressive policy easing measures.  It is possible they emulate the BoJ and adopt a tiered cash rate policy resplendent with a much lower more negative marginal cash rate.  The outcome would be much lower yields across the EUR curve and a weaker EUR (we much prefer to sell EUR against Gold; as discussed in our previous two reports). Australia has proven resilient to global economic and financial stress, but its banks are being infected by global pressures, and we see a significant risk that RBA scope to cut rates turns into an obligation before long.  We see a fallback in the AUD (again we prefer to sell against gold).</p>

All major equities are again below the lows in 2015 after a dead-cat bounce sending another body-blow to global investor confidence.  Bottom fishers will be tentative and choppy bearish markets are likely to persist.  Financials (led by Europe) are leading the falls in equities; regulatory pressure implemented in the wake of the global and Eurozone financial crises and litigation and compliance costs since the LIBOR and FX fixing scandals are coming home to roost and creating an echo of the financial stress that undermined global economic confidence in the crises of the last decade.  EUR is whippy as investors cope with Euro-centric financial sector stress, but this is only likely to embolden the ECB to adopt more aggressive policy easing measures.  It is possible they emulate the BoJ and adopt a tiered cash rate policy resplendent with a much lower more negative marginal cash rate.  The outcome would be much lower yields across the EUR curve and a weaker EUR (we much prefer to sell EUR against Gold; as discussed in our previous two reports). Australia has proven resilient to global economic and financial stress, but its banks are being infected by global pressures, and we see a significant risk that RBA scope to cut rates turns into an obligation before long.  We see a fallback in the AUD (again we prefer to sell against gold).

AmpGFX - Dead-Cats and Body Blows, Financial Crisis Echo, RBA Scope to Become Obligation

Index Rebal/Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebal/Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>DAX is a German blue-chip index that currently tracks the 40 largest companies listed on the Regulated Market of the Frankfurt Stock Exchange. </li>
<li>The DAX Index is reviewed on a quarterly basis in March, June, September, and December. </li>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the potential constituency changes that can happen in the March 2022 review.</li>
</ul>


DAX is a German blue-chip index that currently tracks the 40 largest companies listed on the Regulated Market of the Frankfurt Stock Exchange. 
The DAX Index is reviewed on a quarterly basis in March, June, September, and December. 
In this insight, we take a look at the potential constituency changes that can happen in the March 2022 review.


DAX Index: Quiddity Leaderboard for March 2022 (2.0)

<ul>
<li>DAX is a blue-chip index that now tracks the 40 largest companies listed on the Regulated Market of the Frankfurt Stock Exchange. </li>
<li>The DAX Index is reviewed on a quarterly basis in March, June, September, and December. </li>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the potential constituency changes that can happen in the March 2022 review.</li>
</ul>


DAX is a blue-chip index that now tracks the 40 largest companies listed on the Regulated Market of the Frankfurt Stock Exchange. 
The DAX Index is reviewed on a quarterly basis in March, June, September, and December. 
In this insight, we take a look at the potential constituency changes that can happen in the March 2022 review.


DAX Index: Quiddity Leaderboard for March 2022

<div><p>DAX is a blue-chip index that now tracks the 40 largest companies listed on the Regulated Market of the Frankfurt Stock Exchange. Historically DAX has consisted of 30 companies but following the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wirecard-ag" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21743:1" rel="noopener">Wirecard AG (WDI GR)</a> scandal, the index was reconstituted and the number of constituents was increased from 30 to 40 to reduce concentration issues and more stringent eligibility requirements were introduced to protect the overall quality of index constituents in future. This reconstitution was completed on 20th September 2021. </p></div><div>
<p>The DAX Index is reviewed four times a year. In our previous insight, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/dax-index-quiddity-leaderboard-for-december-2021" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:58053" rel="noopener">DAX Index: Quiddity Leaderboard for December 2021</a> we had a look at the potential adds and deletes for the next review which will take place in December 2021.</p>
<p>Below is a follow-up insight discussing the latest changes to Quiddity's DAX Leaderboard. </p>
<section class="figure"><figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/237/299/original/Screenshot+2021-10-25+at+3.35.00+PM.png?1635147369" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="237299"></figure></section>
</div>

DAX is a blue-chip index that now tracks the 40 largest companies listed on the Regulated Market of the Frankfurt Stock Exchange. Historically DAX has consisted of 30 companies but following the Wirecard AG (WDI GR) scandal, the index was reconstituted and the number of constituents was increased from 30 to 40 to reduce concentration issues and more stringent eligibility requirements were introduced to protect the overall quality of index constituents in future. This reconstitution was completed on 20th September 2021. 
The DAX Index is reviewed four times a year. In our previous insight, DAX Index: Quiddity Leaderboard for December 2021 we had a look at the potential adds and deletes for the next review which will take place in December 2021.
Below is a follow-up insight discussing the latest changes to Quiddity's DAX Leaderboard. 



DAX Index: Quiddity Dec21 Leaderboard Update (2.0)

Germany

Hannover Rueck SE provides reinsurance services.  The Company offers life, health, accident, damage, property, and high risk specialty reinsurance.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Hannover Rueck (HNR1 GR)

Keynesian Brain Twister: What Happens When We Get Inflation & Negative Rates?

Short answer: We get more Larry Summers editorials.Long answer…Larry Summers, a key accidental architect of Wall Street’s GFC of 2008-09 and...

Charles De Trenck

AmpGFX - Dead-Cats and Body Blows, Financial Crisis Echo, RBA Scope to Become Obligation

All major equities are again below the lows in 2015 after a dead-cat bounce sending another body-blow to global investor confidence. Bottom...

Greg Gibbs

DAX Index: Quiddity Leaderboard for March 2022 (2.0)

A look at the potential adds and potential deletes for the DAX index in the March 2022 review. Our estimates show there could be one or two changes.

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

DAX Index: Quiddity Leaderboard for March 2022

A look at potential constituency changes for the DAX Index in March 2022. Hannover is close to triggering a Fast Entry change and Heidelberg Cement...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

DAX Index: Quiddity Dec21 Leaderboard Update (2.0)

The DAX Index is reviewed four times a year. In this insight, we take a look at the Potential Deletes and Potential Adds for the upcoming review in...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)